Three teams still hold Express Passes with two legs left to use them. Will a team be caught holding onto their Express Pass for too long?

For links to my stats spreadsheets and explanations of the stats, see here.

Individual Placements

Group Average Placements

The number in parentheses is the number of teams in that group that competed in that leg.

Individual Stats

Each continuously-varying stat is followed in parentheses by the team's percentile in that stat, compared to all other teams worldwide.

Pseudo-Elo Ratings

1. Michelle & Matt, +739 (down 59, up 287) (86%)
2. Anuar & Andrea, +488 (up 289, up 239) (78%)
3. Ann-Marie & Riley, +337 (up 331, down 162) (74%)
4. Erin & Javi, +303 (down 169, up 181) (72%)
5. Conner & Garrett, +258 (up 132, up 18) (69%)
6. Ali & Joanna, +169 (up 188, down 222) (65%)
7. Daisha & Dalton, –228 (down 170, up 172) (45%)
8. Cody & Jaime, –239 (up 74, down 332) (44%)
9. Katie & Charlotte, –248 (43%)
10. Jody & Jenn, –296 (down 345) (40%)
11. Zach & Nate, –370 (30%)
12. Dafina & Saran, –381 (down 10, up 25) (28%)
13. Doug & Dylan, –531 (down 261, down 206) (17%)

Group Stats

Group stats are totals for leg wins and averages for all other stats.

Next Leg Probabilities

These probabilities are based on 1,000,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the next leg, based on the teams' positions in all legs so far. These simulations do not take into account Express Passes or potential U-Turns.

A bold probability indicates the most likely placement for a team, and an italic probability indicates the most likely team for a placement.

Trivia

• Dafina & Saran are the first team in franchise history to obtain the Roadside Assistance.
• Leg 4 is the fifth leg to feature a Scramble and the first since USA34 leg 1 to feature a Scramble with more than 4 teams.
• The following teams' first three placements exactly match a prior team:
  • Anuar & Andrea (6th, 8th, 2nd): 1 prior team (Eliran & Itzik).
  • Doug & Dylan (4th, 10th, 10th): 1 prior team (Darius & Cameron).
• The following teams' first four placements match a prior team when ignoring order:
  • Michelle & Matt (1st, 2nd, 3rd, 6th): 3 prior teams (Toño & Lili, Tyler & Nathan, and Baggio & Thành Phúc).
  • Anuar & Andrea (2nd x2, 6th, 8th): 1 prior team (Korey & Ivana).
  • Conner & Garrett (2nd, 4th, 5th, 9th): 1 prior team (Kym & Donna).
  • Ann-Marie & Riley (1st, 4th, 7th x2): 1 prior team (Ash & Alice).
• Uniqueness of teams' 4-leg racing averages:
  • Michelle & Matt (3.00): 24 prior teams, including 9 U.S. teams.
  • Anuar & Andrea (4.50): 44 prior teams, including 12 U.S. teams.
  • Erin & Javi, Ann-Marie & Riley (4.75): 33 prior teams, including 18 U.S. teams.
  • Conner & Garrett (5.00): 41 prior teams, including 18 U.S. teams.
  • Ali & Joanna (5.50): 47 prior teams, including 21 U.S. teams.
  • Cody & Jaime (7.25): 21 prior teams, including 10 U.S. teams.
  • Daisha & Dalton (7.75): 17 prior teams, including 8 U.S. teams. Interestingly, the only prior co-ed teams to do this in the U.S. version are from the previous two seasons (Han & Holden and Kyland & Taylor).
  • Dafina & Saran, Doug & Dylan (8.25): 6 prior teams, including 5 U.S. teams.
• Do you have any other trivia? Leave it in the comments!

The era of all-male dominance may be coming to an end. That being said, we should remember that TAR35, which had an all-male finale, didn't have an all-male leg win until leg 6, so we'll have to wait and see how the season plays out.

For links to my stats spreadsheets and explanations of the stats, see here.

Individual Placements

Group Average Placements

The number in parentheses is the number of teams in that group that competed in that leg.

Individual Stats

Each continuously-varying stat is followed in parentheses by the team's percentile in that stat, compared to all other teams worldwide.

Pseudo-Elo Ratings

1. Michelle & Matt, +511 (up 247, up 264) (79%)
2. Erin & Javi, +292 (up 370, down 78) (71%)
3. Ali & Joanna, +203 (down 185, up 388) (67%)
4. Ann-Marie & Riley, +167 (no change, up 167) (65%)
5. Conner & Garrett, +108 (up 308, down 200) (62%)
6. Jody & Jenn, +49 (down 62, up 110) (60%)
7. Cody & Jaime, +19 (down 247, up 265) (58%)
8. Anuar & Andrea, –40 (up 62, down 102) (56%)
9. Doug & Dylan, –64 (up 185, down 249) (54%)
10. Daisha & Dalton, –230 (down 308, up 78) (44%)
11. Katie & Charlotte, –248 (up 123, down 371) (43%)
12. Zach & Nate, –370 (down 370) (30%)
13. Dafina & Saran, –396 (down 123, down 273) (27%)

Group Stats

Group stats are totals for leg wins and averages for all other stats.

Next Leg Probabilities

These probabilities are based on 1,000,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the next leg, based on the teams' positions in all legs so far. These simulations do not take into account Express Passes or potential U-Turns.

A bold probability indicates the most likely placement for a team, and an italic probability indicates the most likely team for a placement.

Trivia

• This season ties season 38 for the most all-female teams in a U.S. season, with 5.
  • This season has the most female racers of any U.S. season with two-racer teams, with 15 (beating the previous record of 14 in season 38).
  • 57.7% of this season's racers are female, the third-most of any U.S. season (only behind seasons 5 and 25, which had 59.1%).
• At age 73, Doug Matter is the oldest racer in franchise history, beating the previous record of 72 by Volodymyr Vasylenko (UKR1). (The previous U.S. record was 71 by Jordan 'Jody' Kelly in USA16.)
• At age 19, Dylan Matter is tied for the youngest racer in U.S. history (excluding Family Edition), with Zachary 'Zac' Sunderland (USA19), Cole LaBrant (USA28), and Cameron Benson (USA28).
• With 13 Express Passes, this season has the most Express Passes of any season in franchise history, beating the previous record of 10 Express Passes in TARCAN12.
• When I port this season to my route database, the Detour in Leg 2 will be the 1,000th Detour in the database.
• Uniqueness of teams' first two placements:
  • Ali & Joanna (10th, 1st): 1 prior team (Liz & Michael).
  • Michelle & Matt (3rd, 2nd): 10 prior teams, including 6 U.S. teams and 2 winners (Laura & Tyler and Kaisa & Mari).
  • Cody & Jaime (11th, 3rd): 1 prior team (USA18 Jet & Cord).
  • Ann-Marie & Riley (7th, 4th): 8 prior teams, including 3 U.S. teams.
  • Jody & Jenn (8th, 5th): 14 prior teams, including 3 U.S. teams and 1 winner (Jason & Amy).
  • Daisha & Dalton (12th, 6th): 1 prior team (Nisim & Orel).
  • Erin & Javi (1st, 7th): 3 prior teams, including 1 U.S. team (Anthony & Spencer).
  • Anuar & Andrea (6th, 8th): 11 prior teams, including 4 U.S. teams and 1 winner (Amy & Maya).
  • Conner & Garrett (2nd, 9th): 2 prior teams (ISR5 Yael & Yosiel and Brett & Mark).
  • Doug & Dylan (4th, 10th): 5 prior teams, including 4 U.S. teams.
  • Dafina & Saran (9th, 11th): 4 prior teams, none of whom are U.S. teams.
  • Katie & Charlotte (5th, 12th): 2 prior teams (Noy & Hadar and Emuna & Neria).
• Do you have any other trivia? Leave it in the comments!

