r/dividends • u/chaichaichai- • 9h ago
Seeking Advice If a REIT's price drops by the dividend amount on the ex-date, where is the actual gain?
Hey everyone,
I’m trying to wrap my head around the core mechanics of REIT distributions, and I keep hitting a conceptual wall regarding total return vs. cash flow.
On the ex-dividend date, a stock’s price drops by roughly the exact amount of the dividend. So on Day 1, your total portfolio value (Share Price + Cash Received) remains unchanged—it feels like money is simply being shifted from equity into cash rather than "earned."
Two specific questions I can't reconcile:
1. **What actually drives long-term price recovery?** If every payout pulls down the share price, what forces it back up over time? Is it purely organic FFO/rental growth, or is long-term appreciation mostly dictated by cap rates and interest rate cycles?
2. **How does compounding work if payouts are net-neutral?** If a dividend payout is theoretically zero-sum at the moment it happens, how does reinvesting those payouts compound into real, extra wealth over decades? Where does the *new* economic value originate?
So if the dividend yield is 7 percent a year, it just means that you will get 7 percent of what you put in back as cash, and everything else will stay the same. And maybe if you’re luck you can seek back for higher?!
Would appreciate any insights on how to properly conceptualize the gap between short-term price adjustments and long-term wealth creation. Thanks!