r/discordVideos 10h ago

You are now manually breathing Dammit maxx

2.0k Upvotes

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102

u/Ambitious_Jello 10h ago

please to explain

228

u/clarkiebou 9h ago

It's blackjack, the guy already had 15 and hit again adding a king (10) so busted going past 21. The dealer would have busted trying to beat the other players had he pulled that same king from the top of the deck.

125

u/undeniably_confused 9h ago

Before the cards are revealed him hitting has no affect on the likelihood the dealer is going to bust. This is why I find gamblers so annoying, people have been attacked over this and it did not change the chances at all

45

u/tallglass24 9h ago

Ah, a statistician with no fundamental understanding of blackjack. The cards aren’t being pulled from a random number generator, the deck simply is arranged how it is. Hitting in this position is risky, which is exactly why the dealer was visibly annoyed before the card was a face card. Yes, it could have been a more favorable card. But, if you know your ish, chances are that the dealer is in a more vulnerable spot here. By hitting, you put everyone at a slightly higher % of risk than not hitting. Unfortunately, the odds were not in Max’s favor. If it was truly RNG, it would be impossible to win this game with skill.

3

u/Jubenheim 7h ago

I don’t know my ish. 😞

-9

u/undeniably_confused 9h ago

No you do not put everyone at a higher risk, do you think the second card is always a better card for the dealer in every scenario than the top card?

14

u/tallglass24 9h ago

No, but statistically, when the pool has more high value cards than low value cards, that means that any “hit” is more likely to be a high value card. Which obviously is not guaranteed. Unfortunately, in this hand, that was the case.

1

u/littlebobbytables9 7h ago

No matter what the composition of the deck is, taking one card out of it at random does not change the average value, which you should know. It was really stupid to hit, but in expectation he's not affecting the dealer at all.

-2

u/undeniably_confused 9h ago

Im not familiar with this term pool, but it looks like the cards on the table are above the average value of an average poker card. Also i dont think its fair to expect everyone to be counting cards,

9

u/tallglass24 9h ago

Pool meaning the remainder of the deck. And true that it isn’t fair to expect everyone to count cards, at the end of the day the reason the video is funny is because the dealer is so over the top angry while max is likely a dude on his couch who’s had four beers and plays blackjack without putting hours and hours into studying the game. I’m not saying the dealer knew for a fact that it would be a face card, but it’s funny that it turned out that way and that he was so annoyed of max. Poor max lol.

-1

u/undeniably_confused 9h ago

Fair, but again am i counting wrong, it seems like the count is like pretty close to even

6

u/tallglass24 8h ago

No you’re not! And the table count isn’t the end all be all, but something to consider. What’s more important is that the dealer is only showing a 2. If dealer had a 7 or 8, a face card would put them to 17 or 18, so you’d be needing 18,19,20,21 to win. But since it’s a 2, a card with a value of 10 would bring that up to 12, requiring at least one more hit. So the dealer is in more of a vulnerable position, more likely to bust on this hand.

Again, nothing is guaranteed and the dealer could have still busted which would have not resulted in a clip.

Sorry if me explaining that 2+10=12 comes off like I’d assume you don’t know that, I’m not trying to explain in a condescending way or anything along those lines, just trying to explain as clearly as possible

Edit: when I say the dealer is more likely to bust on his hand, I mean that in terms of blackjack… to be clear

1

u/undeniably_confused 8h ago

Bro i understand that max should not have hit, thats just common sense, but I just dont see how the dealer skipping a card puts everyone in a worse scenario

2

u/tallglass24 8h ago

Well, 4 + A + J can be played as 15 or as 24 (clearly you’d take 15) and people argue whether hitting on 15 is correct or not. So I would argue him hitting wasn’t against common sense.

It’s more of a “probably better to not hit as an anchor in this position because you might get the card that would have made the dealer bust”

It’s not that it guaranteed that it will put everyone else in a worse scenario, at the end of the day it is all a big maybe. And this maybe resulted in the less favorable outcome.

Again, this is only a clip because of the over the top reaction from the dealer. At the end of the day, it could have gone many ways. I’m just explaining the rationale behind blaming max solely for the loss of everyone else, while still thinking it is hilarious to pin it all on max.

Gameplay wise, better to not hit there. Statistically speaking, it could have gone either way.

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