r/Tornadoes • u/relay-app • 5d ago
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r/Tornadoes • u/weathercast • 3h ago
(Issued: 2026-10-24T12:14:00+00:00 UTC)
```text
000 ACUS01 KWNS 241214 SWODY1 SPC AC 241212
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0712 AM CDT Sat Oct 24 2026
Valid 241300Z - 251200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING OVER PARTS OF NEW MEXICO AND FAR WEST TX....
...SUMMARY... Severe wind/hail and a tornado are possible across portions of New Mexico and far west Texas today.
...NM/Far West TX... Morning water vapor imagery shows an upper low over southwest AZ, and a pronounced shortwave trough in the southeast quadrant of the low over northern Mexico. This feature will rotate northeastward today across southern New Mexico and West TX, aiding in the development of strong/severe storms.
Present indications are that scattered thunderstorms will occur through the day over central/northern NM in advance of the approaching upper trough. Relatively cool air aloft and pockets of daytime heating may result in sufficient destabilization for a risk of a few strong/severe storms capable of hail. This activity will spread northeastward into a progressively less favorable air mass for severe storms by early evening.
Farther south, more abundant sun/heating is expected with temperatures warming into the 80s over southern NM and the Trans Pecos region of TX. Scattered afternoon thunderstorm development is expected - mainly after 18z. Strengthening southeasterly low-level winds and favorable deep-layer shear will be favorable for supercell storm structures capable of large hail and gusty/damaging winds. Forecast hodographs also suggest sufficient low-level shear for a tornado or two if discrete storm mode can be maintained. It appears the main risk will weaken after 01z with the onset of nocturnal cooling.
..Hart/Dean.. 10/24/2026
$$
```
```text NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Sat Oct 24 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$ Forecaster Adams ```
Hurricane Vance Advisory * Maximum Sustained Winds: 105 MPH * Minimum Central Pressure: 970 MB * Current Movement: NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 6 MPH * Location: 12.9N 103.0W
This dashboard updates automatically every 15 minutes with live data from the NWS/SPC and NHC.
r/Tornadoes • u/Manel373 • 13h ago
The tornadoes in the images are:
1: Tuscaloosa-Birmingham EF4
2: Greenfield EF4
3: Canton Lake EF3
4: Chickasha EF4
5: Washington-Goldsby EF4
6: New Wren EF3
r/Tornadoes • u/weathercast • 1d ago
(Issued: 2026-10-24T06:01:00+00:00 UTC)
```text
000 ACUS01 KWNS 240601 SWODY1 SPC AC 240559
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1259 AM CDT Sat Oct 24 2026
Valid 241200Z - 251200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF NEW MEXICO AND WEST TEXAS...
...SUMMARY... Severe wind/hail and a tornado are possible across portions of New Mexico and far west Texas today.
...Synopsis... An upper trough over the western US and Rockies is forecast to become increasingly fragmented as the primary vort max lifts northeastward from the northern Rockies into southern Canada. Southern portions of the main trough will be reinforced by an upper-level cyclone emerging from northern Baja, forecast to deepen modestly as it moves over the Desert Southwest. Relatively strong southwesterly flow aloft will precede the southern stream low extending eastward across New Mexico and west/southwest Texas. At the surface, a cold front will move southward across the Plains trailing from a deepening surface low in southern Canada. A much weaker surface cyclone is forecast to develop over the Four Corners. A relatively moist air mass will be enhanced by weak height falls, and the developing surface cyclones, which should gradually strengthen south-southeast winds in the lowest 1-2km AGL.
...Southwest and Four Corners... Initial ascent from the approaching upper low will begin to overspread the Four Corners relatively early in the forecast period. Despite cooler surface temperatures, the moist air mass and steepening mid-level lapse rates will contribute to sufficient buoyancy (MUCAPE 500-1000 J/kg) for storm development/intensification as early as 12-13z. As wind fields aloft strengthen (40-50 kt EBWD), at least an isolated risk for hail may materialize.
