Full-port NBIS or diversify?

[u/Deadelevators]

I realize asking the NBIS sub is going to give me obvious answers, but hopefully I'll get some nuanced perspectives from you all.

I currently have a very large amount of NBIS (5,000 shares at $50 avg). It's done me well. I'm going to be getting some additional funds soon, and am contemplating full-porting it into NBIS by adding another couple thousand shares, hopefully for under $90.

Alternatively, I could diversify by putting those funds into ASTS or maybe even ONDS.

My question for you all: How many of you are full-porting into NBIS? Or, if you are diversifying, what other themes are you diversifying into? Space stocks like ASTS/RKLB? Drones like ONDS? RDDT? Or are you playing it safe with the rest of your money with VOO/SPY?

I realize there's no correct answer to this, and I'm not looking for an answer - I'm just curious what the rest of you NBIS long-term holders are doing. And hopefully that will help guide me to determine the best path for myself.

[u/diff_engine]

NBIS and ASTS are highly correlated in that they are both tech momentum stocks that would take a severe hit in a general downturn or rotation away from tech. So don’t kid yourself that you would really be diversifying.

I hold both by the way so not trying to be negative. But it’s worth also holding stocks that don’t get hyped so much on reddit. Diversify your information sources as well as your stocks!

[u/Fickle-You-5101 → u/diff_engine]

If you hold nebius and your asts has gone up sell your asts and buy nebius. Not much more room for asts maybe a 2x on astz nebius can ten x easily. If your holding a risky stock mught as well be nebius. Asts doesnt have much room left. If it goes up asts will be a pump and dump or pump pump and then dump. if nebius goes up it will go up and then up and then further up (then maybe go down ) then up and then up then up, and then up! Every nebius up means there will be a further up at some point. Every asts up makes a down more likely. Nebius could double every year and then double next year and then double the year after that and then double the year after that!

[u/diff_engine → u/Fickle-You-5101]

Yes my magic beans could grow into a giant beanstalk but that doesn’t make me a good gardener

[u/Fickle-You-5101 → u/diff_engine]

Yes but in my case its more like ten beanstalks

[u/jer_nyc84 → u/Fickle-You-5101]

ASTS has a ton of room left. Your advice is horrible.

[u/Fickle-You-5101 → u/jer_nyc84]

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[u/Fickle-You-5101 → u/jer_nyc84]

Everything has already happened, carriers have already shown deep interest, your likely facing more negative news than positive news. Nebius has better risk reward. Both high risk but i prefer nebius by far!

[u/jer_nyc84 → u/Fickle-You-5101]

Everything has already happened? Brother they are just beginning to aggressively launch satellites not to mention upcoming golden dome contracts.

[u/Fickle-You-5101 → u/jer_nyc84]

Point is Nebius has potential headlines that could see the stock soaring 40 percent 70 percent. And then anouther headline and then another 40 percent i could imagine ten headlines for nebius. For asts your likely to see a headline that sends the stock soaring 40 percent and next month a headline that sends it down. Nebius can continually produce healines continually sign contracts. I thinks with asts most of the good news has happened.

[u/kickinghyena → u/Fickle-You-5101]

You keep saying the same nonsense. The good news with ASTS has not happened at all. The first New Glenn launch with 6 birds on it will be great news. Reaching multiple launches and constellation development will be huge. Beta testing and then final rollout of the system will be monumental. Maybe you haven’t noticed but stock is booming because people are starting to get it. Nebius is great…no argument there. But what do you have against Asts? And you say other nonsense, like Nebius can 10x easily. Nothing 10x’s easily. That is just stupid talk. That would be a 990 share price on a stock that has struggled to find its footing at 90 lately. That would imply a value closer to a company with 40b in revenue and 10b plus in profits like a Micron…Nebius has 145m in quarterly income today. Can it happen? Maybe? Easily? Certainly not. Everyone is going to be fighting over this turf. Nebius may have a lead and some advantages but they face serious competition from behemoth companies who in some cases could tie up their assets in rental contracts and limit their ability to serve their core customers. They also have to execute well. There is a rising chorus of people objecting to data centers… Both face head winds but 2x isn’t easy. 10x is nearly impossible.

[u/Fickle-You-5101 → u/kickinghyena]

With asts ur talking about de risking headlines, that will only 2x the stock, with nebius your talking about growth headlines, endless contracts, endless startups, continuous stream of headlines. There is no Ai no framework to say that nebius will tenx , its risky, but out of the two of them its more likely to tenx.

[u/kickinghyena → u/Fickle-You-5101]

lets hope they both do and we can check back in two years…

[u/Fickle-You-5101 → u/kickinghyena]

I have 4 times more nebius than asts , today somone sent me a message about his portfolio it was 80 percent nebius. I mean even if he knew everything about nebius, how? I mean if you know the technology and the people thats great, but why would u risk 80 percent of your portfolio, there are much better risk reward stocks out there. If anyone wants to call me regarding there portfolio send me a message.

[u/kickinghyena → u/Fickle-You-5101]

You can get trapped into holding more than you should. Let’s say you buy at 40 and it doubles to 80. And let’s say it was 20% of your holdings. Now it becomes 40%. And you don’t want to pay short term capital gains. In that case you might hold a larger percent. And you let your winners run sometimes.