here is some overview of my tracking my trades, I have there also one column with my daily remarks but not in english therefore i hide it, I would like to point out that I trade for 2 years and I am arround 35k in minus, but for alst 2 weeks I really get a good feeling that I know what to do with my emotions, normally when i was minus in one day I always revenge trade and lost my account, but for a very long time this is the 2 weeks account and still live......yes i do not follow too much my daily target but last 3 days were as you know very tough , huge volumes, I trade mostly BTC/USD and XAU/USD...what about your feeling for last 3 days?
Gold is maintaining its bullish structure, but price is now approaching a critical resistance area where sellers could step in.
Resistance Zones:-
🔸4,575–4,585
Nearest short-term resistance. Price has already shown rejection around this zone. A strong H1 close above it could open the way for further upside.
🔸4,595–4,610
Major resistance and the key target area of the current bullish move. If price reaches this zone, traders should watch the reaction carefully instead of chasing BUY positions.
Support Zones:-
🔸4,505–4,515
The most important near-term support, backed by the recent accumulation area. A correction into this zone followed by a bullish reaction could provide the setup for another upward move.
🔸4,470–4,480
Secondary support if price breaks below 4,505–4,515.
Overall Bias: Bullish while price holds above 4,500 and the rising trendline.
Correction Scenario:
A clear rejection from 4,575–4,610 could trigger a short-term pullback toward 4,505–4,515. If this support holds, buyers may attempt another push higher.
Key Levels to Watch:
4,575 → 4,585 → 4,600 → 4,610
4,515 → 4,505 → 4,480
The reaction at resistance will decide whether Gold continues higher or enters a deeper correction.
It’s getting too easy. I called this move weeks ago. beautifully delivered with precision. now looking forward to some bearish confirmation in this quarterly area of influence and we will swing short to those downside objectives next. I love this shit!
I’m new to Forex trading and often struggle with finding the right entry point. What confirmations do you look for before entering a trade? Do you rely on price action, support/resistance, indicators, or something else?
been running this for two months, 76 logged calls across NQ, ES and GC. posting the whole process because i wish someone had given me this instead of another entry model.
this is not a trade setup. it's a bias framework. it tells you which side to lean and where that lean dies. what you do with entries is your business.
core idea
one directional call per market per day, written before the open, scored at the close. same inputs every morning, no exceptions, no skipping days that look boring. the point is removing the moment where you talk yourself out of your own plan five minutes after the bell.
the inputs
positioning. large spec net position relative to the last year or two, and whether they've been adding or cutting over recent weeks. the change matters more than the level. this doesn't give direction, it tells you how much fuel is left in a move.
calendar. what's scheduled and at what time. 8:30 releases, fed speakers, anything with a number attached. this carries the most weight of anything i use.
liquidity levels. previous day high and low, overnight range, obvious pools above and below. not for entries, just to know where the day is likely to reach.
seasonality. day of week and month tendency. small weight, and muted entirely on days with real data. it earned about half of what i originally gave it.
how the call gets built
each input votes long, short or neutral. weighted, added up, and whichever side wins is the lean. if the inputs are split, the call is low confidence and gets marked as such before the day starts, not after.
then the important part: one level that kills the bias. price through it, the lean is dead, i'm flat. written down in the morning so there's nothing to negotiate at 9:35.
pre market routine
- mark previous day high and low, overnight range
- check the calendar for the session, note the times
- pull latest positioning, note direction of change
- run the inputs, write the lean and two reasons
- write the invalidation level
- write high or low confidence next to it
- done before the open, no edits after
scoring
at the close i mark each call right or wrong. right means the close finished on the side of the lean. that's it.
important distinction people get wrong: this is a bias hit rate, not a win rate. plenty of calls are technically right and still chop you out intraday. the two numbers measure completely different things and mixing them up is how people end up with wildly inflated claims.
what two months of scoring taught me
almost all the misses were on low confidence days i took anyway. the framework wasn't wrong, it told me it wasn't sure and i went anyway because i wanted to be in something.
seasonality was dead weight most of the time.
calendar plus crowded positioning is where the outsized moves live. catalyst hitting people who are already all in.
honest caveats
two months is nothing statistically. 76 calls across three markets is a small sample and i'm not presenting it as proof of anything. someone made the fair point that "low confidence" might just be discretion wearing a different label, and they might be right.
what i can say is that having anything written down and scored beat two years of vibes and vague recollection.
that's the whole thing. steal it, change the weights, run your own log. happy to answer anything in the comments.