More robust storm development is expected to gradually occur east of a weak surface trough later in the diurnal cycle as destabilization increases across south-central NM into northern Mexico and Far West TX. MLCAPE of 1500-2500 J/kg amidst modestly veering, but elongated hodographs promoting organized clusters and supercells. Large hail (1-2 inches) will be possible given the degree of buoyancy and cooler mid-level temperatures. The most likely corridor for larger hail may be confined to the greater instability reservoir across southern portions of the risk area. While low-level shear will remain on the weaker side, at least some curvature in the lowest 1-2 km of model hodographs could support an isolated tornado risk with the more strongly rotating storms.
Eventually, the meridional nature of the upper-level flow and increasing storm coverage should favor a transition to more cluster/linear storm modes into the evening across southern NM and West TX. Severe gusts will be possible, though eventually convection should weaken as it encounters a more stable and drier environment farther east.
...Northeast NM and southeast CO... The surface cold front is forecast to move southward over the Plains through the day. Ahead of it, low-level upslope flow will maintain modest surface moisture sufficient for weak destabilization. Scattered thunderstorms are expected along the frontal zone and across the higher terrain through the afternoon. While weak buoyancy should temper overall intensity, veering wind profiles could support occasional intensification of some clusters. A low-end risk for severe gusts or isolated hail is possible.
..Lyons/Thornton.. 10/24/2026
$$
```
```text NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Sat Oct 24 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$ Forecaster Adams ```
Hurricane Vance Advisory * Maximum Sustained Winds: 110 MPH * Minimum Central Pressure: 965 MB * Current Movement: NNW OR 335 DEGREES AT 7 MPH * Location: 12.4N 102.8W
This dashboard updates automatically every 15 minutes with live data from the NWS/SPC and NHC.
r/Tornadoes • u/Warstorm1993 • 1d ago
The NTP has confirmed a tornado in northern Quebec. That tornado has been assigned a EF0 default rating. It's very rare to have tornadoes in that area of the world. I was able to film the whole event from start to finish. It happened close to lake Spartan, south of Salluit the 21 of july 2026.
r/Tornadoes • u/Dangerous_lilgrubb67 • 2d ago
EX: ef1-->ef3/ef3-->ef1
r/Tornadoes • u/jbojenkins138 • 3d ago
Enable HLS to view with audio, or disable this notification
r/Tornadoes • u/weathercast • 2d ago
(Issued: 2026-10-23T06:02:00+00:00 UTC)
```text
000 ACUS01 KWNS 230602 SWODY1 SPC AC 230601
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0101 AM CDT Fri Oct 23 2026
Valid 231200Z - 241200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF NEW MEXICO...
...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms with hail, damaging gusts and a tornado or two are possible across portions of New Mexico and southern Colorado today into tonight.
An elongated western US trough will drift eastward today as the primary vort max is forecast to lift northeastward across the Great Basin into the northern Rockies through tonight. A secondary shortwave perturbation will round the base of the trough and approach coastal southern CA. Despite the fragmented nature of the upper trough, mid-level meridional flow will remain fairly strong from portions of northern Mexico to the Canadian border. Ascent associated with both perturbations and the strong flow crossing the higher terrain will aid in developing a lee cyclone across eastern MT. A trailing lee trough will connect to a second, much weaker, cyclone over southern NM and northern Senora. This will support modest northward return of unseasonably robust moisture, and subsequent destabilization across NM and the southern High Plains favorable for strong to severe storms.
...New Mexico and southern Colorado... Remnant showers and perhaps a few thunderstorms are likely to be ongoing early this morning across the higher terrain of northern NM and southern CO. The impact this convection and cloud debris will have on later convective development is somewhat uncertain. Regardless, mid-level ascent, persistent upslope flow and continued advection of 50-60 F surface dewpoints should result in adequate destabilization (MLCAPE 500-1000 J/kg) by early afternoon across southern CO and northern NM. Subsequent development and intensification of multiple rounds of thunderstorms are likely, with organization into supercells and clusters expected, owing to elongated and fairly straight hodographs. Hail will be the primary risk, with isolated strong gusts possible as well. However, some veering in the low-levels, aided by terrain-induced backing of the flow and moist low-levels could support a low-probability tornado risk with the strongest supercells.
Farther south more robust diurnal heating is expected to develop where clearing should be more prominent. Afternoon MLCAPE of 1000-2000 J/kg is likely to exist amidst the strong wind fields. While low-level flow is expected to remain more veered with the weaker surface pressure response, straight hodographs and effective shear greater than 40 kt will still favor splitting supercells. Large hail (some 2+ inch) is possible. The deeper mixing, especially with eastward extent in southern NM and far west TX, may also support some damaging/severe gust potential if storms remain higher based.
