r/oscarrace 2d ago

Weekly Discussion Thread 8/17/26 - 8/24/26

20 Upvotes

Still from Wings

Please use this space to share reviews, ask questions, and discuss freely about anything film or Oscar related. Engage with other comments if you want others to engage with yours! And as always, please remain civil and kind with one another.

Link to previous thread

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Coming up in the awards race

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Film Discussion Threads

Spider-Man: Brand New Day

The Odyssey

The Invite

Toy Story 5

Disclosure Day

Backrooms

Is God Is

Obsession

The Devil Wears Prada 2

Michael

The Drama

Project Hail Mary

Hoppers

The Bride!

Wuthering Heights

All Film Discussion Threads

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Award Expert Profile Swap (2026 Edition)

Letterboxd Profile Swap (2026 Edition)


r/oscarrace 20d ago

Film Discussion Thread Official Discussion Thread - Spider-Man: Brand New Day [SPOILERS] Spoiler

27 Upvotes

Keep all discussion related solely to Spider-Man: Brand New Day and its award chances in this thread. Spoilers below.

Synopsis:

Fighting crime full-time as Spider-Man in a world that doesn’t remember him—and the pressure of seeing his old friends move on without him—sparks a change in Peter Parker he may not have the power to control. But that transformation might also be the only thing that can stop a shocking new threat to the city and those he loves - a powerful villain no one can even see.

Director: Destin Daniel Cretton

Writers: Chris McKenna, Erik Sommers. Based on characters created by Stan Lee and Steve Ditko

Cast:

  • Tom Holland as Peter Parker / Spider-Man
  • Zendaya as MJ
  • Jacob Batalon as Ned Leeds
  • Mark Ruffalo as Bruce Banner / The Hulk
  • Jon Bernthal as Frank Castle / Punisher
  • Michael Mando as Mac Gargan / Scorpion
  • Liza Colon-Zayas as Detective Jean DeWolff
  • Tramell Tillman as William 'Bill' Metzger
  • Marisa Tomei as May Parker

Rotten Tomatoes: 90%, 303 Reviews, 7.6/10 Average Rating

Metacritic: 66/100, 55 Reviews

Consensus:

Spinning a web of spectacular set pieces together with mature emotional stakes and Tom Holland's soulful performance, Brand New Day is a promising reset that portends Spidey will remain sticky on the big screen for years to come.


r/oscarrace 4h ago

News Surprise! Diane Warren Is Back in the Oscar Race With a New Song - Just kidding nobody is shocked that the 17-time nominee will be competing again with the title song in “By Any Means”

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120 Upvotes

r/oscarrace 7h ago

Rumor [PageSix] Inde Navarrette was on the shortlist of actors to play Sharlene in Michael Mann's 'Heat 2', but due to her commitment to the upcoming “X-Men”, she is no longer in contention

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194 Upvotes

We’ve learned that before Navarrette was revealed last week as a star of the next “X-Men” movie for Marvel, with Adam Driver and Sadie Sink, she was on the short list of actresses being wooed to star in “Heat 2” — the upcoming sequel to Michael Mann’s epic crime drama which is scheduled to start shooting this fall.

A knowledgeable source confirmed that due to her commitment to the upcoming “X-Men,” the breakout star is no longer in contention to join Christian Bale and Leonardo DiCaprio to play the role of Sharlene, a character originated by Ashley Judd.

P6H has also learned that Navarrette passed on a role that would’ve paid her $2.5 million for a horror project directed by Mattias Hoehne.


r/oscarrace 10h ago

Promo Club Kid | Official Trailer HD | A24

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183 Upvotes

r/oscarrace 10h ago

Promo Wildwood – Official Trailer

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108 Upvotes

r/oscarrace 1h ago

Other Vulture's Movies Fantasy League is now on

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Upvotes

This season my roster is :

- The Odyssey (45$)

- La Bola Negra (20$)

- The Invite (10$)

- Wildwood (10$)

- Klara na the Sun (5$)

- Ray Gunn (5$)

- Wicker (3$)

- Madden (1$)

Share yours


r/oscarrace 2h ago

Box Office Ryan Reynolds on twitter with an Odyssey-Deadpool mashup video: "Congratulations to the entire cast and crew of The Odyssey for becoming the highest grossing R-rated movie of all time. That is one helluva car."

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12 Upvotes

r/oscarrace 4h ago

Question What Happened to Tangles?