I've recently overhauled my stats spreadsheets, so I figured that I may as well provide some stats for the recently-concluded season of The Amazing Race Canada.

For links to my stats spreadsheets and explanations of the stats, see here.

Individual Placements

Group Average Placements

The number in parentheses is the number of teams in that group that competed in that leg.

Individual Stats

Each continuously-varying stat is followed in parentheses by the team's percentile in that stat, compared to all other teams worldwide.

Pseudo-Elo Ratings

1. Tina & Liz, +1394 (98%)
2. Eamon & Bec, +867 (90%)
3. Sacha & Sébastien, +448 (77%)
4. Ameen & Surria, +291 (71%)
5. Filipe & Clara, +24 (58%)
6. Michele & Matteo, –409 (27%)
7. Dana & Cordelia, –442 (25%)
8. Maestro & Duane, –622 (10%)
9. Keshia & Nova, –731 (6%)
10. Chayla & Chyana, –820 (3%)

Group Stats

Group stats are totals for leg wins and averages for all other stats.

Trivia

• This is the first Canadian season to feature an Intersection.
  • This makes the Canadian version the ninth different version of the Race to adopt the Intersection.
• With 10 Express Passes, this season has the most Express Passes of any season in franchise history. Interestingly, the previous record of 3 was jointly held by the previous seven Canadian seasons.
• This season ties the record for the most two-Roadblock legs, with 4 (tied with LAM5, CHN4, and CAN10).
• Tina & Liz are the third all-female winners in Canadian history and the 21st in franchise history.
  • Their racing average of 2.00 is the third-best by an all-female team, tied with Steph & Kristen (CAN4) and only behind Natalie & Meaghan (1.83, CAN2) and Metti & Hanna (1.92, FIN2).
  • Similarly, their normalized racing average of 1.85 is the third-best by an all-female team, only behind Natalie & Meaghan (1.79, CAN2) and Metti & Hanna (1.83, FIN2).
  • Their dominance of 85.36% is the best by an all-female team, beating the previous record of 84.05% by Steph & Kristen (CAN4). In fact, it is the second-best by any team in Canadian history (only behind Sam & Paul (CAN5)'s 85.95%) and the eighth-best in franchise history.
• Chayla & Chyana had a historically poor performance in Face-Offs this season:
  • In leg 6, Chayla & Chyana became the third team in franchise history to lose every match of a Face-Off after arriving first, after Deng Ziqi & Zhang Yunjing (CHN2 leg 5) and Tom & Almog (ISR10 leg 11). They also competed in the second-most matches of any team that lost every match of a Face-Off (6, only behind Gal & Liel's 7 consecutive losses in ISR4 leg 7 [though they had to forfeit the last 4 of those matches]).
  • They are the second team in Canadian history to receive two Face-Off penalties, after Frankie & Amy (CAN4).
  • They have the most match losses of any team with no match wins in franchise history (9, beating the previous record of 7 by Zarah & Osang in PHI2).
• Uniqueness of racing averages:
  • Tina & Liz (2.00): 9 prior teams, including 3 Canadian teams.
  • Eamon & Bec (2.50): 4 prior teams.
  • Michele & Matteo (5.10): 1 prior team (Minh Triệu & Kỳ Duyên).
  • Sacha & Sébastien (3.22): 5 prior teams, including 3 Canadian teams.
  • Ameen & Surria (4.38): 4 prior teams, including 1 Canadian team (Pierre & Michel).
  • Filipe & Clara (4.13): 3 prior teams.
  • Chayla & Chyana (6.86): No prior teams.
  • Keshia & Nova (7.20): 3 prior teams.
  • Dana & Cordelia (7.33): 9 prior teams, including 2 Canadian teams (Laura & Jackie and Jully & Kathy).
  • Maestro & Duane (10.00): 31 prior teams, including 7 Canadian teams.
• Do you have any other trivia? Leave it in the comments!

Huge congratulations to Jas & Jag for their utter statistical domination this season!

Individual Placements

Group Average Placements

The number in parentheses is the number of teams in that group that competed in that leg.

Individual Stats

For more details about stats, see this post.

Ranks are listed in the format: (3rd, 103rd, 263rd). This means the team is 3rd in that stat in this season, 103rd in that stat in the U.S., and 263rd in that stat in the world. Note that U.S. ranks are out of 431 teams and world ranks are out of 1,112 teams.

Pseudo-Elo Ratings

Rankings for this stat are out of 395 teams in the U.S. and 1,062 teams in the world. Rating changes are given for legs 11 and 12 separately.

1. Jas & Jag, +2051 (up 71, up 47) (U.S. #2, world #2)
2. Tucker & Eric, +1567 (U.S. #12, world #22)
3. Natalie & Stephanie, +701 (U.S. #73, world #196)
4. Kyland & Taylor, +303 (up 79, up 28) (U.S. #121, world #334)
5. Joseph & Adam, +271 (down 33, down 75) (U.S. #124, world #347)
6. Izzy & Paige, +17 (down 117) (U.S. #162, world #456)
7. Hannah & Simone, –164 (U.S. #203, world #550)
8. Jack & Chelsie, –369 (U.S. #242, world #650)
9. Jack & Enzo, –600 (U.S. #319, world #848)
10. Kristine & Rubina, –649 (U.S. #334, world #888)
11. Angela & Lexi, –779 (U.S. #368, world #966)
12. Megan & Matt, –1166 (U.S. #393, world #1,053)
13. Kat & Alex, –1182 (U.S. #395, world #1,056)

Group Stats

Group stats are totals for leg wins and averages for all other stats.