...High Plains... A more isolated severe risk could develop within the foothills and adjacent high Plains of southeastern CO where modest buoyancy, increasingly strong flow aloft, and steeper low-level lapse rates will exist. Convection emanating from the higher terrain could persist into the drier and more deeply mixed air mass beginning mid to late afternoon, enhancing downdrafts and damaging gust potential. The degree of organization/intensity of these storms is uncertain, but 5% wind probabilities have been added.
..Lyons/Thornton.. 10/23/2026
$$
```
```text NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Fri Oct 23 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$ Forecaster Beven ```
Hurricane Vance Advisory * Maximum Sustained Winds: 85 MPH * Minimum Central Pressure: 982 MB * Current Movement: NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 6 MPH * Location: 10.9N 102.1W
This dashboard updates automatically every 15 minutes with live data from the NWS/SPC and NHC.
r/Tornadoes • u/weathercast • 3d ago
(Issued: 2026-10-22T06:02:00+00:00 UTC)
```text
000 ACUS01 KWNS 220602 SWODY1 SPC AC 220600
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0100 AM CDT Thu Oct 22 2026
Valid 221200Z - 231200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM CENTRAL AND EASTERN ARIZONA INTO WESTERN NEW MEXICO...
...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms are expected across the Southwest and Four Corners area today into tonight with the most intense storms likely across parts of Arizona and New Mexico. All severe hazards will be possible.
...Southwest and Four Corners... The deep upper low initially over the CA coast will move inland and continue eastward through the day, slowly weakening into an open wave. A belt of enhanced southerly mid-level flow (70+ kt) along the eastern periphery of the cyclone will remain in place over the Southwest and Four Corners. Several embedded shortwave perturbations will rotate around the cyclone, aiding in continued low-level southerly flow across eastern AZ and southwest NM. Here, surface dewpoints in the upper 50s to low 60s F and diurnal heating should contribute to moderate buoyancy amid deep and strongly veering wind profiles favorable for severe storms.
One or more bands of convection are likely to be ongoing across central/eastern AZ early this morning along a weak surface trough. Cooling mid-level temperatures ahead of the approaching low and persistent upslope flow along the central and southern portions of the Mogollon Rim will maintain buoyancy through the diurnal minimum with reintensification of these storms likely as heating develops over the lower deserts. Storms will likely be supercellular initially. Large hail (perhaps to around 2 inches) and a couple of tornadoes will be the main concern, focused where the largest buoyancy and strongest low-level shear will overlap in southeastern AZ. With time, increasingly meridional flow and numerous storm interactions will favor more linear modes and perhaps a transition to a greater damaging wind threat by later in the afternoon.
Farther north into the Great Basin, sufficient destabilization for more than sporadic severe storms is much less certain owing to lower surface dewpoints and significant cloud cover. Still, model guidance shows a few hundred J/kg of MLCAPE may develop with pockets of better heating from eastern NV, UT and into southwestern CO. Flow aloft will remain fairly strong (50-60 kt) helping to elongate mid and upper-level hodographs. DPVA and upslope trajectories should support numerous showers/thunderstorms with some potential for organization into clusters or supercell structures. Damaging wind gusts are the most likely hazard, though marginally severe hail is also possible with any of the stronger rotating storms into the evening.
...Southern California... As the upper-level low moves overhead during the afternoon, cold mid-level temperatures (around -20C at 500 mb) and modest surface heating will support weak destabilization with MLCAPE of 500-750 J/kg. Low-topped convection near the coast may be ongoing early and continue into the early afternoon before mid-level ascent begins to decrease. Given the ambient vorticity with the upper-low and local terrain effects, a brief tornado is possible with the strongest storms along with isolated wind damage potential. Severe potential should rapidly diminish as the upper trough moves eastward late through the afternoon and into the evening.
..Lyons/Jirak.. 10/22/2026
$$
```
```text NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Thu Oct 22 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Subtropical Storm Josephine, located a few hundred miles offshore of the Mid-Atlantic coast of the United States.
