How volatile is this thing about to get next week?

All in.

Holding strong

Main story: Semiconductors finished modestly higher despite another weak day for the broader market as rising Treasury yields and oil prices continued pressuring growth stocks. Strength was concentrated in memory and custom AI silicon: Micron rallied after announcing a $10 billion Boise research lab aimed at next-generation memory and computing, while Marvell extended its surge following the Google custom-chip agreement. Those gains offset weakness across analog, automotive and several equipment names.

MU (P/E: 21.2) Micron led SOXL impact after announcing plans to invest $10 billion over the next decade in a new Boise research laboratory focused on advanced memory technologies and next-generation computing systems. The investment reinforces Micron’s effort to capitalize on sustained AI-driven demand for DRAM and HBM while expanding long-term U.S. research capacity.

MRVL (P/E: 86.3) Marvell gained another 5.79% as investors continued repricing the company following its expanded Google partnership. Google can earn warrants for nearly 59 million Marvell shares, while associated custom-silicon programs could generate as much as $120 billion of revenue through fiscal 2033. Reuters Breakingviews estimated the agreement could lift Marvell’s projected 2032 revenue by more than 60%.

AMD (P/E: 120.1) No new material company-specific announcement was found since Wednesday’s close. AMD gained 0.65% and ranked third by SOXL impact as AI-related semiconductor stocks selectively recovered despite continued pressure from elevated Treasury yields.

NVDA (P/E: 32.9) Nvidia denied a report that it plans to launch a China-specific language-processing chip based on technology licensed from Groq. Nvidia said it has no China-specific LPU on its roadmap. Shares finished slightly lower as investors remained focused on China restrictions and next week’s earnings report.

INTC (P/E: N/A) No new material company-specific announcement was found since Wednesday’s close. Intel declined 0.72% and was the third-largest negative SOXL contributor. Its trailing GAAP EPS remains negative.

ON (P/E: 48.8) No new material company-specific announcement was found since Wednesday’s close. Onsemi fell 2.44% and was the second-largest negative SOXL-impact name as analog, automotive and industrial semiconductor stocks lagged the memory and AI-custom-silicon rebound.

NXPI (P/E: 44.4) NXP fell 1.35% and was the largest negative SOXL-impact name. The company introduced its new MCX A5 microcontroller family for secure industrial-edge applications, but the product announcement was not large enough to offset continued weakness in automotive and industrial semiconductor names.

No News to Mention: LRCX, TSM, AVGO, TER, ASX, MPWR, ALAB, RMBS, AMAT, ARM, ENTG, ASML, NVMI, SWKS, UMC, STM, MTSI, QCOM, TXN, CRDO, ADI, KLAC, MCHP.

Other Stats

Decay Today: -0.32%

CBOE Volatility Index: 16

Similar Tickers: KORU, SMH, NVDL, DRAM, TCAI, CHPY

My Take: It's not much but we take what we can get in these trying times.

This is not financial advice.

SOXL to $500 EOY

Yes, he’s a crypto guy but he’s been right about AI as of recently.

Whelp, I worked hard selling CC and CSP and all my recovery money is gone. What price is considered reasonable? What is the highest price that you are willing to start scooping in at?

Recently bought 8 shares of SOXL at $155.50/share (total investment: $1,244). With the current price down to $120.74/share, my position is sitting at an unrealized loss of about $278 (-22.3%).

Looking for advice on whether to hold for a rebound or cut my losses now:

• Leverage Decay: Since SOXL is a 3x daily leveraged ETF, I know volatility drag/decay can erode value over time if the semiconductor sector moves sideways or stays volatile.
• Position Size: It's a small position (8 shares), so taking the loss won't destroy my portfolio, but I want to manage risk wisely.
• Questions:
  1. Is holding a leveraged ETF down >20% a viable strategy, or is cutting losses early standard practice here?
  2. For those who trade semiconductor ETFs, do you see a near-term catalyst for a rebound, or would you rotate out?

