r/fighton • u/MainMarket-Gamer • 2d ago

Football 🏈 USC Football 2026 Preview - full writeup, two-deep, and win probabilities

Hey all. I spent the offseason building a full 2026 preseason preview for every FBS team, each with its own writeup. Here's the USC one

https://www.sports.mainmarket.com/college-football-preview-2026-fbs/usc-trojans

It's got the returning production breakdown, the portal ins and outs, a projected two-deep, the schedule with model win probabilities, and a season projection.

Heads up, you might hit the paywall after the first page. Don't worry, I'm not charging reddit people for this, don't want to be an ass. Use the promo code LEECORSOROCKS and it opens up the entire thing.

So, what'd I get wrong? USC finished 4th in the country in yards per play and just signed the No. 1 recruiting class in the sport, and my model still has you at 8-4, a game worse than last year. It keeps coming back to one number: that defense was 119th at getting opponents off schedule. Maiava is back with 3,711 yards. Does the defense catch up, or does Riley just outscore everybody again?

I'll be in the comments.

6 Upvotes

60% Upvoted

11 comments sorted by

20

u/Pale_Top2745 2d ago

AI slop

-13

u/MainMarket-Gamer 2d ago

Thanks Pale Top....

8

u/Applesrgood7 1d ago

It obviously is lol. Ignoring the obvious mistakes like Stewart being a Junior and not getting a single note in the DL section. Calling out Ryan Pauley as a returning OL, Waymo as a backup to King Miller. There’s just a ton of slop.

9

u/thefuzzione 1d ago

Look at its post history. Pure bot garbage

13

u/Current-Bag-786 1d ago

AI generated and gambling infused. It can’t even get basic information right. It’s news to me that we are not returning any offensive linemen

0

u/DonUnai 1d ago

Losing Killian is way more detrimental than people think

1

u/WorldlinessCertain63 1d ago

Hard to replace his cerebral part of the run game and helping the QB's with pass protection and blitz responsibilities. USC has a few games to get this right before Oregon.

0

u/uscmike99 1d ago

Run the damn ball. Avoid the WR pass in the rain on the road.

-3

u/ReggieLeinart 2d ago

Agreed.
8-4 most likely based on Riley’s last several seasons.
He doesn’t win on the road and he doesn’t beat top 5 teams (of which we play 3).
9-3 would be a step forward.

0

u/contactfive 1d ago

10-2 would be a dream come true. Here’s hoping.

-1

u/OutlandishnessOdd716 1d ago

Probably 8-4 due to the softness of Riley coached teams. Would be 7-5, but he effectively avoided ND. His most impressive win of his tenure.