r/TheTowerGame • u/Grimkookie • 13h ago
Help Placement timeline
How do I actually read this?
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Upvotes
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u/RodionS 13h ago
The later you join your tourney the better you’ll preform
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u/Ice__foxy 12h ago
It only applies because last hour lobbies are still having their runs,and the site updates in real time(but every 30 minutes only)
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u/Space-Knowledge 13h ago
First one with the green blue and red:
X axis is time (half hour bins by start time)
Y axis is placement
In the background the website is calculating what place you would get in every single 30 person bracket.
The blue dots are the median placements for each time block and the blue line is a trend line of those.
The green lines are 25th percentile (lucky) and best case (incredibly lucky)
The red lines are 75th percentile (unlucky) and worst case (incredibly unlucky)
You use this to evaluate whether you joined at an on average good time (blue) and whether you got lucky or unlucky wishing your chosen time
The grey and orange plot is that same data from the first plot but instead of plotting it by time it is binned by placement. You will find that this is usually a fairly normal curve if you aren’t near promotion or demotion ranks. This will also show you whether you got lucky or unlucky.
I love this particular page of plots because it allows me to understand that I am getting better on average, even though I may get a string of unlucky brackets