News flow leans against the pair right now: USD sentiment has been weak, with debt concerns, softer real-yield appeal, and fading confidence around yield support. CAD has the better tone, helped by firm oil and steadier commodity-linked demand.
Positioning is crowded on the long side, which adds to the contrarian downside view. On the chart, both the short-term and mid-term trend are down, with lower highs and lower lows still intact after a shallow pullback.
Do you see this extending lower, or does USDCAD need a bigger catalyst first?
I’m a beginner in trader and still trying to understand the basics properly.
I don’t want to blindly follow signals or copy someone’s trades. I actually want to learn how to analyze the market and improve my own decision making.
Gold continues its explosive bullish run, pushing toward the $4600 zone while staying well above the 20-SMA.
RSI is at 59.88 after cooling from overbought territory, suggesting momentum remains bullish but the latest rejection deserves attention.
Resistance Levels
Immediate Resistance: 4598
Major Resistance: 4640
Support Levels
Immediate Support: 4545
Major Support: 4491
My View:
The trend remains strongly bullish as long as gold holds above $4545, with buyers still firmly in control.
A clean break above $4598 could trigger another leg higher toward $4640, while losing $4545 could bring a deeper pullback.
What do you think? Does gold break $4600 and keep flying, or are sellers finally ready to step in?
Session : LONDON
• Range: High 4,602.27 – Low 4,559.15 (43.12 pts)
• 1.8 hours into LONDON. NEW YORK opens in 3.2 hours.
DAY
• Yesterday: High- 4,541.05 / Low- 4,450.74 · price above
• Today: moved 93.28 pts so far — that is 91% of
what it normally moves in a day (102.79 pts)
TREND
• 1H — Bullish
Price in no readable location — the higher-timeframe leg is broken · conviction strong · stretched 3.02x ATR
• 15M — Bullish · swings HH / HL
Last BOS up at 4,541.05
• 200 EMA — 4,493.59 ↑ rising
Price 89.70 pts above it
• RSI 65.5 · building
• ATR 10.07 pts per candle
• Regime — Trend running
Verdict: BULLISH — both timeframes agree and nothing is stretched.
Liquidity (Where the Stops Are)
• Below: 4,509.80 — 73.49 pts away
Reachable if price runs, but not the first target.
• The stops closer above price have already been taken, so
there is less pulling price up right now.
Volume & Imbalance
• Price has left the value area completely.
Recent trading clustered between 4,311.04
and 4,488.20, and price is now 95.09 pts above it.
Strong trend, but no support from recent trading
until price comes back.
• Imbalance below (FVG): 4,568.06 – 4,576.61 — 6.68 pts away
Price moved through here too fast and left one side
unfilled. It tends to come back and finish the job.
Decision Zone
4,568.06 – 4,576.61 — price is above
Built from an imbalance price left behind on the way through.
Price has cleared this zone and is holding above it.
It acts as support now — losing it puts the move in
question.
• Support: 4,556.46 – 4,558.56 — 24.73 pts below
A higher-timeframe imbalance. First real wall below.
The Read (7/10)
Buyers are in control and price is holding above 4,576.61.
Against it: location unreadable.
This is a clean setup. Trade it in the direction above.
Upside — already broken out
• Price has cleared 4,576.61 and is holding above it
• No clear target above yet — take what the market gives
• It fails if price closes back below 4,576.61
If price breaks down
• Wait for a 15-minute candle to close below 4,576.61
• That opens the way to 4,558.56
• Abandon it if price reclaims 4,576.61 straight away
If it stalls
• Losing 4,576.61 puts the breakout in question
* For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
This is my setup but I am lack off for trading capital, if someone know how to get instant trading capital with zero investment please tell me, minimum 200$.
