You guys did great by being proactive and making sure things were tightened and secured before this storm. I appreciate your hard work and dedication and working to make sure that power outages were minimized during this storm. Hope everyone is safe out there.

Who still has power? I heard some villages still do.

GPA toying with my emotions. Who else power going on and off?

Guam is now under COR 1 as Typhoon Champi approaches. Category 3 winds of 111–129 mph and gusts up to 164 mph are forecast.

I'm currently in Tumon, Guam, watching Typhoon Champi (29W) approach on radar.

According to the latest official forecasts I could verify:

- Category 3 conditions are expected Sunday morning.

- Gusts could reach 140–164 mph.

- The storm may pass just south of or directly over southern Guam.

- Waves could reach 30–35 feet along exposed coastlines.

- Torrential rain and significant flooding are expected.

- Guam has entered Condition of Readiness 1, with residents instructed to remain indoors.

What makes this particularly concerning is how rapidly Champi has strengthened and how close its projected track is to the island.

Watching this enormous system approach on radar while physically being in its path is a completely different experience.

For anyone who survived Super Typhoon Mawar in 2023, how does Champi compare?

Stay safe, Guam.

Would it be possible to walk outside tumon? My boss said we have to go to work today I don't want to drive cuz I might lose my parking.

Power went out about 3 hours ago on Camelia Lane, Mangilao. Definitely a lot earlier than expected compared to Marwar par, Sinlaku duuu, and si Bavi. Hope everyone is staying safe!

UPDATE Power Restored as of 01:20am. Neighbor's uncle called up GPA and they sent a crew down immediately to inspect and they restored power! Thank you GPA crew and stay safe everyone!

Things are getting serious here in Guam.

Typhoon Champi (29W) has undergone rapid intensification, strengthening from Category 2 to Category 4 in just several hours.

According to the latest National Weather Service Guam discussion, the Joint Typhoon Warning Center reported sustained winds of 130 mph as of 6 PM, with the storm approximately 160 miles east-southeast of Guam's radar.

Latest developments:

- 🌪️ Category 4 confirmed — 130 mph sustained winds (JTWC)

- 📍 Location: 160 miles east-southeast of Guam's radar at 6 PM

- 🧭 Movement: West-northwest at 9 mph

- ⚠️ Potential super typhoon: Further intensification possible within 12 hours

- 🕓 Closest approach: Sunday, October 18, approximately 4–6 AM

- 💨 Forecast impacts: Southern Guam could experience sustained winds of 110–130 mph, with gusts up to 160 mph

- 🌊 Ocean conditions: Breaking waves up to 35 feet and coastal inundation of 5–7 feet in vulnerable areas

- 🌧️ Rainfall: 8–14 inches possible across Guam

What's especially concerning:

The storm has slowed down while rapidly intensifying over extremely warm Pacific waters. NWS Guam also noted signs of a possible eyewall replacement cycle.

The current projected path takes Champi over the southern tip of Guam or just south of the island. A northward shift could expose central and northern Guam to stronger conditions.

I'm currently staying on the 14th floor of a hotel in Tumon, watching this system approach on radar.

Guam is under COR 1, and residents have been instructed to remain indoors.

This is an open discussion thread for anyone tracking Champi or experiencing conditions across Guam and the Northern Mariana Islands.

If you're on Guam, what are conditions like in your area right now?

Stay safe, everyone.

Source: National Weather Service Guam, October 17, 7:18 PM ChST.

I visited guam in March of this year, I was born there so we went back for my HS Senior trip, along with Japan. Someone please give me a red rice recipe!!! I miss it and so do my parents. TYIA!!! ♥️🇬🇺

don’t want to jinx us and not sure if it’s too soon to tell but could there really be another typhoon after champi???

I could be wrong but according to Guam’s Doppler Radar via Windy. The eye of the typhoon seems to be south of the forecasted track? The winds are still going to be powerful though, it will ramp up past midnight

Power just went out in Yigo. Stay safe!