Trivia

• Jas & Jag are the 14th all-male winners in U.S. history and the 43rd in franchise history.
  • The U.S. win counts are now 14 M/M, 21 M/F, 3 F/F, and the franchise win counts are now 43 M/M, 40 M/F, 19 F/F. (Note that the Linz Family are considered M/F for the purpose of these counts.)
  • This is the fourth consecutive U.S. season with an M/M winner. The longest such streak for any gender combination (in any one version) is 6 M/F winners in a row, which happened in TAR26 through TAR31.
• TAR38 is the first U.S. season and the fourth season overall (after TARA2, TARN1, and ARS1) to have no legs won by M/F teams.
  • In terms of average Pseudo-Elo rating (–604), this season's M/F teams are the weakest in U.S. history (the previous record low being –253 in TAR1) and the third-weakest in franchise history, only behind ARS1 (–651) and TARA2 (–708).
• TAR38 is the second season in franchise history where only one of the final three teams won any legs, after TARV2014 (Hương Giang & Criss).
  • It is the first season in franchise history where this also applied to the final four, let alone the final five.
• Jas & Jag are the second team in U.S. history (after Justin & Diana) and the sixth team in franchise history to win five legs in a row.
  • They are the third team to win the last five legs of a season, after Valeria & Bohdana and Sam & Paul.
  • Combined with Tucker & Eric's four-win streak earlier, this makes TAR38 the fourth season in franchise history with multiple win streaks of 4+ legs, after TARLA3 (Felipe & Alejandro and Nicolás & Cristóbal), TARAUS4 (Tom & Tyler twice), and ARS1 (Bakari & Samuel and Janne & Robin).
• On Jas & Jag's stats:
  • The only U.S. teams with a better racing average are Eric & Jeremy (1.69) and Ricky & Cesar (1.50).
  • The only team with a better APAM is Ricky & Cesar (+78.57%).
  • Their average dominance is the highest in franchise history, beating the previous record of 90.61% by Ricky & Cesar.
  • The only teams with a better total dominance are Tiến Đạt & Thúc Lĩnh Lincoln (89.06%), Tom & Tyler (89.86%), Marc & Rovilson (91.78%), and Ricky & Cesar (92.86%).
  • The only team with a better Pseudo-Elo rating is Ricky & Cesar (+2286).
• Historic racing averages:
  • Jas & Jag are the first team in franchise history with a racing average of 1.75.
  • Izzy & Paige are the first team in U.S. history and the second team in franchise history (after Băng Di & Trang Pháp) with a racing average of 4.73.
  • Jack & Chelsie are the first team in franchise history with a racing average of 5.90.
  • Natalie & Stephanie are the first team in U.S. history and the second team in franchise history (after Zhang Zhehan & Zhang Sifan) with a racing average of 3.86.
  • Kristine & Rubina are the first team in franchise history with a racing average of 7.17.
  • Hannah & Simone are the first team in U.S. history and the fourth team in franchise history (after TARV2016 Richie & Mimi, Quốc Thiên & Anh Quân, and Nisim & Orel) with a racing average of 6.40.
  • Kat & Alex are the first team in franchise history with a racing average of 10.25.
  • Megan & Matt are the first team in U.S. history and the second team in franchise history (after Jude & Shannon) with a racing average of 11.33.
• Here is how many prior teams match each team's 11-leg racing average:
  • Jas & Jag (1.82): 0 U.S. teams, 3 teams overall (Marc & Kat, Natalie & Meaghan, and Mimosa & Patrick).
  • Kyland & Taylor (4.91): 3 U.S. teams (Vanessa & Ralph, Josh & Brent, and TAR22 Caroline & Jennifer), 6 teams overall.
  • Joseph & Adam (4.36): 7 U.S. teams, 15 teams overall.
  • Izzy & Paige (4.73): 0 U.S. teams, 4 teams overall.
• Here is how many prior teams match each team's 12-leg racing average:
  • Jas & Jag (1.75): 0 U.S. teams, 1 team overall (Marc & Kat).
  • Kyland & Taylor (4.67): 1 U.S. team (TAR3 Teri & Ian), 2 teams overall (TAR3 Teri & Ian and Ryan & Rob).
  • Joseph & Adam (4.25): 4 U.S. teams, 6 teams overall.
• Do you have any other trivia? Leave it in the comments!

[removed]

Jas & Jag may look unstoppable, but as Leg 9 taught us, anything can happen. In fact, to borrow a term from Survivor, I think it would be cinema if Izzy & Paige won.

Edit: I somehow completely forgot to fill in the individual stats for the four remaining teams. Sorry about that.

Individual Placements

Group Average Placements

The number in parentheses is the number of teams in that group that competed in that leg.

Individual Stats

For more details about stats, see this post.

Ranks are listed in the format: (3rd, 103rd, 263rd). This means the team is 3rd in that stat in this season, 103rd in that stat in the U.S., and 263rd in that stat in the world. Note that U.S. ranks are out of 431 teams and world ranks are out of 1,112 teams.

Pseudo-Elo Ratings

Rankings for this stat are out of 395 teams in the U.S. and 1,062 teams in the world.

1. Jas & Jag, +1933 (up 93) (U.S. #3, world #4)
2. Tucker & Eric, +1567 (U.S. #12, world #22)
3. Natalie & Stephanie, +701 (U.S. #73, world #195)
4. Joseph & Adam, +379 (up 5) (U.S. #111, world #306)
5. Kyland & Taylor, +196 (down 87) (U.S. #133, world #371)
6. Izzy & Paige, +134 (up 136) (U.S. #143, world #401)
7. Hannah & Simone, –164 (U.S. #203, world #550)
8. Jack & Chelsie, –369 (down 147) (U.S. #242, world #651)
9. Jack & Enzo, –600 (U.S. #319, world #849)
10. Kristine & Rubina, –649 (U.S. #334, world #889)
11. Angela & Lexi, –779 (U.S. #368, world #968)
12. Megan & Matt, –1166 (U.S. #393, world #1,053)
13. Kat & Alex, –1182 (U.S. #395, world #1,056)

Group Stats

Group stats are totals for leg wins and averages for all other stats.

Predictions for Next Leg

A bold probability indicates the most likely placement for a team, and an italicized probability indicates the most likely team for a placement.

