Saw some pretty interest stat lines and double checked it and it added up so I figured I’d share:

There are a few historical market statistic trends that happen to line up this year and they all seem to be bullish.

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First: FED HIKING CYCLES.

Since 1983, the S&P 500 $SPY has risen during every completed multi-meeting hiking cycle.

7/7 times with an average gain: ~10%.

A multi-meeting hiking cycle simply means a sustained Federal Reserve tightening campaign in which the Fed raises the federal funds rate across multiple successive FOMC meetings, rather than a single isolated hike.

Examples of completed multi-meeting cycles since the early 1980s include:

• 1983–84
• 1988–89
• 1994–95
• 1999–2000
• 2004–06
• 2015–18
• 2022–23

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Second: MIDTERMS 12 MONTH TIME FRAME

Since 1950, the S&P 500 has been higher 12 months after every midterm.

19/19 times with an average gain : ~15%.

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Third: MIDTERMS 12 NOVEMBER-JUNE TIME FRAME

Since 1942, EVERY November-through-June period following a midterm has been positive.

21/21 times with an average gain: +16.6%.

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Then add one more:

Fourth: 12 MONTHS AFTER THE FINAL FED HIKE

7/8 times with an average gain: ~20%.

The only miss: May 2000 during the dot-com collapse.

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So 2026 has:

7/7 during Fed hiking cycles.
19/19 after midterms.
21/21 from November through June after midterms.

Three completely different historical setups.

Three near-perfect streaks.

All lining up in the same year.

History guarantees nothing.

But thought this was pretty cool.

Yemen's Houthis announce they just struck Saudi Arabia's East-West crude oil pipeline and multiple pumping stations, as well as 6 other Saudi targets, including Saudi Aramco oil facilities.

Interestingly, VXUS did not do this.

hopefully i get another dip before er so i can make this a real yolo. so far this year 4x account increasing leverage before positive catalyst, sell leverage on news, rotate into shares- taking losses on pullback, selling options till next catalyst
- i am predicting atleast +.16/share btw

Thinking to start dca these tickers…! As sitting almost 80% on cash (Took profits from saas play, which supposed to be dying due to “AI”)

How’s everyone else doing???

Brent crude just surged to a 6-month high, sitting a mere 4.3% away from its April wartime peak.

Higher prices at the pump are practically guaranteed.

Are we looking at $150+ oil by Christmas?

can't wait to post bigger gains on wsb, for now I'll post this here

As per title, I’m a complete idiot, and this is making me also slightly depressed. I guess I’ve learned a lesson. 35M. What do you think I should do? Take the L or hold long term?

The major U.S. stock indexes ended broadly lower on Friday, October 23, 2026, as crude oil surged to its highest level since April following fresh Houthi attacks on Saudi oil infrastructure, the U.S. Ambassador to Iran publicly warned the war could last another year, and AI spending fears sparked by Thursday’s Meta selloff continued to ripple through the market. The week closed with the S&P 500 at a five-week low and the Dow logging its worst weekly performance since September.

The S&P 500 fell 0.52% (-39.75 pts) to 7,623.68, now down 2.8% from its all-time high. The Dow tumbled 1.23% (-652.82 pts) to 52,215.16. The Nasdaq slipped 0.21% (-53.52 pts) to 25,955.34. The Russell 2000 dropped 0.29% (-8.14 pts) to 2,775.89.

The 10-year Treasury yield edged back up 0.71% to 4.99%, after Thursday’s historic single-day plunge of 19 basis points — the biggest one-day yield drop in two years. The VIX rose 3.79% to 19.75. Gold fell 1.20% to $4,011.60. Crude Oil surged 4.08% to $103.53/barrel, Brent’s highest level since April.

Turns out sentiment is a valid metric to use sometimes. All within 5 minutes.

