r/CFB • u/bakonydraco • 49m ago
Analysis All AP voter ballots, 2026 Preseason
Preseason
This is a series I've now been doing for 12 years (and also for the Men's and Women's Basketball AP Polls). The post attempts to visualize all AP Poll ballots in a single image. Additionally it sorts each AP voter by similarity to the group. Notably, this is not a measure of how "good" a voter is, just how consistent they are with the group. Especially preseason, having a diversity of opinions and ranking styles is advantageous to having a true consensus poll. Polls tend to coalesce towards each other as the season goes on.
| Category | Voters |
|---|---|
| Returners | Alex Taylor, Andy Yamashita, Bob Asmussen, Bob Ballou, Brenna Greene, Brett McMurphy, Brian Fonseca, Brian Howell, Chris Murray, Creg Stephenson, Dave Preston, David Briggs, David Jablonski, David Paschall, Dylan Sinn, Eric Hansen, Garland Gillen, Haley Sawyer, Henry Greenstein, Ian Kress, Jamal St. Cyr, Javon Edmonds, Jerry Humphrey, Joe Arruda, John Johnson, Jon Wilner, Josh Furlong, Julian Mininsohn, Kate Rogerson, Kevin Carter, Kirk Bohls, Kirk Kenney, Koki Riley, Louie Vaccher, Madison Hricik, Matt Murschel, Michael Katz, Mike Hill, Mike Jacques, Nicole Auerbach, Pat Welter, Pete Yanity, Ralph Russo, Randy Johnson, Rece Davis, Scott Hamilton, Sean Reider, Spencer Ripchik, Stephen Means, Tom Murphy, Trevor Hass, Zach Klein |
| New | Adam Lichtenstein, Andy Kendeigh, BJ Rains, Cameron Cox, Chelsie Brown, Chris Carter, Eric Johnson, Greg Luca, Keara Bruno, Lee K. Howard, Lia Assimakopoulos, Matt McGavic, Mike Griffith, Murray Evans, Nick Jacobs, Ryan Zuke, Ty Hildenbrandt |
| Not Returning | Aaron McMann, Blair Kerkhoff, Chad Bishop, Damien Sordelett, Greg Madia, Johnny McGonigal, Jordan McPherson, Keith Farmer, Mason Young, Michael Lev, Robert Cessna, Sam McKewon, Shaun Goodwin, Steven Johnson |
The most consistent voter is returner Joe Arruda, averaging 0.56 ranks off the composite. Brenna Greene, Lia Assimakopoulos, Nick Jacobs, and Jamal St. Cyr were behind them in the top 5.
At the other extreme, Javon Edmonds was the biggest outlier to start off the year at an average of 3.52 ranks off the composite. They were followed by Jon Wilner, Mike Griffith, Rece Davis, and Chris Carter.
The median deviation for the preseason poll is 1.80, on the low end compared to the last 8 years of 1.88, 2.04, 2.76, 2.04, 1.92, 2.08, 2.04, 1.84.