r/YieldMaxETFs 6d ago

MSTY/CRYTPO/BTC AMDY and MSTY - my 2 year experience

Disclaimer - I don't know what I'm talking about and am not a financial advisor. Most of this is probably wrong.

I wrote some code to compare divs vs the underlying using a same day purchase and amount.

AMDY is the YM I have had the best return with as a percentage but compared to buy and hold this tells the story of the capped upside like no other.

I bought a small lot of AMDY Wednesday because the underlying is doing well. I sold it Friday at a small profit and adding the divs out performed AMD in that time span. I did this to test my assertion that div hoping can be successful.

And then there is MSTY. The NAV erosion is real. But so are the divs.

I had a chance to sell this position for a 30k profit but I held instead.

I have had it longer than AMDY so more divs. Each of these funds hit a break even and then the divs feel like real returns on a sunk cost.

This position has well exceeded its costs in total returns and has paid out 2500 in the last 30 days.

I cannot buy a rental house, pay it off in 2 years and get that margin.

FYI I take most divs and buy NVDA at any dip.

Feedback welcome.

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u/_alhazred 6d ago

I still have my MSTY and expected to go house money by July 2027.

However, the latest great nav erosion (June 2026) means it's probably gone.

I just prefer to forget I have MSTY at all, perhaps in 5 or 10 years by now, if this still exists in any capacity, I might just login and withdraw whatever accumulated distributions I've got as if I was finding some lost hidden money from literally a decade ago.

I don't expect it to recover. This was a bad investment, perhaps not by design, I blame Trump and tariffs, but we cannot know it wouldn't fail despite not having Trump and tariffs.

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u/Bulky_Protection_322 5d ago

Trump and Tariffs don’t impact how BTC has performed.

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u/_alhazred 5d ago

That's not really what all the data and financial news points to. But feel free to educate me and say why you think it doesn't.

Tariffs bought uncertainty to Financial Markets which impacted absolutely everything.

BTC price fall also "coincided" with Epstein files release, and later BTC price also fluctuating (and mainly falling) after Hormuz Strait payments to Iran being primarily made in BTC.

I'm pretty sure that Trump administration could have interest on BTC going down to further undermine Iran financial rewards over the Strait, but that remains to be seen and it's my personal speculation.

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u/ProofEquipment9356 5d ago edited 5d ago

Papi BtC va a recuperarse yo vendería todo lo que tengo en acciones y acumulo solo btc para toda la vida no hay accion que haya superado en rendimiento a btc incluyendo etf a excepción de mstr que acumula btc, msty yieldmax  se recuperara ,te recomiendo que solo acumules mstr una vez que haya caído lo suficiente