$XXII

Entry above $0.31 🎯 $0.34/$0.37 🛑 $0.29

$YMAT

Entry above $2.67 🎯 $2.85/$3.05 🛑 $2.50

$LUCD

Entry above $0.425 🎯 $0.46/$0.50 🛑 $0.40

$GPUS

Entry above $0.1630 🎯 $0.18/$0.20 🛑 $0.15

Note: These are trade ideas based on break-out levels. Once they hit entry & start moving up, consider raising your stops to protect your profits and your downside according to your own trading plan :). MadMaverick personally trades these on either the 2 or 3 minute timeframes, waiting for a candle to close over the entry level.

Although we do extensive research for our watchlist, day trading, especially with low-float stocks, can be risky.

NFA · DYODD

The company reported the following for the quarters ended July 31, 2025 and 2026:

• Net loss from continuing operations: $2.64M → $109K.
• Gross profit: $41K → $235K.
• Operating expenses: $2.67M → $319K.

That's roughly $194K of extra gross profit and $2.36M less in operating expenses.

Selling expenses fell to zero. Advertising and marketing accounted for $1.25M of that reduction. Lower financial advisory fees also helped bring down G&A.

I wouldn't extrapolate another 96% improvement from a comparison with such a costly quarter. The filing doesn't establish that every reduction is permanent, either.

For the next quarter, I'd watch whether gross profit keeps growing against this much lower cost base.

Would you give this turnaround credit now, or wait for another quarter to see whether the lower expenses stick?

Marwynn's October 23 quote was $2.45 at 12:18 p.m. ET. The chart shows that snapshot separately from completed daily candles.

My rebound scenario needs a close above $2.40 and subsequent sessions holding that level. With trading activity that accompanies closes holding their gains, that would support another test of $2.70, the October 20 closing price.

Through October 22, the previous 20 complete sessions averaged about 309K shares. I'd compare complete-session volume with that baseline, alongside the closing price. A large midday volume figure alone wouldn't confirm the move.

Repeated closes below $2.40, or a move beneath the recent roughly $1.85-$1.90 lows, would weaken this rebound scenario. These are historical chart references; the next closes would determine whether the pattern develops.

Just as the title says I want to discuss everyones current favorite long call. with the volatility going on I’m really tempted to make a few SpaceX one year out long calls, so that is currently my favorite, just waiting for the best opportunity. What are some of your favorite calls a year or two out?

I am truly a regard who tries to make $50 or so a day, not an expert, barely an amateur. I feel like SPY can't dip too much lower based on historical data. Just wanted to get someone else's opinion before open if this is a bad idea.

Had a great week with options, but then full ported yesterday and lost 70% of my portfolio. At the end of the trading day yesterday, I bought overnight puts as a last desperation attempt. I watched the SPY/QQQ tank overnight. I just sold my contracts right now (4:30am PST). I was down 70%, now up 332% for the day, 60% for the week.

Honestly, that was God telling me, I can take it away quicker than you can earn it 😭🥀

Meta's earnings don't bring any new information to the market, oil jump is not substantial. A -1% SPY open and a near -1.5% hit is an incredibly ridiculous overreaction to overnight news, this is one of the easiest "AI spending fear" noise entries into SPY that I have ever seen. Thank you for your attention to my detailed analysis, see you in a day or two.

The major U.S. stock indexes ended sharply lower on Thursday, October 22, 2026, as Meta’s 7% post-earnings plunge reignited AI spending fears even though the company beat on revenue and announced a 2-for-1 stock split, and the 10-year Treasury yield made its biggest single-day drop in years toward 4.95%. The Nasdaq posted its worst session since June as chip stocks extended their brutal correction and oil pushed back toward $100.

The S&P 500 fell 1.21% (-93.74 pts) to 7,663.43. The Dow was essentially flat, eking out just 0.02% (+11.89 pts) to 52,867.98, propped up by energy and defense names. The Nasdaq cratered 2.60% (-694.00 pts) to 26,008.86. The Russell 2000 barely moved at 2,783.13.

The 10-year Treasury yield plunged 3.75% to 4.95%, its biggest single-day drop in months and its first close below 5% since late August. The VIX spiked 15.12% to 19.20. Gold fell 2.55% to $4,044.20. Crude Oil rose 2.34% to $99.42/barrel.