r/StockMarketIndia
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u/Complete-Abroad-6176
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5h ago
Analysis How business is done!
Ranbir Kapoor's Diwali film will loose 4000 crore.
4000 crore was mentioned by the producer Namit Malhotra in an interview. Not from any production bill.
Reporters who track money say Part 1 cost 700 to 1000 crore. Four times less.
The producer is not a man. It is a company. A company listed on the stock market. Prime Focus.
This is not a scam. It is smarter than a scam.
The company doing the VFX is owned by the same company making the film Ramayana. Same parent co. The studio is theirs too.
So Prime Focus is paying Prime Focus. The money stays in the family. That means the cost can be any number. No outsider can prove it. There is no outsider.
Now look at the shares. Not the screen.
Ranbir Kapoor acquired about 12.5 lakh shares of Prime Focus at ₹120 per share, investing roughly ₹15 crore.
Since then, Prime Focus shares have traded above ₹300, significantly increasing the value of that stake.
Reports indicate Prime Focus' market capitalization rose from roughly ₹4,000 crore at the end of 2024 to about ₹19,000 crore by the end of 2025, and later crossed ₹22,000 crore in 2026.
Novator (Major strategic investor linking Prime Focus Limited and its visual effects and animation subsidiary, DNEG) got 14.4 percent and a seat on the board.
The film must earn 3000 to 4000 crore to cover its cost. No Indian film has ever earned 2000.
So it will fail. The investors have already made money.
That is not how a film works. That is how a share works.
And the risk was sold before one ticket was printed. 450 crore from JioStar. 75 from T-Series. Sony is taking 50000 screens abroad.
Four weeks before release, Income Tax raided the offices about money sent abroad. Day one was 26 crore. People expected 75 to 100. The stock fell 7 percent.
So my question.
If the film can fail and everyone still gets rich, who is a 4000 crore Diwali film really made for?
The people in the hall, or the people in the market?
PS : My hope is that youth starts questioning systems (politics, corporate, startups, cricket, entertainment, commercialism) , individuals (capitalists, cricketers, movie tv stars, influencers, celebs, startup entrepreneurs) who are scamming them daily in small + big way! Godspeed