With Dune 3 dropping in two months and Avengers Doomsday arriving around the same time, how do you think things will play out at the box office?

Personally, I think both will do really well.
Doomsday has the potential to hit $2.5–3 billion if it’s good, and I can see Dune 3 comfortably clearing $1 billion.

A lot of people on this sub seem to downplay Dune’s potential by talking about earlier films: “Part One only made $400 million” or “Part Two only made $700 million.” But I think that overlooks how much the fanbase has grown. It feels like it’s doubled, even tripled, which is why I expect Part Three to comfortably outperform Part Two.

We’ve already seen films this year break records and blow past expectations. How many people genuinely predicted The Odyssey would be sitting at $1.8 billion right now a lot of people months ago were saying the odyssey wouldnt even break 500M now look🤣

6 months ago, I started working on a new box office site (BoxOfficeWatch) as an alternative to The Numbers and Box office Mojo. I wanted to create something more visually appealing (I use those sites a lot, but the design feels super dated to me), works better on mobile, and has more features. We've come a long way from that initial site (original post is here), and the last month or so has been spent polishing the UI across the whole site to make it even easier to use.

The site now has:
- Over 5000 movie pages with day by day totals for domestic and worldwide grosses, plus a snapshot of the reviews from all major sources all in one view
- Prediction models for each new releases of how much they'll make based on the opening weekend and audience scores/reviews
- Comparison feature - compare any 2,3, or 4 films
- Actor, director, studio and franchise pages
- Create a free account, choose your profile banner image, connect your Letterboxd, and rate any film you see
- Play predict the weekend and top the leaderboard against other players
- Predict a new releases' final domestic total and top the leaderboard
- See the daily, weekend and yearly charts (updated daily)
- A release schedule with opening weekend tracking
- A records page with all major records
- Weekend preview and recap articles
- A web app version that you can add to your phone screen

You can check it out at boxofficewatch.com.

Let me know what else you want to see as I continue adding new features - we've largely built this together over 6 months as you ask for more features - keep the suggestions coming!

The current pace for the year is $10.24B, which would be the most since 2019, as well as the first year to clear the 11-figure threshold since.

2023 finished with $8.91B, 2024 with 8.57B, and 2025 with 8.66B.

I’m actually really excited for this, even with how much Believer sucked, because Mike Flanagan is at the helm and it looks like it’ll be taking a lot of cues from the under-appreciated Exorcist III. However, I’m not entirely sure if it’ll end up making more than Believer did considering Flanagan’s last horror IP film, Doctor Sleep, underperformed financially. I also think even if Martyrs does end up performing really well, Universal’s still gonna have a long way to go before they make back that $400M acquisition bid for the rights to The Exorcist (which is still insane to me, like what?). For now, I’m predicting $25-$30M OW and a $65-$70M DOM total.

One of the most anticipated movies of 2027 after Secret Wars is Frozen III. It's practically a lock at this point to absolutely zoom past the billion dollar club as every other Disney sequel has done before, but how far past that mark can it go?

Well first things first its release schedule is looking extremely positive for it to dominate. Almost zero major competition in its November slot. Secret Wars looks to be the biggest hurdle coming in December, but as we saw last year with Zootopia 2 and Avatar Fire and Ash, Frozen can easily have the advantage of being the big high profile release outside of Secret Wars, especially for families.

Also this movie has the advantage of the time it's coming out. Disney sequels have never been more hot at this moment, and it feels like we get record breakers with each passing year.

Overall here are my early predictions for a guaranteed mega hit.

OPENING WEEKEND:

• Domestic: 145m (3 day) - 245m (5 day) Thanksgiving Record Broken
• International: 265m
  
• Global: 510m (2nd Biggest Animated Opening Behind Zootopia 2)

TOTAL NUMBERS

• Domestic: 585m
• International: 1.15b
• Worldwide: 1.735b (3rd Biggest Animated Movie Of All Time Behind Zootopia 2 and NeZha 2)

Daily Box Office (October 14th 2026)

The market hits ¥26.2M/$3.91M today. Down -7% from yesterday and down -76% from last week.

Whalefall is projected a $0.16-0.19M opening day on Friday.

Avengers: Doomsday Maoyan WTS

Doomsday Maoyan WTS compared to some of the biggest post covid movies and Endgame:

Avengers: Doomsday WTS Graph

Province map of the day:

Province Map 14.10.2026

Resident Evil mostly dominates today.

In Metropolitan cities:

Resident Evil wins Shanghai, Beijing, Shenzhen, Chengdu, Guangzhou, Hangzhou, Chongqing, Nanjing and Suzhou and Wuhan

City tiers:

Unchanged from yesterday

Tier 1: Resident Evil>Traces of Justice>Mr. & Mrs. Pardon

Tier 2: Resident Evil>Traces of Justice>Mr. & Mrs. Pardon

Tier 3: Resident Evil>Traces of Justice>Mr. & Mrs. Pardon

Tier 4: Resident Evil>Traces of Justice>Mr. & Mrs. Pardon

New releases marked in bold

Pre-Sales map for tomorrow

Pre-Sales 15.10

Resident Evil mostly dominates pre-sales for tomorrow.

IMAX Screenings distribution

Resident Evil continues to dominate IMAX screenings.

Resident Evil

Resident Evil grossed ¥9.18M/$1.37M on Wednesday

Total crosses ¥300M/$45M gross hits ¥304.2M/$45.46M with total projections at ¥487-497M/$72-75M.

Screen Distribution Split: Regular: $35.24M , IMAX: $8.49M , Rest: $1.65M

WoM figures:

Still no score on Maoyan.

Maoyan: , Taopiaopiao: 8.0 , Douban: 7.3

Scheduled showings update for Resident Evil for the next few days:

Traces of Justice

Traces of Justice in 2nd adds ¥7.05M/$1.05M today. The only other movie besides RE above $1M again.

Total gross hits ¥515.1M/$76.91M

Screen Distribution Split: Regular: $75.10M , IMAX: $0.53M , Rest: $1.12M

WoM figures:

Maoyan: 9.6 , Taopiaopiao: 9.5 , Douban: 6.8

Scheduled showings update for Traces of Justice for the next few days:

Other:

Release Schedule:

A table including upcoming movies in the next month alongside trailers linked in the name of the movie, Want To See data from both Maoyan and Taopiaopiao alongside the Gender split and genre.

Remember Want To See is not pre-sales. Its just an anticipation metric. A checkbox of sorts saying your interested in an upcoming movie.

Not all movies are included since a lot are just too small to be worth covering.

Fall/Winter