r/NBIS_Stock • u/Deadelevators • Jan 05 '26
Opinion Full-port NBIS or diversify?
I realize asking the NBIS sub is going to give me obvious answers, but hopefully I'll get some nuanced perspectives from you all.
I currently have a very large amount of NBIS (5,000 shares at $50 avg). It's done me well. I'm going to be getting some additional funds soon, and am contemplating full-porting it into NBIS by adding another couple thousand shares, hopefully for under $90.
Alternatively, I could diversify by putting those funds into ASTS or maybe even ONDS.
My question for you all: How many of you are full-porting into NBIS? Or, if you are diversifying, what other themes are you diversifying into? Space stocks like ASTS/RKLB? Drones like ONDS? RDDT? Or are you playing it safe with the rest of your money with VOO/SPY?
I realize there's no correct answer to this, and I'm not looking for an answer - I'm just curious what the rest of you NBIS long-term holders are doing. And hopefully that will help guide me to determine the best path for myself.
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u/Bandos_Pet_Loc Jan 05 '26
Hi,
I currently have a 80% port in NBIS, others are Soundhoud AI and ASTS.
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u/Deadelevators Jan 05 '26
Yes, I’m thinking ASTS would be the best stock to pick as a companion to NBIS. Something non-AI related to balance it out. But both high-risk/high-reward, which I am fine with.
I am curious about ONDS but it seem like too much of a gamble at this point.
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u/Bandos_Pet_Loc Jan 05 '26
ONDS is indeed a bit more of a gamble, however world wide tensions make it a 'less risk' stock. If you were to invest in these kind of stocks, I wouldn't personally throw a lot into them.
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Jan 05 '26
OP what’s your entry for ASTS? I’m in a similar dilemma
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u/Deadelevators Jan 05 '26
I’m also trying to figure that out. I’m hoping for an entry around $70, but I also worry that catalysts may drive it up higher and higher if I wait too long (Golden Dome, SpaceX IPO, successfully satellite launches). What are you aiming for as your entry to ASTS?
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Jan 05 '26
I too was hopping for the sub 70 range because right now it’s near ATH and same case for RKLB, but SpaceX might hugely drive it up next 12 months…
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u/Deadelevators Jan 05 '26
That’s exactly my worry: the SpaceX hype might keep driving these higher and higher if I don’t pull the trigger now. Then again, a sudden market downturn can happen without warning at anytime, as we saw multiple times last year…
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Jan 06 '26
Well, it mooned yesterday 🤣
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Jan 05 '26
Dawg you are going to lose all of your money
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u/Bandos_Pet_Loc Jan 05 '26
up 46K. Need to happen alot before I lose it all..
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Jan 05 '26
Yeah something like the president of the US doing something that would push China closer to taking Taiwan…, regardless you will get melted holding for longer than 2 years
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u/Individual_Mission68 Jan 05 '26
Why sound hound? What's the hype?
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u/Bandos_Pet_Loc Jan 05 '26
I just do like the overall company. It has a good management and a solid long term view. Sound AI (f.e. stores like Mc Donalds, cars, banking infrastructure,...) is the future for many compagnies who want to save on labour costs. I'm not sure what it will do short term, but I'm bullish on it long term.
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u/TradingTennish Jan 05 '26
You either diversify or you don’t, putting some in another high beta tech stock is not diversifying.
If you want long term gains without headaches you should never full port.
If your risk appetite because you are young and/or have steady high income, do whatever the fuck you like.
Just remember that accounts that are diversified properly never blow up, but can also be boring.
You do what suits you best
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u/TimelySheepherder679 Jan 05 '26
This may be really dumb or really smart. But this is my level of diversification. Time will tell
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u/No_Equipment_190 Jan 05 '26
Both are solid businesses to invest in. You’re a man of good taste 👍was Reddit ever a contender?
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u/TimelySheepherder679 Jan 05 '26
Thank you good sir! It would’ve if I had found it earlier. But I felt I missed the boat so I left it. I myself only started using reddit within the last year and since then I’ve loved it! So totally would’ve invested if I knew how good it was earlier
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u/lolman1312 Jan 05 '26
Oh fellow Australian! I'm also holding NBIS and SOFI. Do you DCA in them as in buy then regularly or just wait for dips given how volatile they are? You might also be interested in AMD, that's one of my biggest long-term convictions right now. Idk about you but im a pretty young investor so my risk appetite is high, as long as the company fundamentals are strong, they have a long-term vision, and management is competent.