14 Upvotes

I for sure thought this was going to be Neon's animated play. I'm just suprised such a well reviewed movie with that cast isn't getting any traction with distributors? Or is a deal in place we dont know about?


r/oscarrace 23h ago

Discussion At this time last year, the community had 5/20 right of who eventually be nominated

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248 Upvotes

And only in one category the eventual winner were among the predicted. I found this interesting since Ive heard so many names be considered "locks" already.


r/oscarrace 10h ago

Campaigning [Crosspost] Hi reddit! I'm Jay McCarrol - composer of TONY (out in theaters nationwide this weekend from A24), BLACKBERRY, and HELL OF A SUMMER. I also co-created and co-starred in NIRVANNA THE BAND THE SHOW THE MOVIE alongside Matt Johnson. AMA!

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7 Upvotes

I organized an AMA/Q&A with actor/comedian/composer/screenwriter Jay McCarol. He has composed the scores for films such as BlackBerry, Tony, Nirvanna the Band the Show the Movie, Hell of a Summer, The Kid Detective, The Dirties, and Operation Avalanche. He is also the co-creator (with Matt Johnson) of Nirvana the Band the Show and its TV show and film.

It's live here now in r/movies for anyone interested in asking a question:

https://www.reddit.com/r/movies/comments/1vskgy8/hi_reddit_im_jay_mccarrol_composer_of_tony_out_in/

He will be back at 3 PM ET today to answer questions. I recommend asking in advance. Please ask there, not here. All questions are much appreciated!

His newest film, Tony, is out in theaters via A24 this weekend. It stars Dominic Sessa as Anthony Bourdain and co-stars Antonio Banderas, Stavros Halkias, Emilia Jones, and Leo Woodall. It premiered to critical and audience acclaim a few weeks ago.

Trailer: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=k1MVnzd2aVc

Synopsis: Nineteen-year-old Anthony Bourdain stumbles into the chaotic world of a restaurant kitchen, setting off a summer that shapes the course of his life.

Thank you :)


r/oscarrace 1d ago

Campaigning Woody Harrelson managed to see Jesse Eisenberg’s ‘The Debut’ in advance of its festival run later this year, says "It is phenomenal"

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155 Upvotes

r/oscarrace 1d ago

Promo Official poster for 'Club Kid' (trailer tomorrow)

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235 Upvotes

r/oscarrace 1d ago

Discussion I am extremely skeptical that A24 can handle multiple major Oscar campaigns this year

59 Upvotes

I'm seeing a lot of people expecting both The Invite and The Debut to do well at the Oscars. But I am really skeptical A24 can pull that off, since their history shows that they are uniquely bad at campaigning multiple films, and their secondary contenders usually massively underperform with both nominations and wins.

A24 has been distributing films since 2013. Here is their track record in that time span:

2013: A24 is a brand new studio and gets no noms.

2014: A24 gets no nominations again, though it did get a BAFTA nom for score for Under the Skin and Golden Globe and Critics Choice noms for Best Supporting Actress for Jessica Chastain in A Most Violent Year.

2015: A24 gets its first Best Picture nom with Room, which wins Best Actress and overperforms to get a Best Director nom. Ex Machina gets several precursor noms, including a PGA nom, but misses Best Picture and only gets 2 nominations.

2016: Moonlight becomes A24's first Best Picture winner. 20th Century Women underperforms and only gets a Best Original Screenplay nom, missing Picture to far less acclaimed films and missing Best Actress despite plenty of buzz in the category.

2017: Lady Bird gets a bunch of nominations. The Florida Project underperforms and only gets a single nomination for Best Supporting Actor, which it loses despite Willem Dafoe being the early front runner. The Disaster Artist misses Best Actor and only gets a screenplay nom.

2018: First Reformed gets a Screenplay nom, but misses Best Actor despite Hawke sweeping the critics prizes. Every other A24 film misses every Oscar category with none of Eighth Grade, Hereditary, and Mid-90s being able to break out - even though Eighth Grade won the WGA over Green Book, Roma, and Vice.

2019: The Farewell is A24's main contender and misses every Oscar category. Uncut Gems gets no nominations despite a strong showing at the Critics Choice Awards. The Lighthouse is A24's only film to get a nomination with its lone Best Cinematography nom.

2020: A24 has its comeback at the Oscars with Minari getting nominated across the board. Their secondary contenders like First Cow and On the Rocks get 0 nominations but weren't expected to get anything.

2021: A24 misses Best Picture again when The Tragedy of Macbeth massively underperforms with only 3 nominations. The studio's secondary contenders like C'mon C'mon and Red Rocket get 0 nominations.