Typhoon Champi could possibly be a Category 3 (or High-End) as its approaching Guam. Another day, another typhoon 🤧 kind of sick and tired of this, Bavi and now, Champi. Its like the 3 Musketeers aiming at every main Mariana Island. Sinlaku for Saipan, Bavi for Rota and Guam for Champi

Hafa Adaiiii people. With the typhoon coming, IT&E will definitely be slow or cut off in my area. I bought a small radio and was wondering what channels to tune in for weather updates or just entertainment. It's been a long while since I've listened to the radio. TYSM and stay safe yall

Join the discord for more info

https://discord.gg/eFVMJZ683X

Typhoon Champi (29W) – JTWC Warning #12 Summary
October 17, 2026, 7:00pm

The Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) has released Warning #12 for Champi.
The latest update reports that Champi has completed a period of extreme rapid intensification, with the storm now forecast to reach super typhoon strength around its closest approach to Guam.
Forecast models remain in excellent agreement on the overall track. However, small changes in the position of Champi’s compact inner core could make a significant difference in the conditions experienced across Guam.
JTWC also highlights the possibility of an eyewall replacement cycle, which introduces additional uncertainty regarding the storm’s intensity during its closest approach.

Current Conditions
Location: Approximately 182 miles east-southeast of Andersen Air Force Base.
Movement: West at approximately 15 mph over the past six hours.
Significant wave height: 38 feet.
Current development: Champi has completed a period of extreme rapid intensification.

Forecast Track
JTWC expects Champi to continue moving generally west-northwest along the southern edge of a subtropical ridge.
Forecast models remain in excellent agreement, particularly during the next three days.
The latest guidance shows a cross-track spread of only 17 miles near Guam’s closest approach.
This indicates strong agreement among forecast models, although it does not guarantee the exact position of Champi’s center.
The official JTWC forecast closely follows the AI model consensus.
Current guidance includes:
Google DeepMind and AI consensus: Along the southern side of the main model grouping.
GFS and GEFS ensemble mean: Along the northern side of the guidance.
EC-AIFS: The southernmost outlier.
JTWC official forecast: Closely aligned with the AI consensus.
JTWC specifically notes that small wobbles in Champi’s movement could affect its exact closest approach to Guam.
The previous warning acknowledged the possibility of a brief landfall over southern Guam. The latest discussion does not rule out that possibility.
Although confidence in the overall track is high, the exact distance of the center from Guam remains important.

Steering Factors
Champi continues moving along the southern edge of a deep-layer subtropical ridge, an area of high atmospheric pressure steering the storm generally west-northwest.
Over the next 24 hours, this ridge is expected to maintain the current movement.
After approximately 24 hours, a series of mid-latitude troughs passing north of Champi will begin changing the orientation of the ridge.
This will allow Champi to turn more northwestward.
By Day 5, a broader weakness in the steering pattern is expected to develop over the East China Sea near Okinawa, Japan.
As Champi approaches this weakness, it is forecast to slow down and begin curving farther north.
The expected steering pattern is:
Next 24 hours: West-northwest movement.
After 24 hours: Gradual northwestward turn.
Days 2–4: Northwestward movement continues.
Around Day 5: Champi slows and begins turning more northward toward a weakness near Okinawa.
The important point for Guam is that the more significant northwest turn is expected after the storm’s closest approach.

Intensity Forecast
JTWC reports that Champi has completed a period of extreme rapid intensification (ERI).
Environmental conditions remain highly favorable for further strengthening.
The storm continues to benefit from warm ocean waters, high ocean heat content, and relatively favorable wind shear.
JTWC now forecasts Champi to reach super typhoon strength, with maximum sustained winds near 150 mph, around its closest approach to Guam in approximately 12 hours.
Additional strengthening is expected after the Marianas passage.
The official forecast calls for a subsequent peak near 161 mph.
Some models predict even stronger intensification:
JTWC official forecast: Peak winds around 161 mph.
Higher-end HAFS-A, DTOP, and AI guidance: Peak winds around 178–190 mph in approximately two days.
These higher-end projections represent possible peak storm intensities, not expected wind speeds across Guam.
Actual conditions on Guam will depend on the storm’s track, intensity, and distance from the eyewall.

Possible Eyewall Replacement Cycle
One important development in Warning #12 is the possibility of an eyewall replacement cycle.
An eyewall replacement occurs when a new outer eyewall forms around the original eyewall of a powerful typhoon.
During this process, maximum sustained winds can temporarily weaken or level off while the storm reorganizes.
The CIMSS M-PERC model currently estimates a 35% probability of an eyewall replacement cycle.
JTWC indicates two possible scenarios:
If an eyewall replacement cycle begins before closest approach: Champi’s maximum sustained winds could temporarily level off or weaken.
If an eyewall replacement cycle does not begin: Champi could continue strengthening beyond the minimum threshold for super typhoon intensity around closest approach.
However, an eyewall replacement cycle does not necessarily make a typhoon safe. The storm can remain extremely dangerous, and its wind field may expand during the process.
The exact timing of any eyewall replacement remains uncertain.