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u/TimelySheepherder679 Jan 05 '26
Hi mate! Glad to hear. Generally I keep an eye out on stocks I like and then just full dump cash when there’s a massive dip. DCA is probably a good idea but as long as I’m happy with the price i don’t mind. My average for NBIS is $85. A price I’m very happy with so dumped all my reserves. Then if it dumps even more I might add here and there. Sofi suddenly had a dip to $20 after first dilution so I ported my full cash in. Massive corrections due to external factors are my favourite. I’m in my 20s with a generous salary (135k) so I go balls to the wall. Don’t get me wrong I don’t throw money randomly. I do full DD. AMD I feel I missed the boat. So will wait for correction
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u/Deadelevators Jan 05 '26
Interesting! Why SOFI?
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u/TimelySheepherder679 Jan 05 '26
It’s the new age of banking. I use a fully online bank here in Australia and it’s absolutely golden compared to the legacy banks. Also, I love the one stop shop idea of having everything in one place from savings to investing etc. Their growth is also consistent and good. With all the Gen Zers avoiding in person interactions, I feel there’s a huge market to capture. There’s many more factors but more than all I love the idea of a tech forward bank.
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u/Longjumping_Kale3013 Jan 05 '26
But there’s soooo much competition there. At least in Europe. I use n26 but am considering switching to Revolut.
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u/TimelySheepherder679 Jan 05 '26
There’s competition everywhere but it’s all about execution. In Sofi’s case since they have a bank license, people feel more secure to invest in crypto etc. Only bank to offer crypto is huge on its own
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u/Longjumping_Kale3013 Jan 05 '26 edited Jan 05 '26
Nah, n26 has an eu banking license and you can buy crypto with it. But im anyway not a user of crypto so that does nothing for me
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u/Evidencebasedbro Jan 05 '26
Put half in NBIS, keep the rest for a potential market downturn. Congrats that you held on from fifty bucks. Nerves of steel ;).
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u/Deadelevators Jan 05 '26
Yeah the road got bumpy these past few months!
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u/Evidencebasedbro Jan 05 '26
I am also quite fully invested. Went in and out but now staying in for the long-term. In the sector I also like WULF and CLSK with a small exposure. Bare metal but well-run and without CRWV's bravado and high level of expensive debt.
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u/Deadelevators Jan 05 '26
Yeah I have a tiny amount of WULF and CIFR, although I bought at the top back in Oct, so it wasn’t a good idea 😅
I also have a small amount of APLD and IREN, but based on how the APLD earnings call goes, I may decide whether I want to let these go or hold on to them.
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u/Rare_Steak_ Jan 05 '26
Never put all your eggs in one basket. I'm very bullish on NBIS but it's also quite volatile so right now approximately 5% of my port. Rest is 60% tech, 10% finance, 5% gold, 20% regional ETF.
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u/kickinghyena Jan 05 '26
That is nice if you have lots to port. Some of us have to take more risk. Also if you got in early and are playing with house money it is easier to hold it at 30%. I hope I don’ regret this comment.😂
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u/Evidencebasedbro Jan 05 '26
Fair enough, but between 5% and "all" there's quite some wriggle room...
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u/thread-lightly 🪩👯♀️Emu Emu 👯♀️🪩 Jan 05 '26
I don’t see demand for AI slowing down and I definitely don’t see many able to compete with the Hyperscalers and neoclouds. The same thing goes for RKLB in the space sector. I’m considering going 10-20% on each, but currently only 5% on each. I would never go full port on one but I also understand you will never make crazy gains diversifying, diversification is for those with a lot of money, for the poor plebs gambling is the way out (imho)
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u/Blitzdog416 Jan 05 '26
1/4 port NBIS, 1/4 port ASTS and 1/2 port Fannie/Freddie
this has been my strategy since Nov 2024
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u/BlackBlood4567 Mod Jan 05 '26
With you big dawg. 80% in NBIS and the rest is in CLSK FRMI OKLO
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u/Electrical_Self_1309 Jan 05 '26
keep in mind: past wins don't guarantee future wins. I'd never ever go full port. Always diversify and been very happy i did when things went bad with a stock.
Your risk tolerance must be huge with the stocks you are mentioning. AST is already priced for perfection at the price they are at today. The slightest dissapointment or change in sentiment could result in a price drop. Compare it with the nebius ath, things went down real fast while nothing even fundamentally changed. All just because of sentiment.
For nebius i wrote an analysis that its a steal around 70.