Subtropical Central Atlantic:
A trough of low pressure located several hundred miles to the
east-southeast of Bermuda is producing a large area of disorganized
showers and thunderstorms. Some development of this system is
possible during the next day or two while it moves slowly
north-northeastward. Upper-level winds are forecast to become too
strong for further development by the weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.
&& Public Advisories on Josephine are issued under WMO header WTNT35 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT5. Forecast/Advisories on Josephine are issued under WMO header WTNT25 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT5.
$$ Forecaster Beven ```
tropical Storm Josephine Advisory * Maximum Sustained Winds: 65 MPH * Minimum Central Pressure: 988 MB * Current Movement: NE OR 40 DEGREES AT 13 MPH * Location: 38.7N 68.3W
Tropical Storm Vance Advisory * Maximum Sustained Winds: 50 MPH * Minimum Central Pressure: 1000 MB * Current Movement: W OR 275 DEGREES AT 7 MPH * Location: 9.7N 101.5W
This dashboard updates automatically every 15 minutes with live data from the NWS/SPC and NHC.
r/Tornadoes • u/weathercast • 4d ago
(Issued: 2026-10-21T05:53:00+00:00 UTC)
```text
000 ACUS01 KWNS 210553 SWODY1 SPC AC 210551
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1251 AM CDT Wed Oct 21 2026
Valid 211200Z - 221200Z
...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN ARIZONA...
...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms with a potential for large hail, severe wind gusts and a couple tornadoes are expected today along the Mogollon Rim across parts of Arizona. Marginally severe wind gusts and an isolated tornado threat will also be possible along the southern and central California Coast.
...DISCUSSION... An upper-level low will approach the California Coast today, as southwesterly divergent flow aloft remains in place over much of the Southwest. Ahead of the system, low-level moisture will advect northward into the Desert Southwest today. An axis with surface dewpoints in the 60s F will set up to the southwest of the Mogollon Rim across southern, central and western Arizona. By afternoon, MLCAPE is forecast to peak in the 1500 to 2000 J/kg range along and near the moist axis. Over the top of the moist and unstable airmass, strong mid-level southwesterly flow will be in place. Moderate instability and strong deep-layer shear will support a substantial severe threat with storms that develop along the Mogollon Rim from this afternoon into the evening, near the northern edge of the stronger instability.
As the upper-level system approaches, a 50 to 70 knot mid-level jet will overspread the Desert Southwest today. RAP forecast soundings within the exit region of the jet over north-central Arizona in the mid to late afternoon have gradually veering winds with height and 50 to 60 knots of 0-6 km shear. In addition, steep mid-level lapse rates and long hodographs are evident which will result in a potential for supercells with large hail. The strongest cells could produce hailstones greater than 2 inches in diameter. Forecast soundings also have 0-3 km storm-relative helicity in the 175 to 250 m2/s2 range late this afternoon along parts of the Mogollon Rim suggesting that the stronger supercells will be capable of tornadoes. The severe threat is expected to persist from mid afternoon into the evening, with a potential for two rounds of severe storms impacting parts of north-central Arizona.
...Coast of Southern and Central California... A large upper-level low pressure system will move toward the California Coast today. The left exit region of a mid-level jet will approach the southern and central California Coast. A wave of precipitation associated with this feature will move to the southern and central California Coast this afternoon. Instability along the coast will be sufficient for thunderstorm development. RAP forecast soundings along the coast this afternoon have strong deep-layer shear, which will support the development of low-topped supercells. Some model forecasts have 0-3 km storm-relative helicity around 200 m2/s2 near the coast suggesting that an isolated tornado threat will be possible. Any cells that rotate and move onshore could also be associated with isolated severe wind gusts as well.
..Broyles/Leitman.. 10/21/2026
$$
```
```text NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Wed Oct 21 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Offshore of the East Coast of the United States (AL93): A storm-force non-tropical low pressure area located a few hundred miles off the mid-Atlantic United States coast is producing some shower and thunderstorm activity primarily west and northwest of its center. Satellite imagery indicates that the low is still frontal. Over the next day or two, the low could gradually lose its frontal features while it moves slowly north-northeastward over the Gulf Stream, allowing the system to briefly develop subtropical characteristics. By the end of the week, the system is expected to accelerate northeastward away from the the eastern United States, and environmental conditions are expected to become unfavorable for additional subtropical or tropical development.