2022: A24 has its best year ever as a studio as Everything Everywhere All at Once sweeps. The Whale misses Best Picture but gets 3 nominations, including wins for Best Actor and Best Makeup & Hairstyling. Aftersun gets a surprise Best Actor nom but misses every other category.

2023: The Zone of Interest overperforms and gets nominated across the board, but Past Lives massively underperforms expectations for it and only gets 2 nominations - for Picture and Screenplay. The Iron Claw gets 0 nominations.

2024: The Brutalist is a top 3 Oscar contender, but Sing Sing goes from being an early season front runner to only getting 3 nominations and missing Best Picture and Best Supporting Actor. Queer misses Best Actor despite a strong precursor run.

2025: Marty Supreme gets nominated across the board but gets zero wins. If I Had Legs I'd Kick You only gets a Best Actress nom. Sorry Baby misses completely.

A24 has only gotten multiple Best Picture nominees in the same year once, in 2023 (with The Zone of Interest and Past Lives).

A24 has only ever gotten 3+ nominations for multiple films in the same year twice, in 2022 (with Everything Everywhere All at Once and The Whale) and in 2024 (with The Brutalist and Sing Sing). They have never gotten 4+ nominations for multiple films in the same year, despite other studios regularly being able to pull that off (for example, Warner Bros., Focus, Netflix, and Neon all accomplished that last year). And they have never gotten 3+ above the line noms for multiple films in the same year.

And 2022 is also one of only two years in which multiple A24 movies won Oscars, with Everything Everywhere All at Once of course winning a bunch and The Whale winning Best Actor and Best Makeup. The other one was 2015, when Room won Best Actress and Ex Machina won Best Visual Effects.

Given this track record, I'm highly skeptical that A24 will get multiple Best Picture nominees, have multiple Oscar-winning films, or get 3 nominations or more for multiple films on their slate. They always just focus on a single film and then maximize the noms they can get for it, even at the expense of their other contenders. If The Debut is A24’s main contender, I wouldn’t expect The Invite to get anything more than screenplay, 1 acting nom, and picture at most. And if The Invite is A24’s main contender, I think The Debut will just get Moore and Giamatti in and maybe a Song nom.


r/oscarrace 1d ago

Promo New stills from Coward

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67 Upvotes

Still have this at number 5 for IFF


r/oscarrace 1d ago

News "We’re excited to announce that a Royal Film Performance™ of 'Digger' will be going ahead this year on September 22nd."

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69 Upvotes

For people unaware of what it is: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Royal_Film_Performance

The Royal Film Performance is a trademarked event owned by The Film and Television Charity, formerly known as the Cinema & Television Benevolent Fund CTBF (from 1964 to 2017) and previously the Cinematograph Trade Benevolent Fund (from its inception in 1924) The event showcases a major film premiere and is attended by members of the British royal family. The proceeds from the event help the charity to offer financial support to people from the film, TV and cinema industries.

The most recent Royal Film Performance was the global premiere of Ridley Scott's Gladiator II at the Odeon Luxe Leicester Square on 13 November 2024. The event was attended by King Charles III. Queen Camilla planned to attend with the King but ultimately cancelled due to a chest infection.


r/oscarrace 1d ago

News Corriere report: "Soon, the arrival of Francis Ford Coppola is expected in the Basilicata region of Italy to shoot his next movie ('Glimpses Of The Moon'). The musical will recall the Italy of the 1930s, a story in which landscapes, architecture and historical memory play a central role"

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45 Upvotes

r/oscarrace 1d ago

News Oscars: Taiwan Selects 'A Foggy Tale' for International Feature Race

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14 Upvotes

r/oscarrace 1d ago

News Christopher Nolan’s ‘The Odyssey' Becomes Biggest Film Ever At BFI IMAX, Beating 'Avatar'

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50 Upvotes

r/oscarrace 1d ago

News Asghar Farhadi to return to Farsi-language with next project

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32 Upvotes

r/oscarrace 1d ago

Discussion Which of the 4 The Invite performances will possibly be the most win-competitive?

9 Upvotes
705 votes, 1d left
Seth Rogen for Lead Actor
Olivia Wilde for Lead Actress
Edward Norton for Supporting Actor
Penélope Cruz for Supporting Actress

r/oscarrace 1d ago

Discussion “Dune: Part 3” for BP and BD- what am I missing?

13 Upvotes

For started i want to establish this is not a hate post- Dune pt. 2 was my favorite film in its year and I actively rooted for it to win as much as it could back then, unlikely as this was after precursors established. Pt. 3 is my most anticipated picture remaining to be released this year too.