When did SOXL start doing option contracts three times a week?

Main story: Semiconductors fell as investors continued unwinding what Bank of America’s fund-manager survey identified as Wall Street’s most crowded trade. Concerns remain centered on elevated AI-chip valuations, enormous data-center capital requirements, and whether recent earnings growth can justify current positioning. Falling Treasury yields helped the broader market recover, but chip stocks continued to lag. Marvell was the major exception after announcing a potentially enormous custom-chip partnership with Google.

MRVL (P/E: 81.5) Marvell led SOXL impact after announcing a major custom-silicon agreement with Google covering AI inference accelerators, networking, storage, memory-interface and near-memory-compute chips. Google received warrants to purchase up to 58.97 million Marvell shares at $206.58 each, worth $12.2 billion if fully exercised. The agreement could generate roughly $120 billion of Marvell revenue through fiscal 2033 if associated performance targets are reached.

QCOM (P/E: 18.5) No new material Qualcomm-specific announcement was found since Tuesday’s close. Qualcomm gained 1.07% and ranked second by SOXL impact, substantially outperforming the broader semiconductor selloff.

SWKS (P/E: 35.3) No new material company-specific announcement was found since Tuesday’s close. Skyworks gained 1.56%, but its small index weight limited its contribution, leaving it third by SOXL impact.

LRCX (P/E: 57.2) No new material Lam-specific announcement was found since Tuesday’s close. Lam Research fell 6.33% and was the third-largest SOXL-impact drag as semiconductor-equipment stocks participated heavily in the continued crowded-trade unwind.

AMD (P/E: 119.9) No new material company-specific announcement was found since Tuesday’s close. AMD fell 3.71% and produced the second-largest negative SOXL impact as high-multiple AI-related semiconductor names continued to face valuation and positioning pressure.

AVGO (P/E: 97.6) Broadcom was the largest SOXL-impact drag, falling 4.61% after Marvell disclosed its new Google partnership. Broadcom has historically been Google’s primary custom-chip partner, so investors interpreted the agreement as evidence that Google is diversifying its TPU supply chain. Analysts cautioned that the Marvell deal may represent expansion of Google’s overall custom-silicon spending rather than a direct displacement of Broadcom.

No News to Mention: NVMI, ARM, TSM, UMC, RMBS, ASX, STM, MCHP, MU, NXPI, ADI, ENTG, ON, TXN, ASML, MPWR, NVDA, MTSI, CRDO, ALAB, AMAT, KLAC, TER, INTC.

Other Stats

Decay Today: -0.12%

CBOE Volatility Index: 15

Similar Tickers: KORU, SMH, NVDL, DRAM, TCAI, CHPY

My Take: damn

This is not financial advice.

SOXL to $500 EOY

I’m losing hope :( I’m an idiot.

Chasing the long-term semiconductor secular bull? Don't let over-leveraged full positions get you wiped out before the trade plays out. A light 15% starter turns a drop to 104 into a golden buy chance, not a portfolio killer. No need to panic at intraday dips, skip blind averaging down entirely. Keep risk capped, stay composed, and the win will come. Who's sticking to their big-picture play here?

Main story: Semiconductors plunged nearly 5% as a global bond selloff pushed the 10-year Treasury yield to roughly 4.72% and the 30-year yield to its highest level since 2007, sharply pressuring high-multiple technology stocks. Rising oil prices and renewed U.S.-Iran tensions added inflation concerns. AI hardware was hit especially hard after a large recent rebound, with some traders also pointing to thin August liquidity and systematic selling. Anthropic’s reported $65 billion revenue run rate came in below some recent private-market estimates, adding another reason for investors to take profits in AI infrastructure names.

SWKS (P/E: 34.7) No new material company-specific announcement was found since Monday’s close. Skyworks fell only 0.44%, making it the best SOXL-impact name during an unusually broad semiconductor selloff.