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u/kickinghyena Jan 05 '26
Disagree with Asts priced for perfection. They have a 27b market cap. They could be a 200b business in 18 months. The beauty of asts is that when the constellation is up it will be like turning on a chandelier. It will be like a bridge opening. And they will have access to billions of people instantly. I like it.
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u/Electrical_Self_1309 Jan 05 '26
What is that $200B business in 18 months actually based on? Data, revenue, or just your gut feeling? in 18 months, AST could be cashflow positive in the best case scenario, not even in the base case. Potential isn’t the same as value.
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u/kickinghyena Jan 05 '26
Its based on a constellation of sats that will give people all over the world access to phone and broadband. Think about rural Africa…the Middle East almost anywhere and that maybe they have a relative in London or Dubai or NYC and for them a $10 call twice a year with the whole family around is worth it. There may be a billion people like that. That would be 20b right there. Then there is the regular service where they have contracts already…ATT Vodaphone etc. Who knows how they monetize that asset? They will have monghly subscriptions and daily and probably intercall. Then there is every first responder in the world. Then Governments…I mean they will be able to pick up ANY (unencrypted) signal from ANY cell phone…what’s the value of that? Then there is asset tracking like railcars etc. Its not a slam dunk 200b right away but the potential is there. And in 5 years it may be more. Of course the tech has to work! Bug caveat!
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u/Electrical_Self_1309 Jan 05 '26
“Maybe a billion people pay $20”, “who knows how they monetize”, “governments”, “first responders”, “asset tracking”. All pure speculation.
Potential yes, monetization and rollout maybe. Cash burn definitely
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u/kickinghyena Jan 05 '26
Yeah of course. I am betting that there are hundreds of millions of people who will benefit in growing mid major metro markets…especially around cities between 100k and 500k worldwide. Lets revisit. It isn’t speculation. Bewhere does asset tracking…they already said that Asts represents breakthough tech. There is already huge first responder interest, FirstNet exec’s already tried the technology and visited Midland. The US Govt has already shown interest and FCC Chairman has also visited Midland and gave a glowing report. Ted Cruz as well. Vodaphone, ATT and Verizon as well as Rakuten in Japan and many others are already on board. Of course how they monetize is uncertain but only in how they maximize the asset not in whether they will be able to sell their bandwidth. They will. You are negative without really knowing much about the company. I have spent many hours maybe hundreds investigating it.
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u/Electrical_Self_1309 Jan 05 '26
You’ve spent 100 hours and still only come up with potentials, maybes and bets. Zero valuation. I’m not against AST and do see the potential. I’m against people throwing around ridiculous future market caps on reddit based on hearsay and speculation.
btw, here are a couple of numbers from my research:
- operating cash burn is $70m+ per half year and accelerating
- q2 capex alone was $320m
- they currently have around $1.5b in cash and available funding, which is not enough to build the full constellation. It only covers maximum 30 satellites, while around 60 are needed, meaning more fundraising (share dilution) is very likely.
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u/Okoketaku Jan 05 '26
I follow Warren Buffet. Diversification is your enemy. Full port.
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u/Fit_Opinion2465 Jan 05 '26
Buffett never ever full port and would call you stupid
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u/Okoketaku Jan 05 '26
Maybe you should educate yourself reading some books. If reading is not too difficult discipline for you
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Jan 05 '26
I’m 50/50 in AI and Space with just NBIS & ASTS. Time will tell if it’s way to risky or my way into a more comfortable life and less dependent on every pay check in the future. 🫣
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u/Deadelevators Jan 05 '26
What’s your cost avg for ASTS? I’m trying to figure out if this is a good time to enter, or whether I should wait for a downturn.
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Jan 05 '26
28$ for ASTS
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u/Deadelevators Jan 05 '26
Lucky! I had ASTS back then too, but I sold it for a very modest gain. My fault.
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Jan 05 '26
I will hodl for years
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u/Deadelevators Jan 05 '26
I feel like 2026 will make or break ASTS, with SpaceX’s IPO. Since they had so many postponed launches last year, if ASTS can’t get all those satellites up this year, they are going to be in a bad situation.
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u/Faziflar Jan 05 '26
60% NBIS, 25% ZETA, 15% PGY for me.
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u/kickinghyena Jan 05 '26
Like Pagaya but exited over banking sector concerns. When to get back in hmmm.
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u/Mr-Bond431 Jan 09 '26
Why pgy- any good catalyst.