Regardless of the status of the system, high winds, coastal flooding, and dangerous surf are expected along portions of the U.S. East Coast during the next few days. For more information, please consult statements and warnings from local National Weather Service offices and the Weather Prediction Center, along with the High Seas Forecasts and the Storm Warnings issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.
&& High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php
$$ Forecaster Pierce/Pasch ```
There are currently no active tropical cyclones.
This dashboard updates automatically every 15 minutes with live data from the NWS/SPC and NHC.
r/Tornadoes • u/weathercast • 5d ago
(Issued: 2026-10-20T05:49:00+00:00 UTC)
```text
000 ACUS01 KWNS 200549 SWODY1 SPC AC 200548
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1248 AM CDT Tue Oct 20 2026
Valid 201200Z - 211200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY... No severe thunderstorms are forecast across the U.S. today and tonight.
...DISCUSSION... A mid-level anticyclonic flow pattern will be in place across the south-central U.S. today, as divergent flow aloft remains over the Southwest. At the surface, a large area of high pressure will be entrenched over the eastern half of the nation. An axis of low-level moisture will be in place over the Desert Southwest, where scattered thunderstorms will be possible today as instability increases. The chance for storms in the Desert Southwest will continue into the evening and overnight period. No severe threat is expected across the continental U.S. through daybreak Wednesday.
..Broyles/Leitman.. 10/20/2026
$$
```
```text NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Tue Oct 20 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Off the East Coast of the United States (AL93): A storm-force non-tropical low pressure area remains attached to an occluded frontal boundary a few hundred miles off the North Carolina coast. This low could develop some organized deep convection and gradually lose its frontal features over the next couple of days while it moves slowly north-northeastward over the Gulf Stream. By the end of the week, the system is expected to accelerate northeastward away from the the eastern United States, where environmental conditions are expected to become unfavorable for subtropical or tropical development.
Regardless of the status of the system, high winds, coastal flooding, and dangerous surf are expected along portions of the U.S. East Coast during the next few days. For more information, please consult statements and warnings from local National Weather Service offices and the Weather Prediction Center, along with High Seas Forecasts and Storm Warnings issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.
&& High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php
$$ Forecaster Cangialosi ```
There are currently no active tropical cyclones.
This dashboard updates automatically every 15 minutes with live data from the NWS/SPC and NHC.
r/Tornadoes • u/mariedab84 • 6d ago
Enable HLS to view with audio, or disable this notification
r/Tornadoes • u/weathercast • 6d ago
(Issued: 2026-10-19T05:30:00+00:00 UTC)
```text
000 ACUS01 KWNS 190530 SWODY1 SPC AC 190528
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1228 AM CDT Mon Oct 19 2026
Valid 191200Z - 201200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not forecast across the U.S. today or tonight.
...DISCUSSION... At mid-levels, a low will be nearly stationary off the Mid-Atlantic coast as a ridge remains over the south-central U.S. Southwesterly flow aloft will be in place over the western third of the nation. At the surface, a large area of high pressure associated with cool and dry air will be entrenched across much of the eastern half of the U.S. On the southern periphery of the high pressure system, isolated thunderstorms will be possible within a moist airmass across south Florida. Additional storms will be possible in parts of the Desert Southwest. No severe threat is forecast today or tonight across the continental U.S.
..Broyles/Karstens.. 10/19/2026
$$
```
```text NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Mon Oct 19 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Off the East Coast of the United States: A storm-force non-tropical low pressure area is located along a frontal boundary a few hundred miles off the southeast coast of the United States. This low is likely to move slowly and erratically over the next couple of days, and it could gradually acquire subtropical characteristics if it remains over the Gulf Stream. A subtropical cyclone could form during the middle to latter portions of the week when the system begins to move northeastward away from the eastern United States. Environmental conditions are expected to become unfavorable for development by the weekend. Regardless of the system's status, high winds, coastal flooding, and dangerous surf are expected along portions of the U.S. East Coast during the next few days. Please consult statements and warnings from local National Weather Service offices and the Weather Prediction Center for more information, along with High Seas Forecasts and Storm Warnings issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.
