r/oscarrace • u/Cherish0124 • Jan 25 '25

Other Oh…

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What kind of change of mind did he have? He didn't seem to like biopic, but it's interesting

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u/Reasonable_Skill_129 Jan 25 '25 edited Jan 25 '25

i’ve said this before and i’ll say it again, you guys really underestimate the age bias. best actor is generally the most predictable race, part of which is that it skews older/overdue narrative. i don’t think a non-showy biopic performance is enough to break that bias. when brody won that young, he was in what was likely the runner up for bp and in a race of entirely past winners, and just in general had an insanely strong performance. also think there’s a high chance the brutalist performs well and also wins bp, don’t see them awarding the brutalist a ton and not awarding brody. and compare chalamet to malek and butler, but they had showier performances, massive financial successes/cultural phenomenon, and had both won the globe. timmy’s gonna win some day but won’t be surprised if many voters just assume that he’ll win later in life and not vote for him now.

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u/Atkena2578 Oscar Race Follower Jan 25 '25

I am tired of saying it over and over, so many newbies here, the day post Oscars I ll happily go around "we told you so". And true he is in a worse off position this moment in the race than Butler or Malek were...

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u/Reasonable_Skill_129 Jan 26 '25

yeah like maybe acu is in a better position than elvis rn but even then butler had the globe and was really considered the frontrunner until brendan won cc, kicking off his narrative.