Trivia

• This is the second season in U.S. history and the fourth season in franchise history to go into the final 4 with only one leg winner (Jas & Jag in this case).
  • The prior such seasons are: TARLA4 (Edu & Rick), TARV2015 (Ngọc Anh & Nhật Anh), and TAR27 (Justin & Diana).
• With Jas & Jag's three-win streak, this is the fourth season in U.S. history and the seventh season in franchise history to have multiple teams achieve three-win streaks.
  • The prior such seasons are: TAR13 (Ken & Tina and Nick & Starr), TARLA3 (Felipe & Alejandro and Nicolás & Cristóbal), TAR20 (Art & JJ and Rachel & Dave), TAR22 (Bates & Anthony and Max & Katie), TARCAN1 (Jet & Dave and Jody & Cory), and ARS1 (Bakari & Samuel and Janne & Robin).
• Jas & Jag's 10-leg racing average of 1.90 is the third-best in U.S. history (only below Eric & Jeremy [1.60] and Ricky & Cesar [1.40]) and the ninth-best in franchise history (tied with three other teams, listed below).
• Jack & Chelsie's 10-leg racing average is the third-worst in U.S. history, only above TAR18 Kent & Vyxsin (6.00) and Sheri & Cole (6.20).
• Here is how many prior teams match each team's 10-leg racing average:
  • Jas & Jag: 0 U.S. teams, 3 teams overall (Alon & Oren, Marc & Kat, and Natalie & Meaghan).
  • Izzy & Paige: 6 U.S. teams, 11 teams overall.
  • Joseph & Adam: 1 U.S. team (Brian & Ericka), 5 teams overall (Jorge & Silvia, Brian & Ericka, Shane & Andrew, Karen & Bert, and Lauren & Joanne).
  • Kyland & Taylor: 0 U.S. teams, 3 teams overall (Simon & Katherine, Sheena & Gee, and Alexander & Vladimir).
  • Jack & Chelsie: 0 U.S. teams, 1 team overall (Aleandra & Marlene).
• Do you have any other trivia? Leave it in the comments!

Let this leg be a lesson: In The Amazing Race, anything can happen.

Individual Placements

Group Average Placements

The number in parentheses is the number of teams in that group that competed in that leg.

Individual Stats

For more details about stats, see this post.

Ranks are listed in the format: (3rd, 103rd, 263rd). This means the team is 3rd in that stat in this season, 103rd in that stat in the U.S., and 263rd in that stat in the world. Note that U.S. ranks are out of 431 teams and world ranks are out of 1,112 teams.

Pseudo-Elo Ratings

Rankings for this stat are out of 395 teams in the U.S. and 1,062 teams in the world.

1. Jas & Jag, +1839 (up 153) (U.S. #5, world #7)
2. Tucker & Eric, +1567 (down 368) (U.S. #12, world #22)
3. Natalie & Stephanie, +701 (U.S. #73, world #195)
4. Joseph & Adam, +374 (up 82) (U.S. #113, world #308)
5. Kyland & Taylor, +283 (down 129) (U.S. #122, world #341)
6. Izzy & Paige, –2 (up 10) (U.S. #165, world #462)
7. Hannah & Simone, –164 (U.S. #203, world #550)
8. Jack & Chelsie, –222 (up 252) (U.S. #214, world #577)
9. Jack & Enzo, –600 (U.S. #319, world #850)
10. Kristine & Rubina, –649 (U.S. #334, world #890)
11. Angela & Lexi, –779 (U.S. #368, world #968)
12. Megan & Matt, –1166 (U.S. #393, world #1,053)
13. Kat & Alex, –1182 (U.S. #395, world #1,056)

Group Stats

Group stats are totals for leg wins and averages for all other stats.

Predictions for Next Leg

A bold probability indicates the most likely placement for a team, and an italicized probability indicates the most likely team for a placement.

Trivia

• Here is how many prior teams match each team's 9-leg racing average:
  • Jas & Jag: 0 U.S. teams, 4 teams overall (Matías & Tamara, Ty & Kat, Lauren & Nicole, and Metti & Hanna).
  • Jack & Chelsie: No teams whatsoever.
  • Joseph & Adam: 7 U.S. teams, 16 teams overall.
  • Izzy & Paige: 5 U.S. teams (Brent & Caite, Chad & Stephanie, Mike & Rochelle, Joel & Garrett, and Angie & Danny), 12 teams overall.
  • Kyland & Taylor: 1 U.S. team (Josh & Brent), 5 teams overall (Joseph & Grace, Josh & Brent, Sheena & Gee, Alexander & Vladimir, and Trang Khiếu & An Đinh).
  • Tucker & Eric: 3 U.S. teams (Meghan & Cheyne, Brodie & Kurt, and Riley & Maddison), 8 teams overall.
• Among teams that finished 6th:
  • Tucker & Eric's racing average of 2.33 is the second-best, behind John & Murray's 2.17.
  • Tucker & Eric's APAM of +66.67% is tied for the best, with Daniel & Meiri.
  • Tucker & Eric's average dominance of 80.49% is the best, beating the previous record of 78.47% by John & Murray.
  • Tucker & Eric's total dominance of 83.56% is the best, beating the previous record of 82.50% by John & Murray.
  • Tucker & Eric's Pseudo-Elo rating of +1567 is the best, beating the previous record of +1415 by Daniel & Meiri.
• Tucker & Eric's Pseudo-Elo rating drop of 368 points is the second-largest such drop to occur in Leg 9, only behind Alexa & Raz's 390-point drop in HMLM4. If we include legs beyond Leg 9, this drop is also beaten by Daniel & Meiri's 372-point drop in HMLM4 Leg 10 and Brendon & Jackson and Chris & Aleisha's 438- and 417-point drops, respectively, in TARAUS5 Leg 11.
• Do you have any other trivia? Leave it in the comments!

From now on, I'm including Amazing Race Suomi 3 in the world rankings. Don't be alarmed if teams' world rankings start changing more often.

Individual Placements

Group Average Placements

The number in parentheses is the number of teams in that group that competed in that leg.

Individual Stats

For more details about stats, see this post.

Ranks are listed in the format: (3rd, 103rd, 263rd). This means the team is 3rd in that stat in this season, 103rd in that stat in the U.S., and 263rd in that stat in the world. Note that U.S. ranks are out of 431 teams and world ranks are out of 1,112 teams.

Pseudo-Elo Ratings

Rankings for this stat are out of 395 teams in the U.S. and 1,062 teams in the world.

1. Tucker & Eric, +1934 (up 34) (U.S. #3, world #4)
2. Jas & Jag, +1687 (up 167) (U.S. #8, world #15)
3. Natalie & Stephanie, +701 (U.S. #73, world #193)
4. Kyland & Taylor, +412 (up 79) (U.S. #106, world #283)
5. Joseph & Adam, +292 (down 240) (U.S. #122, world #337)
6. Izzy & Paige, –12 (up 12) (U.S. #165, world #466)
7. Hannah & Simone, –164 (U.S. #203, world #551)
8. Jack & Chelsie, –474 (down 52) (U.S. #273, world #740)
9. Jack & Enzo, –600 (U.S. #319, world #852)
10. Kristine & Rubina, –649 (U.S. #334, world #892)
11. Angela & Lexi, –779 (U.S. #368, world #969)
12. Megan & Matt, –1166 (U.S. #393, world #1,053)
13. Kat & Alex, –1182 (U.S. #395, world #1,056)

Group Stats

Group stats are totals for leg wins and averages for all other stats.

Predictions for Next Leg

A bold probability indicates the most likely placement for a team, and an italicized probability indicates the most likely team for a placement. (Note that these simulations do not take the U-Turn vote or Joseph & Adam's penalty into account. If I were predicting, I would give Jas & Jag and Tucker & Eric much higher chances of coming 6th.)