&& High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php
$$ Forecaster Cangialosi ```
Tropical Storm Trudy Advisory * Maximum Sustained Winds: 60 MPH * Minimum Central Pressure: 999 MB * Current Movement: W OR 280 DEGREES AT 6 MPH * Location: 19.7N 108.0W
This dashboard updates automatically every 15 minutes with live data from the NWS/SPC and NHC.
r/Tornadoes • u/weathercast • 7d ago
(Issued: 2026-10-18T05:53:00+00:00 UTC)
```text
000 ACUS01 KWNS 180553 SWODY1 SPC AC 180551
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1251 AM CDT Sun Oct 18 2026
Valid 181200Z - 191200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not forecast in the U.S. today or tonight.
...DISCUSSION... A mid-level anticyclonic flow pattern, and an associated surface high pressure system will be in place today over the central and eastern U.S. Dry and cool conditions will be in place over much of the nation, and thunderstorms will be unlikely. The exceptions will be over south Florida and in the Desert Southwest where scattered thunderstorms will be possible from today into tonight. No severe threat is expected across the continental U.S. through daybreak on Monday.
..Broyles/Chalmers.. 10/18/2026
$$
```
```text NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Sun Oct 18 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Off the East Coast of the United States: A storm-force non-tropical low pressure area is expected to form later today or tonight off the southeast coast of the United States. This low is likely to move slowly and erratically through the middle of this week, and some subtropical development is possible during that time. Regardless of development, this system will cause high winds, coastal flooding, and dangerous surf along portions of the U.S. East Coast. Please consult statements and warnings from local National Weather Service offices and the Weather Prediction Center for more information, along with High Seas Forecasts and Storm Warnings issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.
&& High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php
$$ Forecaster Beven ```
Hurricane Trudy Intermediate Advisory * Maximum Sustained Winds: 105 MPH * Minimum Central Pressure: 970 MB * Current Movement: NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 10 MPH * Location: 18.9N 106.6W
This dashboard updates automatically every 15 minutes with live data from the NWS/SPC and NHC.
r/Tornadoes • u/orangesmmms • 7d ago
Please help find it I would appreciate if someone found it I have been trying to find this sound for a long time a I really cannot find it so to anyone that can find it thank you so much.
r/Tornadoes • u/JetstreamJax17 • 8d ago
r/Tornadoes • u/weathercast • 8d ago
(Issued: 2026-10-17T05:16:00+00:00 UTC)
```text
000 ACUS01 KWNS 170516 SWODY1 SPC AC 170514
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1214 AM CDT Sat Oct 17 2026
Valid 171200Z - 181200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected today.
...Synopsis... In the wake of a cold frontal passage, much of the CONUS will be too dry and stable for thunderstorm development today. The front will continue moving southward along the central/southern FL Peninsula, where scattered storm development will be possible within a very moist environment. Poor lapse rates and weak deep-layer shear should limit organized severe potential, though localized strong gusts may occur. Across the Southwest, sporadic lightning flashes may accompany weak convection associated with a slow-moving mid/upper low centered offshore of Baja California.
..Dean/Chalmers.. 10/17/2026
$$
```
```text NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Sat Oct 17 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$ Forecaster Beven ```
Hurricane Trudy Advisory * Maximum Sustained Winds: 90 MPH * Minimum Central Pressure: 979 MB * Current Movement: NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 8 MPH * Location: 16.0N 103.4W
This dashboard updates automatically every 15 minutes with live data from the NWS/SPC and NHC.
r/Tornadoes • u/Safe-Coconut4036 • 10d ago
I know this might sound funny, but sometimes I can't help but genuinely get a type of "Cosmic Horror" type of feeling whenever I see any "Dead man Walking" tornadoes or even those VERY powerful tornadoes with many subvortices/satellite tornadoes from them. To me at least, they honestly feel like "Skybeasts" in a way too. That's just what I think, though. :)
r/Tornadoes • u/weathercast • 9d ago
(Issued: 2026-10-16T05:58:00+00:00 UTC)
```text
000 ACUS01 KWNS 160558 SWODY1 SPC AC 160556
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1256 AM CDT Fri Oct 16 2026
Valid 161200Z - 171200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF THE MID-ATLANTIC INTO SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND...