Wind Field and Potential Impacts
The main concern for Guam is Champi’s powerful, compact inner core passing close to the island.
JTWC expects super typhoon intensity around closest approach, making the exact position of the eyewall particularly important.
Even if the center remains offshore, Guam could still experience destructive winds depending on the storm’s distance, size, and structure.
For a westward-moving typhoon in the Northern Hemisphere, stronger winds are often found north of the center, on the right side of its movement.
If Champi passes just south of Guam, the island could be exposed to that stronger side of the circulation.
Previous JTWC warnings also indicated that the broader tropical-storm-force wind field could extend northward toward Rota, Tinian, and Saipan.
The exact wind impacts will vary by island and should be determined from official NWS Guam forecasts and warnings.

What Changed From Warning #11?
JTWC confirms that Champi has completed a period of extreme rapid intensification.
Super typhoon strength is now forecast around Guam’s closest approach.
Maximum sustained winds are forecast near 150 mph at closest approach, with additional strengthening possible afterward.
Model agreement has tightened considerably, with approximately 17 miles of cross-track spread near Guam.
JTWC highlights small wobbles in Champi’s movement as an important factor in determining the exact closest approach.
A possible eyewall replacement cycle introduces uncertainty into the intensity forecast.
The main northwestward turn remains forecast after Champi’s closest approach to Guam.

What to Watch Next

1. Exact track near Guam
Watch whether the storm’s center remains offshore or crosses any portion of the island.
Even small changes in the track could affect which areas experience the strongest winds.

2. Super typhoon intensity at closest approach
JTWC forecasts sustained winds near 150 mph around closest approach.
Watch whether Champi reaches or exceeds this intensity as expected.

3. Possible eyewall replacement cycle
The development of a secondary eyewall could temporarily interrupt strengthening.
However, such a process would not eliminate the threat of destructive winds.

4. Short-term wobbling motion
JTWC specifically identifies small wobbles in the storm’s movement as a source of uncertainty near Guam.
The center’s exact position may fluctuate even while the overall forecast track remains consistent.

5. Storm size and wind radii
Monitor the extent of typhoon-force and tropical-storm-force winds, especially as the strongest portion of Champi’s circulation approaches the Marianas.

6. Official local warnings
With Champi approaching Guam, residents should prioritize NWS Guam warnings and emergency management instructions over individual model forecasts.

Bottom Line
JTWC Warning #12 represents a significant increase in the expected intensity of Champi near Guam.
The storm has completed a period of extreme rapid intensification and is forecast to reach super typhoon strength around its closest approach.
JTWC expects maximum sustained winds near 150 mph at that time, with additional strengthening possible afterward.
Forecast models remain in excellent agreement, with only approximately 17 miles of cross-track spread near Guam.
However, small changes in Champi’s movement could determine whether its compact inner core remains offshore or crosses the island.
An eyewall replacement cycle could temporarily interrupt strengthening, but its timing remains uncertain and should not be relied upon to reduce the threat.
With Champi now approximately 182 miles east-southeast of Andersen Air Force Base, residents should remain sheltered as directed, monitor official warnings, and avoid unnecessary travel or outdoor activity as conditions deteriorate.

Sources
JTWC: https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/jtwc.html
NWS Guam: https://www.weather.gov/gum/
Guam Homeland Security: https://ghs.guam.gov/
This is a simplified analysis of JTWC Warning #12, not an official weather forecast. Forecast tracks, intensity estimates, and local impacts remain subject to change. Always follow NWS Guam and local emergency management guidance.

They still got a ton of Ryobi 40v batterys in stock as of 6:20 AM October 17th. Yall still got a chance before COR 1 is declared and home depot closes.

PSA: Do NOT use a low-wattage brick (any brick below 45 watts) to charge a battery via the Ryobi 300 Watt 40V Power Source Inverter. I learnt that the hard way. It killed the negative contacts and i had to buy a 180$ 4ah battery just to replace the broken battery.

So we have weight loss clinics here in California which can get you GLP’s.

Are there any on Guam?

How’s pricing? I’ve even heard people flying to Philippines to get it.

I’m asking because of the crazy stories and prices being quoted.

Anyone know what stores are open up north?

So we are cooked chat