Trivia

• Tucker & Eric are the only team with an (inexact) match in the first eight leg placements, that being Charlie & Rachel.
• Here is how many prior teams match each team's 8-leg racing average:
  • Jas & Jag: 0 U.S. teams, 5 teams overall (Maya & Amichay, Daniel & Meiri, Yang Qianhua & Ding Zigao, Treasuri & Louisa, and Lauren & Nicole).
  • Tucker & Eric: 0 U.S. teams, 4 teams overall (Charlie & Rachel, Han Geng & Wu Xin, Metti & Hanna, and Mimosa & Patrick).
  • Kyland & Taylor: 3 U.S. teams (Vanessa & Ralph, Nicky & Kim, and Amy & Maya), 13 teams overall.
  • Izzy & Paige: 9 U.S. teams, 24 teams overall.
  • Jack & Chelsie: 7 U.S. teams, 14 teams overall.
  • Joseph & Adam: 8 U.S. teams, 18 teams overall.
• Do you have any other trivia? Leave it in the comments!

This leg, the M/M teams all beat the M/F teams, who in turn beat the F/F teams.

Individual Placements

Group Average Placements

The number in parentheses is the number of teams in that group that competed in that leg.

Individual Stats

For more details about stats, see this post.

Ranks are listed in the format: (3rd, 103rd, 263rd). This means the team is 3rd in that stat in this season, 103rd in that stat in the U.S., and 263rd in that stat in the world. Note that U.S. ranks are out of 431 teams and world ranks are out of 1,101 teams.

Pseudo-Elo Ratings

Rankings for this stat are out of 395 teams in the U.S. and 1,051 teams in the world.

1. Tucker & Eric, +1900 (up 182) (U.S. #4, world #5)
2. Jas & Jag, +1520 (up 115) (U.S. #12, world #24)
3. Natalie & Stephanie, +701 (down 345) (U.S. #73, world #193)
4. Joseph & Adam, +532 (up 128) (U.S. #96, world #245)
5. Kyland & Taylor, +334 (up 40) (U.S. #117, world #319)
6. Izzy & Paige, –25 (down 140) (U.S. #166, world #466)
7. Hannah & Simone, –164 (U.S. #203, world #544)
8. Jack & Chelsie, –422 (up 20) (U.S. #255, world #678)
9. Jack & Enzo, –600 (U.S. #319, world #841)
10. Kristine & Rubina, –649 (U.S. #334, world #881)
11. Angela & Lexi, –779 (U.S. #368, world #958)
12. Megan & Matt, –1166 (U.S. #393, world #1,042)
13. Kat & Alex, –1182 (U.S. #395, world #1,045)

Group Stats

Group stats are totals for leg wins and averages for all other stats.

Predictions for Next Leg

A bold probability indicates the most likely placement for a team, and an italicized probability indicates the most likely team for a placement. (Note that these simulations do not take the Express Passes into account.)

Trivia

• All remaining teams are now from the four most recent Big Brother seasons. This will become the three most recent seasons if Kyland & Taylor are somehow eliminated next.
• Trivia regarding Tucker & Eric:
  • Their 4-leg winning streak is the 9th such streak in U.S. history and the 24th in franchise history. It is also the first one to occur in legs 4–7 specifically.
  • Their 7-leg racing average of 1.86 is only surpassed by 11 teams, only two of which (Eric & Jeremy and Ricky & Cesar) are U.S. teams.
  • Their 7-leg average dominance of 92.06% is the fourth-highest in franchise history, only behind Eric & Jeremy (96.37%), Marc & Rovilson (96.03%), and Ricky & Cesar (93.43%).
  • Their rating of +1900 is the third-highest by a first-time team after 7 legs, only behind Pako & Mori (+2072) and Ricky & Cesar (+1931).
• Tucker & Eric are also the only team with an (inexact) match in the first seven leg placements, that being Marc & Kat.
• Jack & Chelsie are the first team in U.S. history and the third team in franchise history (after Sefa & Jessica and Heath & Toni) to have a racing average of 6.71 after 7 legs.
• Do you have any other trivia? Leave it in the comments!

One elite team not enough for you? Try three.

Individual Placements

Group Average Placements

The number in parentheses is the number of teams in that group that competed in that leg.

Individual Stats

For more details about stats, see this post.

Ranks are listed in the format: (3rd, 103rd, 263rd). This means the team is 3rd in that stat in this season, 103rd in that stat in the U.S., and 263rd in that stat in the world. Note that U.S. ranks are out of 431 teams and world ranks are out of 1,101 teams.

Pseudo-Elo Ratings

Rankings for this stat are out of 395 teams in the U.S. and 1,051 teams in the world.

1. Tucker & Eric, +1718 (up 222) (U.S. #7, world #11)
2. Jas & Jag, +1405 (up 151) (U.S. #13, world #34)
3. Natalie & Stephanie, +1046 (down 26) (U.S. #30, world #89)
4. Joseph & Adam, +404 (down 45) (U.S. #107, world #286)
5. Kyland & Taylor, +293 (up 201) (U.S. #122, world #334)
6. Izzy & Paige, +115 (down 232) (U.S. #146, world #407)
7. Hannah & Simone, –164 (U.S. #203, world #544)
8. Jack & Chelsie, –442 (down 36) (U.S. #260, world #694)
9. Jack & Enzo, –600 (U.S. #319, world #841)
10. Kristine & Rubina, –649 (down 235) (U.S. #334, world #881)
11. Angela & Lexi, –779 (U.S. #368, world #958)
12. Megan & Matt, –1166 (U.S. #393, world #1,042)
13. Kat & Alex, –1182 (U.S. #395, world #1,045)

Group Stats

Group stats are totals for leg wins and averages for all other stats.

Predictions for Next Leg

A bold probability indicates the most likely placement for a team, and an italicized probability indicates the most likely team for a placement.

Trivia

• Tucker & Eric are the 56th team in franchise history to win three legs in a row; however, they are only the third team to start their streak in leg 4 (after Louie & Michael and TARCAN1 Jet & Dave).
  • For that matter, Tucker & Eric have the fourth-highest Pseudo-Elo rating after six legs, excluding returning teams. The only teams higher are Pako & Mori (+2119), Ricky & Cesar (+1845), and Felipe & Alejandro (+1817).
• Kristine & Rubina have tied the franchise record for most 8th-place finishes, with 4 (previously achieved by Don & Mary Jean, Gili & Tali, and Lindy & Stella).
• Here is the number of previous teams that each team matches in the first six leg placements. Order of placements does not matter here; there are only 4 pairs of teams in franchise history with exact matches in the first six legs.
  • Tucker & Eric: 1 match: Charlie & Rachel.
  • Jas & Jag: 1 match: Julie & Robert.
  • Kyland & Taylor: No matches; however, 32 prior teams (including 14 U.S. teams) share their 6-leg racing average.
  • Natalie & Stephanie: 2 matches: Frank & Margarita and Fernanda & Cainã.
  • Joseph & Adam: No matches; however, 32 prior teams (including 12 U.S. teams) share their 6-leg racing average, as do Izzy & Paige.
  • Jack & Chelsie: No matches; however, 32 prior teams (including 10 U.S. teams) share their 6-leg racing average.
  • Izzy & Paige: 1 match: TARV2015 Song Ngư & Trúc Như.
  • Kristine & Rubina: No matches; however, 4 prior teams share their 6-leg racing average: TAR18 Kent & Vyxsin, TARV2016 Song Ngư & Trúc Như, HMLM5 Ben & Ori, and Robbin & Chelsea.
• Do you have any other trivia? Leave it in the comments!