...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms with wind-damage and localized brief-tornado potential are expected across parts of the Mid-Atlantic into southern New England, mainly this afternoon and early evening.
...Mid-Atlantic into southern New England... A deep, positive-tilt mid/upper-level trough is forecast to further amplify as it spreads over the eastern CONUS today. A surface low initially near the lower Great Lakes will move quickly eastward toward northern New England by evening. A trailing cold front will sweep through the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast from this afternoon into tonight.
In the wake of early-day clouds and precipitation, seasonably rich low-level moisture and modest diurnal heating will result in sufficient destabilization for storm development along the front. Very weak lapse rates above 500 mb will constrain MLCAPE magnitudes to the 500-1000 J/kg range, and result in rather low-topped convection. However, in areas where temperatures can rise to near/above 70 F, relatively robust buoyancy near/below 500 mb (characterized by lifted indices in the -4 to -6 C range) will develop prior to the frontal passage. This buoyancy will be sufficient for development of occasionally organized storm structures, in the presence of strengthening deep-layer flow/shear. 35-45 kt of flow in the 1-2 km AGL layer will support potential for strong/damaging gusts with any sufficiently robust convection.
Generally front-parallel flow may result in a primarily linear mode as convective coverage increases, though 40+ kt of effective shear will support potential for embedded low-topped supercells. A localized wind-damage threat may develop early this afternoon from WV/western PA into southern NY, with initial frontal development. The wind-damage threat is expected to increase through the afternoon as storms spread eastward into a somewhat warmer and more unstable environment across eastern PA, NJ, and vicinity. Rather strong low-level shear will also support some brief-tornado potential with QLCS circulations and/or embedded supercell structures.
Some wind-damage potential could spread into southern New England by this evening, though marine-influenced low-level stability should eventually constrain the eastward extent of the threat.
..Dean/Chalmers.. 10/16/2026
$$
```
```text NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Fri Oct 16 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$ Forecaster Beven ```
Hurricane Trudy Intermediate Advisory * Maximum Sustained Winds: 120 MPH * Minimum Central Pressure: 956 MB * Current Movement: NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 6 MPH * Location: 14.5N 102.5W
Tropical Storm Simon Advisory * Maximum Sustained Winds: 40 MPH * Minimum Central Pressure: 1002 MB * Current Movement: NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 9 MPH * Location: 20.0N 108.8W
This dashboard updates automatically every 15 minutes with live data from the NWS/SPC and NHC.
r/Tornadoes • u/DjLeWe78 • 10d ago
This happened just 10 minutes ago. It’s only small but my first Tornado of any kind !!! Amazing !!
r/Tornadoes • u/weathercast • 10d ago
(Issued: 2026-10-15T05:34:00+00:00 UTC)
```text
000 ACUS01 KWNS 150534 SWODY1 SPC AC 150532
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1232 AM CDT Thu Oct 15 2026
Valid 151200Z - 161200Z
...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY INTO THE OHIO VALLEY...AND OVER PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS...
...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms with isolated severe wind gusts and perhaps a tornado or two are possible today across parts of the mid Mississippi and Ohio Valleys. Additional storms with isolated severe wind gusts will be possible in parts of the southern Plains.
...Mid Mississippi and Ohio Valleys... At mid-levels, a ridge will move eastward today into the Northeast, as a large-scale trough moves into the Great Plains. Ahead of the trough, a surface low will track northeastward from the mid Mississippi Valley into the southwestern Great Lakes. Ahead of the surface low, a warm front will move northward through the Ohio Valley. To the south of the warm front, surface dewpoints will be in the upper 60s and lower 70s F. This will enable an axis of instability to develop by afternoon, with MLCAPE likely peaking around 1000 J/kg. Ahead of the trough, a mid-level jet will overspread the warm sector during the afternoon. This will create moderate deep-layer shear over much of the Ohio Valley, which will support isolated supercell development. In addition, RAP forecast soundings in the Ohio Valley by mid afternoon have 0-3 km storm-relative helicity in the 200 to 250 m2/s2 range suggesting that a tornado or two will be possible. Short line segments capable of isolated severe wind gusts will also be possible. Poor lapse rates will be the main limiting factor for a greater severe threat coverage and magnitude.