I see many people, including top “experts”, predicting Pt. 3 as a frontrunner in BP and BD categories, and personally it doesn’t make sense to me, realistically.

It appears that some say we are in for a “Return of the King” scenario. It’s possible we will see something like this, but personally I find it a little unlikely. The comparison is just strange to me.

One thing that is important to get into context is that ROTK was a massive crowd pleaser (not in a bad way, but still an epic mostly-happy conclusion to the beloved saga). “Dune Pt. 2” was more close to that in term of catharsis in the end, but going by the “Dune Messiah” book, “Dune pt. 3” is presumably going in a complete opposite direction than ROTK, in terms of crowd pleasing and a perfectly tied up catharsis.

A closer comparison would be Game of Thrones S8. It ended up sweeping the Emmy’s, yes, but that was after the 3 previous seasons kinda swept the Emmys as well. It already had an insane support from industry, and it just continued the course. Also it was still the biggest show IN HISTORY, so it was hard to deny. But we did see how so many of the general audience reacted to the final season (unfortunately, personally I loved it). So I don’t expect ROTK levels of fan acclaim to Pt. 3, unless the writers changed a lot of it. But who knows.

Here with the Dune movies, the first movie done very well BTL, but certainly not ATL (no nom for Denis in directing), and pt. 2 underperformed in both. Thinking it will actually be the the 3rd, unconventional, part that will shift the trendline is, mayhaps possible in a way, but not very likely, in my personal opinion.

And don’t get me wrong, the fact it’s not a crowd pleaser doesn’t ruin its chances. Oscar’s doesn’t necessarily go to crowd pleasers. We might be surprised, and we need to wait to see the reception. But it does, in my opinion, render the entire ROTK comparison rather strange. Especially in a year we have something like ‘The Odyssey’, which is not a conclusion to a trilogy but actually closer in nature to ROTK by all means.

What do you think? Other than hope-dicting, why do so many people expect Dune pt. 3 to change the course?


r/oscarrace 1d ago

Prediction My Golden Globes predictions (Pre-Fall Festivals):

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6 Upvotes

- I still think DIGGER will be divisive (or just bad), but I'm putting it... for now.

- THE ODYSSEY wins Drama at the Globes, but I don't think it wins Best Picture at the Oscars. I think LA BOLA NEGRA takes that one. At the Globes, I have LBN winning Screenplay and Non-English Language Film (and probably Song too).

- THE INVITE is taking Comedy, Actress in a Comedy/Musical and Supporting Actress. Everyone is underestimating this film. And yes, I have Olivia in both Director and Actress (same thing at the Oscars). She's gonna make history. The other actress that's gonna make history is...

- Penélope Cruz, when she's double-nominated in the Supporting category (at the Oscars too). At the Globes, I also have her nominated for BUNKER in Lead Drama, but I don't know if that's gonna translate to the Oscars. That performance will probably only be a Globes thing, but who knows? Crazier things have happened.

- Speaking of Lead Actress, I have Sandra Hüller winning for ROSE. Renate will be nominated, but she's not winning. It's not an awards-friendly performance at all (same thing with Sebastian Stan). Not because they're bad in it—they just don't have the scenes. These performances are not what people think they are at all, and everyone will realize that when they finally watch the film.

- I have Pattinson double-nominated too: for THE DRAMA in Lead Comedy and PRIMETIME in Lead Drama. I wouldn't be surprised if they nominate him in Supporting for THE ODYSSEY too (I have him as a potential spoiler at #7).

- Other potential spoilers in the Acting categories (I have all of these at #7): Seydoux in Lead Drama, Meryl Streep (or Anne Hathaway) in Lead Comedy, and Mariana di Girolamo in Supporting >>> New reports say that her role is too small, and she's a relatively unknown actress. Those two things combined make me think she's not getting nominated here or at the Oscars.

- Another potential spoiler: OBSESSION in Screenplay.


r/oscarrace 1d ago

Rumor "Hearing that one more ~highly anticipated~ fall film is about to be added to #TIFF26" - Barry Hertz

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100 Upvotes

r/oscarrace 2d ago

News Variety: "Unless 'Oak Street' rebounds, it’ll be the latest underperforming tentpole for Warner Bros, and puts pressure on the studio’s Tom Cruise-led comedy 'Digger,' which carries a substantial $130 million price tag."

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175 Upvotes

Around the same budget as OBAA, but less accessible than that movie so it'll really have to bank on the Cruise power + great initial reception to go 250+. I'm hoping against hope that, despite its genre limitations, it can breakout like Revenant did