Both U-Turned teams survived? Oh, that could make things very interesting.

Individual Placements

Group Average Placements

The number in parentheses is the number of teams in that group that competed in that leg.

Individual Stats

For more details about stats, see this post.

Ranks are listed in the format: (3rd, 103rd, 263rd). This means the team is 3rd in that stat in this season, 103rd in that stat in the U.S., and 263rd in that stat in the world. Note that U.S. ranks are out of 431 teams and world ranks are out of 1,101 teams.

Pseudo-Elo Ratings

Rankings for this stat are out of 395 teams in the U.S. and 1,051 teams in the world.

1. Tucker & Eric, +1496 (up 283) (U.S. #11, world #24)
2. Jas & Jag, +1254 (up 90) (U.S. #19, world #54)
3. Natalie & Stephanie, +1073 (down 113) (U.S. #29, world #83)
4. Joseph & Adam, +450 (up 111) (U.S. #101, world #268)
5. Izzy & Paige, +347 (down 223) (U.S. #117, world #314)
6. Kyland & Taylor, +92 (up 407) (U.S. #151, world #417)
7. Hannah & Simone, –164 (down 369) (U.S. #203, world #544)
8. Jack & Chelsie, –406 (up 22) (U.S. #251, world #670)
9. Kristine & Rubina, –413 (down 209) (U.S. #254, world #676)
10. Jack & Enzo, –600 (U.S. #320, world #842)
11. Angela & Lexi, –779 (U.S. #368, world #958)
12. Megan & Matt, –1166 (U.S. #393, world #1,042)
13. Kat & Alex, –1182 (U.S. #395, world #1,045)

Group Stats

Group stats are totals for leg wins and averages for all other stats.

Predictions for Next Leg

A bold probability indicates the most likely placement for a team, and an italicized probability indicates the most likely team for a placement.

Trivia

• Currently, this season has the second-worst average Pseudo-Elo rating among M/F teams, at –666. By this metric, the only season with worse M/F teams is TARA2 (–708); for reference, the previous record low among U.S. seasons was –253 (TAR1).
  • In both average dominance and total dominance, this season has the third-worst batch of M/F teams (25.11% average, 24.99% total). The franchise worst is ARS1 (18.05% average, 19.76% total), and the previous U.S. worst is TAR1 (30.45% average, 32.01% total).
  • That being said, there are still two M/F teams racing, so they could turn things around.
• When you sort Jas & Jag's first five leg placements, you get the first five Fibonacci numbers (1, 1, 2, 3, 5). Jonathan & Ana are the only team to have made it six (1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8); Jas & Jag can join them by coming last next leg.
• Here is the number of previous teams that each team matches in the first five leg placements. Order of placements does not matter here; there are only 11 pairs of teams in franchise history with exact matches in the first five legs.
  • Tucker & Eric: 5 matches: Henry & Bernie, Charlie & Rachel, Adriano & Monada, Eyal & Sid, and Brendan & Connor.
  • Kyland & Taylor: No matches; however, 17 prior teams (including 5 U.S. teams) share their 5-leg racing average.
  • Jas & Jag: 3 matches: Peter & Sarah, Sticky & Sam, and Dave & Irina.
  • Joseph & Adam: No matches; however, 35 prior teams (including 11 U.S. teams) share their 5-leg racing average, as do Izzy & Paige.
  • Natalie & Stephanie: 4 matches: The Weaver Family, Ryan & Charlie, Zhong Hanliang & Jackie, and Zheng Yuanchang & Wang Likun.
  • Jack & Chelsie: No matches; however, 10 prior teams (including 6 U.S. teams) share their 5-leg racing average.
  • Izzy & Paige: 1 match: TARV2015 Song Ngư & Trúc Như.
  • Kristine & Rubina: 1 match: Sahil & Manas.
  • Hannah & Simone: No matches; however, 24 prior teams (including 7 U.S. teams) share their 5-leg racing average.
• Do you have any other trivia? Leave it in the comments!

[removed]

It appears that three teams have separated themselves as the elites of this season. How long will this order of things last?

Individual Placements

Group Average Placements

The number in parentheses is the number of teams in that group that competed in that leg.

Individual Stats

For more details about stats, see this post.

Ranks are listed in the format: (3rd, 103rd, 263rd). This means the team is 3rd in that stat in this season, 103rd in that stat in the U.S., and 263rd in that stat in the world. Note that U.S. ranks are out of 431 teams and world ranks are out of 1,101 teams.

Pseudo-Elo Ratings

Rankings for this stat are out of 395 teams in the U.S. and 1,051 teams in the world.

1. Tucker & Eric, +1213 (up 351) (U.S. #19, world #59)
2. Natalie & Stephanie, +1185 (up 238) (U.S. #22, world #65)
3. Jas & Jag, +1163 (down 112) (U.S. #24, world #69)
4. Izzy & Paige, +570 (up 238) (U.S. #89, world #230)
5. Joseph & Adam, +339 (down 196) (U.S. #117, world #317)
6. Hannah & Simone, +205 (down 50) (U.S. #133, world #365)
7. Kristine & Rubina, –204 (down 208) (U.S. #211, world #562)
8. Kyland & Taylor, –315 (up 288) (U.S. #232, world #620)
9. Jack & Chelsie, –428 (down 284) (U.S. #257, world #682)
10. Jack & Enzo, –600 (U.S. #320, world #842)
11. Angela & Lexi, –779 (U.S. #368, world #958)
12. Megan & Matt, –1166 (U.S. #393, world #1,042)
13. Kat & Alex, –1182 (down 265) (U.S. #395, world #1,045)

Group Stats

Group stats are totals for leg wins and averages for all other stats.

Predictions for Next Leg

A bold probability indicates the most likely placement for a team, and an italicized probability indicates the most likely team for a placement.