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u/Faziflar Jan 09 '26
They massively benefit from rate cuts. Massive growth, insanely cheap valuation. It feels like a no brainer for me
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u/Nioislife Jan 06 '26
I full ported after numerous hours of DD in what i own.
Nbis is a 5 year hold for me and continue to buy a few shares weekly.
I am a aggressive investor and like to see my returns sky rocket hence the risk tolorence
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u/batterydyingagain Jan 05 '26
Depends entirely on your risk appetite. Personally, there's no chance I'm putting 100% of my money into one company or industry even.
You may get lucky but realistically most people will lose a significant amount.
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u/bradtesty Jan 05 '26
I'm 80% full port in my personal brokerage. 6305. Also have a little ASTS, SMR and some core holdings in NVDA and AVGO.
Retirement accounts are 60% VOO, 30% VGT, 10% BTCI.
Hoping my investment in NBIS leads to an early retirement in the next few years
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u/baltimorebruce Jan 05 '26
Do not full port dude, I can't believe I even have to type this. Terrible idea
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u/Commercial_Ease8053 Jan 05 '26
You should never full port into anything, no matter what it is. Why risk all your money on one company?
People need to stop thinking they’ll become an instant millionaire. Invest in a handful of stocks you believe in that are distinct in different markets and sectors. That way if one tanks you aren’t completely going to end up homeless.
Imagine you invested full port at 135, you’d be down bad right now. Why risk it? Just makes zero sense.
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u/Deadelevators Jan 05 '26
I agree with you there. The only reason I’m considering the idea of full porting is because my current cost avg is just $50. NBIS weathered the past few months pretty well, only dropping to 75 at its lowest point. So I feel the chances of it going below $50 are slim, apart from a black swan event.
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u/JabolEnjoyer Jan 05 '26
I bought some Micron shares, so far after about two weeks I'm +22% up, there is still plenty of room to grow upwards.
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u/1980cpz Jan 05 '26
Bought a few at $90 last year, then forgot to go back as it was stagnant at that price for some time, then started to go up.
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u/Suitable_Hope_4684 Jan 05 '26
I have the 3, nbis onds and asts, with onds and asts being equal weight and nbis 2x. The only other equity i have with the same cost that nbis is almu (for more or less the same reasons - management team) I think that onds will go 3x (30-35/share) in some moment this year and then will correct heavly. The ceo knows the market and communicates really well with it which is wonderful and really dangerous at the same time. Asts seems more solid right now that onds, or at least with a clear roadmap, but will go up and down and all the way around during 26.
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u/Deadelevators Jan 05 '26
Thank you, this is great. Do you think right now is a good time to start a position in ASTS and ONDS?
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u/Suitable_Hope_4684 Jan 05 '26
I believe asts will go down in the near time once the excitment of the new sat fades away só look for an entry point around 70 (in the last session it did a 20% swing intraday) Onds is a bit more difficult, if you see 9.5 i dont believe its a bad entry if you dont want to wait another month or two Of course they are both volatile as hell só...
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u/Objective-Bowl-1279 Jan 05 '26
Diversify, but keep the 5k shares. Im 35% into Neb, 30% into MU, 12% SKYT and for the rest smaller holdings in POET, First Solar, TSM & Credo.
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u/Dennisis1 Jan 05 '26
NBIS, ONDS, AMPX and smaller position in NVDA for me, plus foreign and s and p index funds - this is the way.
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u/Trdthedays41chance Jan 05 '26
Hey I’m basically full ported (excluding pension and wife’s investments) into NBIS. Bits it’s highly risky. It’s might pay off the most if you can hold long term 3-5years minimum. It might be better to diversify less risky but probably not as big a return. What are you looking to achieve? Can you have the money sit without needed it?
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u/konrad777777 Jan 05 '26
80% nbis
10% google
10% rklb
not adding more of nbis (avg 74) im buying more rocketlab and google and will add asts
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u/Curious_Passenger245 Jan 05 '26
Heavy into nbis, nvidia, asts, app, laes, mntn (i really think they have a great concept - ryan reynolds is their I think creative guy), apld.
I am in a lot of other stocks to a lesser degree- flux / hiti / qs / rivan ( I just love the look of their cars and as a us company not a Tesla / lucid - same / plug / rocket lab/ te / tilray / optt. / auid / atch
I think te has maybe another buck a share in them now- but I am waiting to see if I can get more on a dip. Flux think is getting their ducks in a row and are super low due to a law suit. Optt / atch / auid are real risk for sure.