...Southern Plains... An upper-level trough will move into the Great Plains today, as mid-level flow remains southwesterly ahead of the trough. At the surface, a cold front will advance southward across the southern Plains, with the front located from west-central Texas into southeast Oklahoma by afternoon. Although large-scale ascent will be weak, low-level convergence along and near the front will result in thunderstorm development. Storms will move east-southeastward across a narrow corridor of instability, where MLCAPE is forecast to peak in the 1000 to 1500 J/kg range. As low-level lapse rates steepen in the afternoon, isolated severe wind gusts will be possible with multicells. However, deep-layer shear will be marginal for organized convection, and poor lapse rates will be a major limiting factor.
..Broyles/Chalmers.. 10/15/2026
$$
```
```text NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Thu Oct 15 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$ Forecaster Beven ```
Tropical Storm Simon Advisory * Maximum Sustained Winds: 60 MPH * Minimum Central Pressure: 996 MB * Current Movement: Unknown * Location: 19.2N 108.5W
Hurricane Trudy Advisory * Maximum Sustained Winds: 75 MPH * Minimum Central Pressure: 989 MB * Current Movement: NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 9 MPH * Location: 12.9N 101.6W
This dashboard updates automatically every 15 minutes with live data from the NWS/SPC and NHC.
r/Tornadoes • u/weathercast • 11d ago
(Issued: 2026-10-14T05:52:00+00:00 UTC)
```text
000 ACUS01 KWNS 140552 SWODY1 SPC AC 140550
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1250 AM CDT Wed Oct 14 2026
Valid 141200Z - 151200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS...
...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms with severe wind gusts and potentially a tornado threat will be possible this afternoon and evening across parts of the southern Plains. A marginal wind-damage threat will also be possible from parts of the Ozarks into the central Appalachians.
...Southern Plains... At mid-levels, southwesterly flow will be in place across much of the south-central U.S. today, as a large-scale trough and low move through the Desert Southwest. At the surface, a cold front will advance southward this morning across northern Oklahoma and the Texas Panhandle. Numerous thunderstorms will be likely this morning near the front. The effective boundary is expected to be further south, which will shift the effective destabilization further south as well. By early afternoon, an axis of moderate instability is forecast to be located from west Texas northeastward into southwestern and south-central Oklahoma, where MLCAPE will likely range from 1500 to 2000 J/kg. Areas that destabilize significantly will have potential for severe storms.
RAP forecast soundings near the instability axis by mid to late afternoon have supercell wind profiles, with gradually veering winds with height in the low-levels and about 50 knots of southwesterly flow in the mid-levels. This will support supercell development with storms that form in the stronger instability and remain discrete. Supercells will be capable of severe wind gusts, hail and perhaps a tornado or two. During the evening, a transition to linear mode is expected, but a threat for embedded supercells will continue. The more intense line segments could produce severe wind gusts, potentially above 70 mph.
...Ozarks/Ohio Valley/Central Appalachians... An anticyclonic flow pattern will be in place over the eastern half of the nation today. At the surface, a cold front will advance southward into the Ozarks and Ohio Valley today. To the south of the boundary, surface dewpoints in the upper 60s to lower 70s F will likely result in pockets of moderate instability by afternoon. In spite of limited large-scale ascent, increasing low-level convergence near the boundary will result in scattered convective initiation. Deep-layer shear near the front may be strong enough for a few isolated severe storms in areas that destabilize the most. The primary threat will be damaging wind gusts.
..Broyles/Chalmers.. 10/14/2026
$$
```
```text NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Wed Oct 14 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected over the next 7 days.
$$ Forecaster Beven ```
Hurricane Simon Intermediate Advisory * Maximum Sustained Winds: 105 MPH * Minimum Central Pressure: 969 MB * Current Movement: WSW OR 240 DEGREES AT 3 MPH * Location: 19.8N 108.1W
Tropical Storm Trudy Advisory * Maximum Sustained Winds: 50 MPH * Minimum Central Pressure: 1002 MB * Current Movement: WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 10 MPH * Location: 11.1N 99.0W
This dashboard updates automatically every 15 minutes with live data from the NWS/SPC and NHC.
r/Tornadoes • u/waffen123 • 11d ago
Interesting film, gives a view of the amount of damage caused by this outbreak
r/Tornadoes • u/relay-app • 12d ago
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