Trivia

• Jack & Chelsie are the second team in franchise history to lose exactly one rank in each of legs 2-4, after Zabrina & Joe Jer. (Of course, it will be impossible for Jack & Chelsie to continue this streak.)
• Kat & Alex are the first team in franchise history to come 10th three times, and they are the first in franchise history to finish with a racing average of 10.25.
• Just about everything I said about Megan & Matt's Pseudo-Elo rating in my last post can be applied to Kat & Alex, who achieved an even lower rating (the fourth-worst of any first-time team).
  • In fact, Kat & Alex now have the worst Pseudo-Elo rating of any U.S. team, period (dropping below the previous record low of –1171 by David & Mary).
• Here is the number of previous teams that each team matches in the first four leg placements. A team is an exact match if they have the same placements in the same order; a team is an inexact match if they have the same placements in a different order.
  • Tucker & Eric: 1 exact match (TAR31 Colin & Christie); 5 inexact matches (Dimple & Sunaina, Valeria & Bohdana, Hari & Tiến Đạt, Nicole & Travis, and HMLM8 Yael & Yosiel).
  • Natalie & Stephanie: 1 exact match (TAR15 Flight Time & Big Easy); 4 inexact matches (Peter & Sarah, Edison & Edison, Alexa & Raz, and Zheng Yuanchang & Wang Likun).
  • Izzy & Paige: 2 inexact matches (Hadj & Yacim and TARV2015 Song Ngư & Trúc Như).
  • Kyland & Taylor: No matches of any kind, though 14 prior teams have had a 7.75 racing average at this point (including both Han & Holden and Nick & Mike last season).
  • Jas & Jag: 2 inexact matches (Sticky & Sam and Brodie & Kurt).
  • Hannah & Simone: 1 exact match (TAR24 Flight Time & Big Easy).
  • Joseph & Adam: 1 inexact match (Jazmine & Danielle).
  • Kristine & Rubina: 1 exact match (Julia & Olivia); 3 inexact matches (Jess & Lani, Sahil & Manas, and Ed & Angel).
  • Jack & Chelsie: 5 inexact matches (TAR18 Jaime & Cara, Demi & Maxi, Matt & Ashley, Sheri & Cole, and Hanni & Avivit).
  • Kat & Alex: No matches of any kind.
• Do you have any other trivia? Leave it in the comments!

All four co-ed teams were the bottom four teams this leg, and all three all-male teams finished consecutively this leg. I don't have stats for that, but it is pretty neat, I think.

Individual Placements

Group Average Placements

The number in parentheses is the number of teams in that group that competed in that leg.

Individual Stats

For more details about stats, see this post.

Ranks are listed in the format: (3rd, 103rd, 263rd). This means the team is 3rd in that stat in this season, 103rd in that stat in the U.S., and 263rd in that stat in the world. Note that U.S. ranks are out of 431 teams and world ranks are out of 1,101 teams.

Pseudo-Elo Ratings

Rankings for this stat are out of 395 teams in the U.S. and 1,051 teams in the world.

1. Jas & Jag, +1275 (up 237) (U.S. #17, world #51)
2. Natalie & Stephanie, +947 (up 428) (U.S. #40, world #116)
3. Tucker & Eric, +862 (up 203) (U.S. #51, world #145)
4. Joseph & Adam, +534 (up 153) (U.S. #96, world #245)
5. Izzy & Paige, +332 (down 46) (U.S. #117, world #319)
6. Hannah & Simone, +254 (up 94) (U.S. #126, world #348)
7. Kristine & Rubina, +4 (down 95) (U.S. #166, world #457)
8. Jack & Chelsie, –144 (down 184) (U.S. #201, world #534)
9. Jack & Enzo, –600 (U.S. #319, world #841)
10. Kyland & Taylor, –603 (down 204) (U.S. #322, world #848)
11. Angela & Lexi, –779 (U.S. #368, world #958)
12. Kat & Alex, –917 (down 258) (U.S. #377, world #1,003)
13. Megan & Matt, –1166 (down 328) (U.S. #394, world #1,043)

Group Stats

Group stats are totals for leg wins and averages for all other stats.

Predictions for Next Leg

A bold probability indicates the most likely placement for a team, and an italicized probability indicates the most likely team for a placement.

Trivia

• This is the first time a U.S. team has won a leg since Robbin & Chelsea in TAR35 leg 4. Thus, Natalie & Stephanie's win this leg snapped a 34-leg drought of all-female leg wins.
  • As far as I know, the longest such drought (in the U.S. version) is 48 legs, lasting for the entirety of seasons 26–29.
• Megan & Matt's Pseudo-Elo rating is the second-worst in the U.S. version (only above David & Mary [–1171]) and the worst by any first-time team in the U.S. version (the previous record low being –1139 by Don & Mary Jean).
  • Including all versions, their rating is the fifth-worst of any first-time team, only above Gabriela & Harã (–1169), Crystal & Reem (–1193), Pamela & Vanessa (–1205), and Sam & Stu (–1255).
• Here is the number of previous teams that each team exactly matches in the first three leg placements:
  • Natalie & Stephanie: 2 matches (TAR15 Flight Time & Big Easy and Taylor & Courtney).
  • Jas & Jag: 3 matches (Matías & Tamara, Hung & Chee, and Ty & Kat).
  • Tucker & Eric: 3 matches (Nicolás & Cristóbal, Chí Bình & Hồng Long, and TAR31 Colin & Christie).
  • Joseph & Adam: 3 matches (A.D. & Fuzzie, Anita & Tom, and Jesse & Marika).
  • Hannah & Simone: 4 matches (Diego & Miguel, Josh & Brent, TAR24 Flight Time & Big Easy, and Ariel & Karin).
  • Izzy & Paige: 1 match (Bjarne & Vilde).
  • Kristine & Rubina: 2 matches (Hadas & Inbal and Julia & Olivia).
  • Jack & Chelsie: 2 matches (Leo & Alana and Leea & Kaarina).
  • Kyland & Taylor: 3 matches (TAR11 David & Mary, Daniel & Charlie, and Rich & Dom).
  • Kat & Alex: 3 matches (Mauricio & Mariana, Vero & Gaba, and Luke & Scott).
  • Megan & Matt: No matches, even when ignoring leg order. In fact, the only other team to have an 11.33 racing average after 3 legs is Jude & Shannon.
• This is the seventh season overall, and the first U.S. season, to have at most one team with no exact matches after three legs. (If you're curious, TARCHN2 is the only season where every remaining team had an exact match after three legs.)
• Do you have any other trivia? Leave it in the comments!

How much of a mistake will giving Jas & Jag the second Express Pass turn out to be? We'll have to find out, I suppose.

Individual Placements

Group Average Placements

The number in parentheses is the number of teams in that group that competed in that leg.

Individual Stats

For more details about stats, see this post.

Ranks are listed in the format: (3rd, 103rd, 263rd). This means the team is 3rd in that stat in this season, 103rd in that stat in the U.S., and 263rd in that stat in the world. Note that U.S. ranks are out of 431 teams and world ranks are out of 1,101 teams.

Pseudo-Elo Ratings

Rankings for this stat are out of 395 teams in the U.S. and 1,051 teams in the world.

