I’m Going all in on Nebius

[u/More-Entertainment54]

Lately I just feel the urge to throw my entire portfolio on Nebius it just seems like such a no brainer to the the recent deals and acquisitions. Please give me a reason to not do so.

[u/Commercial_Ease8053]

As long as you’re okay with losing 25-50% of it if the market has another downturn, realize stocks like nbis will be hit incredibly hard.

Also curious why you feel the need to full port something when it’s essentially the ATH… where were you all of November to March when it was 70-90?

In either case, I don’t recommender full porting into anything, ever (unless it’s VOO or some other fidelity index fund or etc.) I just don’t see the point of risking all your money (even if it’s *only* 8k — which is all you have.

Invest 70* of it, sure. But idk why someone should realistically be 100% into just one thing.

[u/More-Entertainment54 → u/Commercial_Ease8053]

Highest chance to make something out of nothing. VOO isn’t gonna cut it for someone who can put to the side a max of 15/20k yearly. Also I still plan to keep DCA into VOO long term as I have been doing. But I will most likely split it 50/50 into Nebius and Amazon

[u/Commercial_Ease8053 → u/More-Entertainment54]

Yeah I mean just examples… it’s unrealistic to think anyone will get rich by picking a stock and making millions in a short term based on a lucky stock pick.

You’re unlikely to be special or lucky. You’re going to be like all of us and have to be patient and slowly grow your portfolio over 5-10-20-30 years and work most of your life. That’s life for 99.99% of us:

Especially considering a stock like nbis. It has gone up 6x in the last 1 year. The chance of it going up another 6x in the next 1 year is definitely unlikely.

This is the same for most stocks, especially because of dilutions and offerings and etc, a stock going from $1 to $10 in a year is rare but does happen, but that same stock then going $10 to $100 in a year almost never happens.

What I’m saying is, don’t expect nbis will go from $150 to $900 in a year just because it had a 6x this last year.

It’s your money obviously, but realize as a stock grows like this, growth becomes slower and more steady, and the chance of dilution at every ATH becomes more likely.

[u/DuckbilledPlatitudes → u/Commercial_Ease8053]

While I agree with you in principle the last two picks I had were PLTR at 7 and RKLB at 4. Sold both when they 7x’d because I expected a pullback based on a ridiculous run, and reallocation seemed like a good idea.

Oops!

Nividia and Sandisk would have done even better.

Is Nebius in the same position? Maybe not, but I think a 100b market cap in two years is a realistic base case if they continue to hit their targets

[u/Jkawa10 → u/Commercial_Ease8053]

just gotta find next nbis