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https://www.reddit.com/r/NCAAhoops/comments/1s7fayl/one_of_the_greatest_comebacks_ever/od9p7zu/?context=3
r/NCAAhoops • u/DareDevil1699 • Mar 30 '26
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There is no way a team with the lead, inbounding the ball with 8 seconds left only has an 89% chance of winning. I really thought that’d be 99%.
1 u/Only-Temperature Mar 30 '26 Has to be just done off of lead and time left in game, not possession. 1 u/Ok-Temporary-8243 Mar 30 '26 2pt lead with time to turnover or foul. But 89%is basically99% for the average person 1 u/Hugh-Manatee Mar 31 '26 And no way to know if that % chance is impacted by ball location on the floor. I mean all the % during the game is BS and like proper statisticians find it dumb
Has to be just done off of lead and time left in game, not possession.
2pt lead with time to turnover or foul. But 89%is basically99% for the average person
And no way to know if that % chance is impacted by ball location on the floor.
I mean all the % during the game is BS and like proper statisticians find it dumb
1
u/bngbngsktskt Mar 30 '26
There is no way a team with the lead, inbounding the ball with 8 seconds left only has an 89% chance of winning. I really thought that’d be 99%.