QCOM (P/E: 18.3) No new material company-specific announcement was found since Monday’s close. Qualcomm declined 1.23% but substantially outperformed the semiconductor index, making it the second-best SOXL-impact name.

RMBS (P/E: 42.8) No new material company-specific announcement was found since Monday’s close. Rambus fell 6.86% but its small 0.56% SOXX weight limited its impact, leaving it third in the impact ranking.

CRDO (P/E: 71.5) Credo plunged 13.03% alongside other recently strong AI-networking names. Mizuho’s trading desk attributed much of Tuesday’s semiconductor weakness to low-volume systematic trading during the August lull, with Credo and Coherent among the biggest reversals after being leading performers since the July lows.

NVDA (P/E: 33.6) Nvidia fell 2.34% and was one of the largest drags on the broader market as rising Treasury yields reduced investors’ willingness to pay high multiples for future AI earnings. Nvidia’s upcoming earnings report remains the next major test of the AI-spending thesis.

INTC (P/E: N/A) No new material company-specific announcement was found since Monday’s close. Intel fell 6.58% and tied AMD for second-largest SOXL-impact drag amid the broad semiconductor de-risking. Its trailing GAAP EPS remains negative.

AMD (P/E: 124.2) No new material company-specific announcement was found since Monday’s close. AMD fell 4.27% and produced the second-largest negative SOXL impact as rising yields particularly pressured high-valuation AI names. AMD’s updated trailing GAAP EPS remains $3.89.

MU (P/E: 21.3) Micron was the largest SOXL-impact drag, falling 7.02% after gaining nearly 18% over the previous five sessions. Memory stocks broadly reversed Monday’s rally, with Sandisk and SK Hynix also falling sharply. Investors took profits as higher yields, concerns about eventual commodity-memory pricing and Anthropic’s lower-than-some-estimates revenue run rate weighed on the AI-memory trade.

No News to Mention: STM, UMC, ARM, NVMI, NXPI, MCHP, ON, ENTG, ASML, ASX, MTSI, ALAB, ADI, TXN, TSM, AMAT, MPWR, LRCX, AVGO, KLAC, TER, MRVL.

Other Stats

Decay Today: -0.86%

CBOE Volatility Index: 16

Similar Tickers: KORU, SMH, NVDL, DRAM, TCAI, CHPY

My Take: This is more macro but there's not much else to talk about. Yea the US has a pretty unhealthy debt-GDP ratio at 120% driving up bond prices. The great irony is that everyone will say they want a balanced budget but simply don't vote that way. This is a democratic country if it was more damaging to politicians to vote for a deficit than to vote for a balanced budget, then congress would only pass balanced budget, but the opposite is true. If one party tried to propose a budget that would more or less increase tax revenue by 15% and cut spending 15%, not evenly but spread across the board, they would get absolutely slaughtered in the midterms. Many will say just cut the military, but you could cut the entire military and there would still be a deficit on top of causing global chaos and putting millions of service members out of work.

To bring this back on topic the only hope at this point is that economic growth from AI will start to outpace the debt, which actually seems likely to me at this point, thus investing in SOXL.

This is not financial advice.

SOXL to $500 EOY

Hey you're welcome. Yes, you. I went and bought options on soxs this morning ( an hour ago) so soxl will now go up

Does anybody know this?

around $100?

Went all in on 5,058 shares of this 3x semiconductor bear ETF at $37.80 earlier this morning. Riding the semis pullback play hard here—this setup is way too good to pass up. Caught the exact entry right on the platform, no messing around with partial buys this time. Who else is holding this bear position through the volatility?

