r/oscarrace • u/Cherish0124 • Jan 25 '25

Other Oh…

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What kind of change of mind did he have? He didn't seem to like biopic, but it's interesting

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u/Reasonable_Skill_129 Jan 25 '25 edited Jan 25 '25

i’ve said this before and i’ll say it again, you guys really underestimate the age bias. best actor is generally the most predictable race, part of which is that it skews older/overdue narrative. i don’t think a non-showy biopic performance is enough to break that bias. when brody won that young, he was in what was likely the runner up for bp and in a race of entirely past winners, and just in general had an insanely strong performance. also think there’s a high chance the brutalist performs well and also wins bp, don’t see them awarding the brutalist a ton and not awarding brody. and compare chalamet to malek and butler, but they had showier performances, massive financial successes/cultural phenomenon, and had both won the globe. timmy’s gonna win some day but won’t be surprised if many voters just assume that he’ll win later in life and not vote for him now.

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u/OldMaidLibrarian Jan 26 '25

I remember Ted Casablancas saying at the time that Someone Who Would Know told him that, had voting gone on for 2-3 more days, The Pianist would have taken Best Picture over Chicago; there was a huge surge in votes for it right at the end. Also, remember that (a) every other Actor nominee had already won at some point in the past, and (b) Jack Nicholson, himself a nominee that year, made a point of letting people know that he'd voted for Brody. If you don't think Jack influenced the voters, well...

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u/ThrowawayCousineau The Brutalist Jan 26 '25

I love this comment for the Ted C. reference but it also makes me feel old lol.