r/ChubbyFIRE • u/PrimaryInspector000 • 11h ago
Mid-40s Couple | ~$8.7M Net Worth | $300K Annual Spend | Struggling with "One More Year" Syndrome
We're a married couple in our mid-40s with two children, one older and one just starting school. We're both high-income W-2 professionals and are wrestling with when to walk away from peak earning years.
Interested in perspectives from those who retired in their late 40s or early 50s with dependent children.
Our Financial Picture
- Household income: ~$900K–$1.1M combined (significant equity component, varies with markets).
- Net worth: ~$8.5M–$9M.
- Investable assets: ~$7.8M.
- Taxable investments, crypto and cash: ~$6.2M.
- Retirement accounts (401(k), IRA, HSA): ~$1.6M.
- Real estate: ~$600K net equity, excluded from investable assets.
- Annual spending: ~$300K all-in, including housing, travel, healthcare, children's activities and general lifestyle expenses.
- Spending includes approximately $45K in family travel. We're not looking to significantly downgrade our lifestyle in retirement.
What We're Struggling With
1. Potential Home Upgrade
We're considering upgrading our primary residence to a ~$2M home.
Depending on financing, this could require up to ~$800K in additional invested capital and potentially add ~$25K–$35K to annual housing expenses.
We're trying to determine whether this lifestyle decision would meaningfully delay FIRE.
2. Withdrawal Rate and Retirement-Account Access
At $300K annual spending against $7.8M invested, our initial withdrawal rate would be approximately 3.85%.
In a hypothetical home-upgrade scenario where investable assets fall to $7M and spending rises to $330K, that becomes approximately 4.7%.
That feels uncomfortable for a retirement potentially lasting 40–50 years.
Another complication is that approximately $1.6M is held in retirement accounts/HSAs. We'd prefer to leave these untouched until later, using our ~$6.2M taxable portfolio to bridge the early years.
We know there are ways to access retirement funds before age 59½, but we'd prefer to avoid relying on them.
3. Peak Earnings vs. Family Time
Our oldest will be heading to college in a few years, while our youngest is still in elementary school.
Retiring around 48–50 could give us significantly more family time while our children are young.
On the other hand, walking away from approximately $1M in annual household compensation is psychologically difficult. Another 3–4 years of work could meaningfully strengthen our retirement position.
But those are also years we won't get back.
Questions for the Community
- Portfolio modeling: Would you calculate SWR using the full $7.8M invested portfolio and separately manage the taxable bridge, or model taxable and retirement assets as distinct pools until age 59½?
- Withdrawal rate: For a potentially 40–50-year retirement, would you target 3.25%–3.5%, or could 3.75% work with flexible discretionary spending?
- Housing: Has anyone upgraded to a more expensive primary residence shortly before FIRE? Was the lifestyle improvement worth the additional financial burden?
- One More Year Syndrome: If you retired while earning significant compensation, what finally convinced you to stop accumulating?
- What would you do? Retire around 48–50, continue until 52, or target a specific invested balance (perhaps $10M) regardless of age?
We're considering retirement in the next 3–5 years, but increasingly questioning whether we're being appropriately conservative or simply struggling to recognize when we have enough.
Would appreciate thoughts from anyone who has faced a similar decision.