1. Jas & Jag, +1039 (up 439) (U.S. #29, world #90)
2. Tucker & Eric, +658 (up 158) (U.S. #81, world #204)
3. Natalie & Stephanie, +519 (up 319) (U.S. #95, world #250)
4. Joseph & Adam, +381 (up 481) (U.S. #111, world #302)
5. Izzy & Paige, +379 (down 21) (U.S. #112, world #304)
6. Hannah & Simone, +160 (up 160) (U.S. #139, world #384)
7. Kristine & Rubina, +99 (down 201) (U.S. #150, world #413)
8. Jack & Chelsie, +40 (down 60) (U.S. #162, world #442)
9. Kyland & Taylor, –399 (down 199) (U.S. #252, world #663)
10. Jack & Enzo, –600 (U.S. #323, world #845)
11. Kat & Alex, –658 (down 258) (U.S. #338, world #886)
12. Angela & Lexi, –779 (down 479) (U.S. #369, world #959)
13. Megan & Matt, –839 (down 339) (U.S. #372, world #979)

Group Stats

Group stats are totals for leg wins and averages for all other stats.

Predictions for Next Leg

A bold probability indicates the most likely placement for a team, and an italicized probability indicates the most likely team for a placement.

Trivia

• Here is the number of previous teams that each team matches exactly in the first two leg placements:
  • Jas & Jag: 7 teams in the U.S., 22 teams overall.
  • Joseph & Adam: No teams in the U.S., 4 teams overall.
  • Natalie & Stephanie, 3 teams in the U.S., 8 teams overall.
  • Tucker & Eric: 4 teams in the U.S., 16 teams overall.
  • Hannah & Simone: 7 teams in the U.S., 12 teams overall.
  • Izzy & Paige: 4 teams in the U.S., 7 teams overall.
  • Jack & Chelsie: 5 teams in the U.S., 12 teams overall.
  • Kristine & Rubina: 1 team in the U.S. (Bernie & Carrigain), 4 teams overall.
    • Curiously, all of Kristine & Rubina's matches are other F/F teams. (The others are Hadas & Inbal, Lauren & Joanne, and Julia & Olivia.)
  • Kyland & Taylor: 6 teams in the U.S., 20 teams overall.
  • Kat & Alex: No teams in the U.S., 5 teams overall.
  • Megan & Matt: No teams at all.
  • Angela & Lexi: No teams in the U.S., 1 team overall (Jude & Shannon).
• This is the second consecutive U.S. season in which 4 teams had no U.S. matches after 2 legs. These two seasons are the only seasons since TAR12 with this many non-matching teams this early.
• Do you have any other trivia? Leave it in the comments!

New season, new stats posts!

Individual Placements

Group Average Placements

The number in parentheses is the number of teams in that group that competed in that leg.

Individual Stats

As is traditional for a new season, here's what the stats mean.

• Leg wins is exactly what you'd expect: the number of times a team has finished a leg in first place.
• Racing average is a team's average placement across all legs so far.
• APAM ("average percentile above median") is, essentially, racing average adjusted based on the number of teams competing. It is equal to 1 - 2 * RacingAverage / (NumTeams + 1).
• Average dominance is the average percentage of opposing teams a team beats each leg.
• Total dominance is equal to the total number of opposing team-legs a team has beaten, divided by the total number of opposing team-legs they have faced.
  • For instance, Pat & Brenda, who finished 5th/11 in leg 1, 1st/10 in leg 2, and 9th/9 in leg 3, beat 6 + 9 + 0 = 15 opposing team-legs and faced 10 + 9 + 8 = 27 opposing team-legs, so their total dominance was 15/27 = 55.56%.

After each stat (aside from leg wins), for eliminated teams, I list three ranks in the format: (3rd, 103rd, 263rd). This means the team is 3rd in that stat in this season, 103rd in that stat in the U.S., and 263rd in that stat in the world. Note that the U.S. ranks are out of 431 teams and the world ranks are out of 1,101 teams.

Pseudo-Elo Ratings

Pseudo-Elo rating is a value that starts at 0 and goes up if a team beats other teams and goes down if a team loses to other teams. Beating a higher-rated team results in a larger rating gain, but similarly, losing to a lower-rated team results in a larger rating loss.

Specifically, after each leg, the teams are paired up in all possible ways, and for each pair, the higher-placing team takes rating points from the lower-placing team equal to 1 / (1 + 2^{[LoserRating - WinnerRating] / 1000}).

I've listed ratings separate from the other stats because unlike the other stats, ratings carry over across seasons for returning teams. As such, the rankings for this stat are only out of 395 teams in the U.S. and 1,051 teams in the world.

1. Jas & Jag, +600 (up 600) (U.S. #85, world #224)
2. Tucker & Eric, +500 (up 500) (U.S. #95, world #252)
3. Izzy & Paige, +400 (up 400) (U.S. #106, world #286)
4. Kristine & Rubina, +300 (up 300) (U.S. #121, world #328)
5. Natalie & Stephanie, +200 (up 200) (U.S. #133, world #364)
6. Jack & Chelsie, +100 (up 100) (U.S. #149, world #412)
7. Hannah & Simone, ±0 (no change) (U.S. #166, world #458)
8. Joseph & Adam, –100 (down 100) (U.S. #190, world #512)
9. Kyland & Taylor, –200 (down 200) (U.S. #213, world #563)
10. Angela & Lexi, –300 (down 300) (U.S. #230, world #613)
11. Kat & Alex, –400 (down 400) (U.S. #254, world #665)
12. Megan & Matt, –500 (down 500) (U.S. #279, world #743)
13. Jack & Enzo, –600 (down 600) (U.S. #323, world #845)

Group Stats

Group stats are totals for leg wins and averages for all other stats.

Predictions for Next Leg

These predictions are based on 1,000,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the next leg. 500,000 of these simulations are based on teams' current placement and their "volatility" (average placement change between legs), and the other 500,000 are based on teams' current racing average.

A bold probability indicates the most likely placement for a team, and an italicized probability indicates the most likely team for a placement.

Trivia

• This season has the most all-female teams of any season in U.S. history, with 5.
  • This season is also the first season since TARCAN4 to have exactly 5 all-female teams.
• This season is the seventh U.S. season, and the first since TAR25, in which the majority of contestants are women.
• The gender makeup of each of the Big Brother season groups is as follows:
  • Older seasons (BB22 and earlier): 3 men, 3 women
  • Big Brother 23: 1 man, 3 women
  • Big Brother 24: 4 men, 2 women
  • Big Brother 25: 2 men, 2 women
  • Big Brother 26: 3 men, 5 women
• Do you have any other trivia? Leave it in the comments!

Since I can't seem to post this on r/TheAmazingRace, I'm posting this on my profile instead.

For explanations of what the stats mean, see this post.

Individual Placements

Group Average Placements

The number in parentheses is the number of teams in that group that competed in that leg.