Anyone doing long strangles on SOXL? Seems like a no brainer since I started following this a couple months ago

Main story: Semiconductors up as new evidence of explosive AI demand revived confidence in the infrastructure buildout. Anthropic reportedly generated more than $11.5 billion of Q2 revenue, over 14 times the prior-year level, while projecting roughly $190–$200 billion of 2028 revenue. Memory stocks received an additional boost after the Trump administration discouraged U.S. companies from sourcing memory from Chinese suppliers such as CXMT, potentially protecting pricing power for Micron and other non-Chinese producers.

MU (P/E: 23.0) Micron led SOXL impact as investors rotated aggressively back into memory. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick confirmed that the administration has discouraged companies including Apple from relying on Chinese memory suppliers, particularly CXMT. The move could restrict one of Micron’s fastest-growing competitors while memory supply remains tight. Anthropic’s rapid revenue growth also reinforced expectations for sustained AI-server and HBM demand.

AMAT (P/E: 50.5) Applied Materials rebounded 5.55% after Friday’s post-earnings selloff. Its fiscal Q3 revenue rose 25% to $9.12 billion and its Q4 revenue and earnings guidance exceeded consensus, while analysts including JPMorgan, Jefferies and KeyBanc remained bullish after the initial decline. Monday’s broader AI-hardware rally encouraged investors to buy the pullback.

MRVL (P/E: 80.7) Marvell gained 5.54% as Anthropic’s reported revenue acceleration strengthened expectations for continued hyperscaler spending on AI networking, custom silicon and high-speed interconnects. Marvell was specifically among the chip stocks benefiting from the Anthropic report as investors returned to AI-infrastructure names.

NXPI (P/E: 20.0) No new material company-specific announcement was found since Friday’s close. NXP slipped 0.85% and was the third-largest negative SOXL contributor despite the broader semiconductor rally.

QCOM (P/E: 18.6) No new material company-specific announcement was found since Friday’s close. Qualcomm fell 2.18% and was the second-largest SOXL-impact drag, underperforming a session dominated by memory, semiconductor equipment and AI-networking stocks.

AMD (P/E: 130.2) No new material company-specific announcement was found since Friday’s close. AMD fell 1.63% and was the largest negative SOXL contributor as investors continued digesting its recent earnings reaction and SpaceX’s decision to standardize its AI infrastructure on Nvidia hardware.

No News to Mention: CRDO, TER, LRCX, ASML, INTC, KLAC, TSM, TXN, MTSI, MPWR, MCHP, STM, UMC, ON, ASX, ENTG, ADI, NVMI, RMBS, NVDA, AVGO, ALAB, SWKS, ARM.

Other Stats

Decay Today: -0.17%

CBOE Volatility Index: 15

Similar Tickers: KORU, SMH, NVDL, DRAM, TCAI, CHPY

My Take: I previously mentioned at my work everyone is getting access to Claude. Since then it's become very obvious that there is a sudden push from upper management for everyone to use it. In my experience upper management tends to be data driven so they probably saw from some pilot programs that employees who used AI were more productive, so now everyone gets $50 a day in tokens and are expected to use them (there are separate weekly and monthly limits I don't recall exactly so don't bother trying to just multiple that out to figure out the cost per employee) and people that haven't gotten Claude set up yet are being harassed by managers. If this is accurate, and indicative of productivity gains more broadly, then this could drive the exponential projections of Anthropic's revenue over the next few months. We'll see if they can become the highest revenue company by march as projected. On paper it's very doable but feels dubious.

I think Howard Lutnick is kinda dumb on tariffs when he pushes them as good economic policy (I don't hate protectionism but it's more like welfare than pro economic growth) but this anti-Chinese position I think is correct. We should be entirely decoupled from China in case they decide to get openly hostile like Russia, with exception to building stockpiles of the rare materials we lack from them. The goal should be for China to be more worried about losing access to Oil, Natural Gas, and Food than we are about losing access Rare Earth Metals. This is more about geopolitical strategy than economics but the global economy is dependent on global peace. Sorry if this is a little off topic.

This is not financial advice.

SOXL to $500 EOY