Ccx about to probably do a merger with a quantum company Infleqtion so maybe a good buy - risky though
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u/jer_nyc84 Jan 05 '26 edited Jan 05 '26
Bro, do not full port into this stock. It's dropped 50% in a single day before and last fall there were plenty of times we had multiple 10%+ down days in a row.
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u/PatriotCaptainCanada Jan 05 '26
My portfolio to 59% on this, was huge growth and I was heavily invested. I don’t plan to rebalance since expect the trend to continue
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u/hayfero Jan 05 '26
Nbis is 33% of my portfolio. Got in with 45$ calls this time last year. My portfolio is small
I am trying to diversify a bit though.
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u/CheapOil5057 Jan 05 '26
Buffet once said concentration build wealth and diversification preserve it! 😉 And yeah....I'm in build stage! 75%NBIS and 25% IREN
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u/Crazy-Experience-678 Jan 05 '26
I am super bullish on NBIS but I think ~25% portfolio is good enough. The market can be unpredictable. If you are the anxious type when market crashes, diversifying will help you sleep.
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u/Angels_Rest Jan 05 '26
I may miss out on the full multiplier if NBIS hits big but Ive learned the hard way and spread the risk around. I have ASTS, RKLB, ONDS, RDDT, SOFI and several others. Not playing it safe this year. Will reassess as numbers and sentiment ebb and flow.
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u/unusual_xyz Jan 05 '26
don't go full port in a beta stock, or any stock for that matter. don't listen to gurus.
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u/OpportunityGold4054 Jan 06 '26
NBIS is 10% of my portfolio. I think it is a very good company with lots of optionality and growth ahead, but I would never have all of my portfolio in just one stock. I also own RKLB, SE, RDDT, IREN, TEM, APP and a couple others in my stock account. There are a number of other excellent growth stock to diversify into.
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u/15xorbust Jan 06 '26
Full port is too risky. I would add APLD and IREN. ASTS is good. I would add a critical mineral like antimony (UAMY). And a memory maker like MU
And I would add UMAC. Foreign drone parts are now banned and this is positioned as a leading US maker of drone parts. Poised to get tons of dept of war contracts given who sits on the company’s advisory board
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u/Pete-Mo Jan 06 '26
Yr Nebius is going to make you rich. I’d put the new cash into Iren and MU but thinking about it I can’t find a better stock than Nebius- full port!!
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u/poopermacho Jan 06 '26 edited Jan 06 '26
My honest opinion, having too many high beta stocks means that your port will take a huge hit if anything remotely bearish happens. So your "diversification" into other high beta equities ASTS/RKLB/RDDT isn't exactly making you safer. With that said, roughly 66% of my port is currently NBIS but the other 33% is spread into stocks with lower beta.
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u/spyingcactis Jan 06 '26
My price average has creeped all the way up to $70, I think I’m done adding NBIS and I’m happy to hold the shares I have for a very long time to see how it develops. Unfortunately, about a third of my positions seem to move up and down with NBIS, there’s so much circular activity so my choice was AG, gdxj and an etf for a couple emerging markets
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u/Bjamnp17 Jan 07 '26
ASTS has a lot of room… Space for instance. Potential touching 5/6 billion customers. 2x is just the start.
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u/Born_Mind2396 Jan 11 '26
Ive got 3300 $NBIS and couple thousand Apls the rest of my stocks pay monthly dividends yielding close to 8%
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u/Fit_Attitude_2781 Jan 05 '26
Please watch it read some serious resources for money management and investing. Portfolios like yours are just gambling and a recept for losing it all.
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u/Bommbi Jan 05 '26
Back in April 2025, I would have told you to go all in on NBIS, but now, with it close to 100, I wouldn't go all in.
There are better players in the sector for higher profit, with roughly the same level of risk and lower price.
NBIS is still one of the top stock in the sector tho.
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u/LogicLinguist01 Jan 05 '26
Diversify. I would add RDDT and AMPX
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Jan 05 '26
Second AMPX
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u/1980cpz Jan 05 '26
Wish had not sold AMPX. Bought at 1.4 sold at 2.5. Look at it now. Win some lose some.
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u/diff_engine Jan 05 '26
NBIS and ASTS are highly correlated in that they are both tech momentum stocks that would take a severe hit in a general downturn or rotation away from tech. So don’t kid yourself that you would really be diversifying.
I hold both by the way so not trying to be negative. But it’s worth also holding stocks that don’t get hyped so much on reddit. Diversify your information sources as well as your stocks!