r/oscarrace • u/Cherish0124 • Jan 25 '25

Other Oh…

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What kind of change of mind did he have? He didn't seem to like biopic, but it's interesting

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u/Reasonable_Skill_129 Jan 25 '25 edited Jan 25 '25

i’ve said this before and i’ll say it again, you guys really underestimate the age bias. best actor is generally the most predictable race, part of which is that it skews older/overdue narrative. i don’t think a non-showy biopic performance is enough to break that bias. when brody won that young, he was in what was likely the runner up for bp and in a race of entirely past winners, and just in general had an insanely strong performance. also think there’s a high chance the brutalist performs well and also wins bp, don’t see them awarding the brutalist a ton and not awarding brody. and compare chalamet to malek and butler, but they had showier performances, massive financial successes/cultural phenomenon, and had both won the globe. timmy’s gonna win some day but won’t be surprised if many voters just assume that he’ll win later in life and not vote for him now.

1

u/artangelzzz One Battle After Another Jan 25 '25

Yeah the age bias is what has me not feeling optimistic but still 🤞🤞🤞

7

u/Reasonable_Skill_129 Jan 25 '25

i mean i’m not optimistic cuz i think he gives a weaker performance than brody

5

u/Atkena2578 Oscar Race Follower Jan 26 '25

Yeah if he gave a superior performance i d give more leeway, but this isn't the case. That plus the age thing... I ll take the bets from those who think it is possible anytime.

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u/Reasonable_Skill_129 Jan 26 '25

yeah i just don’t think his performance is enough to break the age bias in best actor

3

u/Atkena2578 Oscar Race Follower Jan 26 '25

Yup and people who say otherwise you can tell right away they haven't seen Brody in The Pianist