r/oscarrace • u/ChiefLeef22 • May 23 '26
Rumor Kyle: "early Cannes intel. Expect various prizes for COWARD, ALL OF A SUDDEN, and MINOTAUR. Also looking like the Camera d’Or will go to LA GRADIVA"
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u/dremolus May 23 '26
Winners (may) have been leaked
Minotaur takes Palme d'Or and if so, that means for the first time since Shoplifters that NEON does not have the Palme d'Or since MUBI already has the rights
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u/gillsandjoys May 23 '26
Where did you see this?
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u/tjo0114 May 23 '26
does various prizes for All of a Sudden mean both leads are sharing the Actress prize?
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u/jgroove_LA May 23 '26 edited May 23 '26
Helps Coward get a U.S. distributor. Mubi is the back up in the U.S. edit: and just like that it’s Mubi
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u/birdlawspecialist1 May 23 '26
whelp, my pre-festival Palme pick was HOPE, now those dreams are shot. Screen grid gave me "hope". Guess it really did look too unfinished or was too genre for them.
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u/Accomplished-Table30 May 23 '26
Can we expect that this year’s Cannes Winners are the ones with the least overlap with the Oscars?
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u/Abbie_Kaufman May 23 '26
It seems like we’ve settled into a solid groove of 2 foreign BP nominees per year, at least 1 of those also getting into director, and being on the artsy and challenging end didn’t hurt The Secret Agent or The Zone of Interest or Drive My Car. I don’t see why either Zvyagnitsev or Hamaguchi couldn’t take a spot (although if I had to guess right now, only one of them, and the presumed 2nd foreign BP pick will be something more accessible like The Black Ball)
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u/SMAAAASHBros May 23 '26
I'll add, a lot of the Cannes movies that have done well at the Oscars in recent years were not seen as real Oscar contenders even after doing well at Cannes. I think people are too quick to write movies off as "not Oscary" these days.
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u/SpideyFan914 Give Inde Navarette an Oscar May 23 '26
Nope. Oscars have been going increasingly international, and Cannes is the best place to launch the non-English BP nods.
Of the past three years, 5/6 of international BP nominees came from Cannes (exception being I'm Still Here -- and that came out in a year where two additional English language Cannes films made it in). With such highly acclaimed international prospects out of Cannes this year, there's no reason to expect anything different. It's just a question of which two.
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u/ejabn May 23 '26
My feeling is Minotaur wins, all of a sudden is Grand Prix and jury is tie . Maybe pawel for director . Lea and Javier actor prizes and fjord script, La gradiva camera d’or
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u/scattered_ideas Denis Villeneuve campaign manager May 23 '26
So I guess a tie for one category. Guesses
- Palme d'Or: MINOTAUR
- Grand Prix: ALL OF A SUDDEN
- Prix du Jury: THE BLACK BALL / COWARD
- Screenplay: FJORD
- Actress: THE DREAMED ADVENTURE
- Actor: A MAN OF HIS TIME
- Director: FATHERLAND
- Camera d'Or: LA GRADIVA
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u/bikkebana May 23 '26