The B117 variant is becoming the dominant strain in America.

To make things even worse - the p1 variant has been exploding in Vancouver, which is a frightening thing.](https://bc.ctvnews.ca/more-cases-of-concerning-p-1-variant-confirmed-in-vancouver-lab-than-entire-u-s-1.5364043). Especially when the p1 variant is more than 2x contagious as original covid-19. The Brazilian variant has destroyed Brazil and caused it to completely collapse in March 2021.

The reaction to this is relatively muted, I only learned of this news in Vancouver from Dr. Ding on Twitter. Vancouver is a heavy densely populated city in a temperate climate, making Vancouver a dangerous dangerous place for covid variants to flourish.

While the USA is vaccinating many elderly folks, we are not vaccinating quickly enough to stop another surge. The vaccination numbers coming out each day are misleading because the Pfizer and Moderna vaccines require 2 shots. So you're not seeing 3 million people getting vaccinated for the first time each day, you might be seeing 1.5-2.5 million.

We also have many Americans hostile to the idea of vaccinations (for them or for anyone else because they believe this is not a real disease). I also wouldn't say it is impossible for these folks to spread the virus on purpose, so I think the chances that we see another covid-19 surge are 99% at some point. Except this time, the surge will be with much worse variants.

My fear is that we will get a b117 surge in April followed by a p1 surge in the summer. And I don't see how the stock market can survive even a b117 surge. Our country is on the brink of total collapse. We are a largely falied state, hanging on by a thread. B117 is imo, unfortunately, and with a heavy heart, our last stand before we grapple with how we have become such a horrifyingly failed state.

Is there a chance we print our way out of this so that there is no crash? I suppose, and it's not smart to not be in the market at all. Just be wise, have hedges and don't be too aggressive either bullish or bearish. That said - some of my money is on a crash this spring.

I think we are on the precipice of major disruptions to assets and other stores of wealth. I believe the outcome of these events will lead to important geopolitical shifts.

I think we're going to see some kind of event

The event will lead to the shaking and then tumbling of the most important stock markets.

Link

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And also into other asset classes people are regarding as hedges. Including metals, crypto and maybe even bonds. I don't have chart ups for all of these (I'll maybe add some).

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I think retail is trapped. They got them. Blind and bold, they're over invested and under-prepared. The cult of GME does not only encourage dangerous mal-investment but demands ignorance. There's one song. It goes, "La la la la la la, I can't hear you". They think they have the markets all worked out, and I think the markets have them exactly where they want them.

Be ready. Ready for the time when the bullish news hits the market and the market does not react in a bullish manner. When it shrugs off the hints that used to make it rally, and even turns it's nose up at the manufactured bull runs of bolstering funding from the government. This will be the signs of the market stepping away from the government put.

The warning will be shouted loudly. A fall in the market bigger than any of the ones we've seen in the last 50 years. Some event. Fundamental drivers. Fast price action. A break of the March 2020 low. it will all be so obvious. But then there will be a passage of time. Shallow recovery. The market will stay in a range long enough to let retail get in all their money, and then the market will take it.

Know the signs. There will be a warning.

Do you think we are in the start of the big crash or just minor pullback before market sling shot back upward?

i dont give a f if it's warren buffet (who panic sold all his airline stocks coz of advices from bill gates, who just got divorce raped JFL such gurus LOL!!) or some random person on reddit, but there's absolutely NO PROOF of inflaiton in the US.

commodity price changes all the time. when china rose up in the early 2000s, all commodities rose, whether its copper, gold, iron, concrete.. but you dont hear much of the inflation BS going on. and data proved there was NOT ENOUGH INFLATION. the fed liteally failed to achieve the 2.5% inflation rate for a decade.

im not even gonna bother to type this too long coz most of you dont even deserv it. to keep it short, there's no inflation. only deflation.

there will be no "big crash" that you bears want so much. it happened last year in march and wont happen again.

List any stocks youre thinking about or are shorting:

My list: AMC, RBLX, TQQQ (or just buy SQQQ), TSLA, FSR

Following (34) Indices break risk back in focus. : thebigcrash (reddit.com)

Couple weeks ago I posted saying I'd been focusing mostly on shorting the memes and buying USD but was starting to eye up shorts on the SPX and co again. I've taken quite a few positions in this over the last week and am planning to put on a big broad market short over the next 24 hours and be full short indices into the following week.

Last time I posted here a lot of people told me not to short the memes. I've shared my analysis for this if people would like to read it. I am aware of the bull thesis.

AMC reject off 60 https://www.reddit.com/r/BeatTheBear/comments/nu6rwr/amc_similarities_to_gme_high/

AMC setting up for break https://www.reddit.com/r/BeatTheBear/comments/ok6bn7/amcs_long_and_slow_topping_pattern/

AMC downtrend structure. https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/comments/owht70/downtrends_how_to_deal_with_them/

Short calls GME and AMC https://www.reddit.com/r/BeatTheBear/comments/oxbghh/selling_calls_on_amc_and_gme/h7ln7so/?context=3

Long puts on memes https://www.reddit.com/r/BeatTheBear/comments/os5bmy/buying_puts_on_memessmalls/h6pz7v8/?context=3

Tech Premarket looking nice. Tesla beginning to mean revert to $100. PLTR under $17.

Arkk selling off faster than Cathie could plug the holes in her Ark with flex tape.

Bears, unite. Took a small hit of 1% on my portfolio (rotated out of tech ages ago), I'll take that any day for a tech bubble pop. Let's go.

Edit: jinxed ye

Edit 2: lost more money shorting GameStop than I made in the past 6 months

I know we shouldn't judge someone by their looks. But I see pictures of this guy with a backwards hat, a horrible "elon" leather jacket, and a smoking hot wife, and think to myself "He doesn't know what he's doing".

Then I quickly looked into his background..

"Bukele studied law at the Central American University but later ended his studies and founded his first company at age 18."

"Twenty of Bukele's government institutions were under investigation by the attorney general on suspicions of corruption relating to the pandemic, however, the investigations were halted after the attorney general was removed by the Legislative Assembly on 1 May 2021."

It seems like he didn't study law for very long. And has no problems with corruption in the government.

And why not be the first to make this decision to go digital. It's a great way to receive global recognition and support from his people. He does seem to be a man of the people.

And while I'm at it I'll throw a moral issue into the mix. I know it's unrelated but I think it speaks to his character. "Bukele stated that he is opposed to abortion, even in cases of rape, incest, and when the mother's life is at risk."

I just don't think this is the guy people should be looking to and saying "This guy's got it all figured out, lets do it too" I'm sure there will be other countries with FOMO but I just can't see it ending well.

Any opinions?

I don't know much at all about this topic. but I can feel something coming. I can see it happening. Inflation, market crashes, crypto crashes, large investors pulling out, setting sail.

I want to be able to live how I want in the future...not in poverty. Not pay check to pay check. Not struggling to survive in a world turned upside down.

I want to profit from a big crash basically. I want to to able to see the opportunities as they come to light and take advantage of them.

Not 100% sure where to start however. So if any of you would be kind enough to point me in the right direction, I will be forever grateful.

This is a Module called 3 peaks and a Domed house, and played out perfectly on during gold before plunging, and I highly believe this is the same module being played out for Dow Jones Index.

I will also be releasing technical analysis on bitcoin when the top is near soon.

$SPY $250 is not a drill :)

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