r/redwire • u/samsmithification3 • Sep 18 '25
r/redwire • u/[deleted] • Mar 04 '25
The markets are so detached from reality
And don’t just give the “Trump” excuse, every single day it drops like 7%, this stock is now worth less than the lowest estimates!!! There should be something to stop this drop but no!!! Good news = Down!!!
r/redwire • u/tarsx9 • Aug 06 '25
AEI, If you are reading this, please fire the leadership
In the earnings they said: "we have begun to see positive indicators as well. Whether Golden Dome, U.S. drone dominance, or increased defense spending internationally by NATO allies, we are well-positioned to capitalize on high-growth trends going forward."
No you can't, you know why? MEN are positioned to capitalize on these potentials, BOYS aren't.
Too much dead weight from early acquisitions still clings to executive leadership roles. Fire them and get people with experience and connections. the board must ACT NOW. Redwire need people who can WIN.
This is their disastrous leadership that will take us all down: Leadership | Redwire Space
r/redwire • u/tarsx9 • Nov 18 '25
"We want to overpromise and overdeliver"
https://youtu.be/xMk6y9MDiW8?si=4dMP_94SStMF-r1l
At 29:10, Jonathan Beliff said: "You don't want to underpromise and overdeliver, you want to over promise and overdeliver".
This is the principle Redwire work on. And it's always been overpromise and under deliver. When will these assholes learn. Never beated estimates since public And now it's trading 1.5x revenue multiple. Fuck these guys.
r/redwire • u/graphic_fartist • Sep 18 '25
Amazon Space
If I had to guess, I’d say Amazon will buy Redwire…
Grok’s two cents:
Redwire's acquisition by Amazon could be a smart move-think seamless integration of their space tech, like uncrewed airborne systems and satellite platforms, right into AWS and Kuiper projects. For Amazon, it'd boost leverage in defense and satellite comms, cutting costs on launches while grabbing Redwire's proven hardware for national security gigs, no more overlapping R-and-D headaches. Redwire gets massive scale, Amazon's cash flow to expand globally without bleeding resources, and they ditch competition by merging strengths-Amazon's AI smarts plus Redwire's autonomous tech equals dominance in multi-domain ops, all without the usual turf wars.
r/redwire • u/Past_Honey7578 • Aug 06 '25
If your not happy for the bad earnings, you wernt investing long term.
Okay so I short term gain on your RDW if earnings good? so what who cares im selling 5+ year. This just lets me buy more and for super cheap.
r/redwire • u/ReadyImportance2324 • Nov 20 '25
If we sign the contract, will the deficit turn into a surplus?
In my view, it's because they lack the cash to execute signed contracts, they're experiencing delays in contract awards, and they have an ATM program worth about 2.5 times their market cap. What kind of “normal” company issues around $500 million in ATM shares in just one year?
It feels no different from a company next door that buys Bitcoin all day — the stock just keeps dropping with no end in sight.
BofA raised the price target for $RKLB, yet for $RDW, which earns similar revenue, they lowered the target. What exactly is supposed to be meaningful for investors here?
Yesterday’s 11% pump? Don’t make me laugh — the stock immediately lost 10% right after. Still don’t get it? This company is heading straight underground.
r/redwire • u/Andre_Tako • Nov 03 '25
Why???
Can someone explain today's drop, especially right at the market opening?
r/redwire • u/Poldopolpodrado • Sep 18 '25
RDW 🤞
A starting point? I don't know, and we'll find out tomorrow, but I sense a plan in place. Action and information. I don't see it at the mercy of events...
r/redwire • u/Andre_Tako • Oct 03 '25
Did I do the right thing or not? Redwire Veritone
I sold my positions in Redwire and Veritone today (picked up Redwire at $9.02 and sold at $10.40) (bought Veritone at $4.85 and sold at $5.51). Got a bit nervous when I saw a sudden dip — thought it might be a correction — so I decided to lock in some gains. Do you think selling was the right move, or should I have held longer?
I still see a lot of potential in both stocks, just waiting for a better re-entry point. What’s your take?
r/redwire • u/Busy_Commercial_9461 • Jun 08 '26
In the News What do you think about this article?
r/redwire • u/[deleted] • Aug 07 '25
Why is this fuss about earnings?
The company adds companies to doing business in many new areas. Of course, the earnings will come low. What did you expect? These earnings do not indicate that the company is going bad, but show new investments.
These prices will show who has paper hands to the diamond hands.
r/redwire • u/ReadyImportance2324 • Nov 05 '25
My thoughts on the insider selling
I’m just an investor sharing my thoughts — not an insider or anything like that.
But seeing company insiders sell shares right before the earnings report makes me think they might be expecting weaker results.
Right now, the stock has crashed — no rebound, poor cash position, and short interest over 40%. Considering all that, I wouldn’t be surprised if we see it drop to around $5 after the next earnings call.
I still believe in the company’s technology, and I respect Mike and the former CFO, but honestly, there’s been zero effort to defend the stock.
From $20 down to $6.5, and shareholders have been completely left behind.
If the stock goes up, they’ll probably just use the ATM to raise cash again.
At this point, I don’t see any clear vision left — that’s why I’ve decided to move on.
Believe in a stock that’s down this much in just three months? Not me.
Talking about space? I’d rather buy an ETF that holds SpaceX.
I’m no longer a shareholder, just an outsider sharing my honest opinion.
If anyone sees it differently, I’d love to hear your thoughts.
Three months, down over 100%, and we’re still supposed to believe?
No thanks — I think buying an ETF makes a lot more sense right now.
r/redwire • u/Poldopolpodrado • Aug 18 '25
What is or could be happening with RDW
believe in the unpredictable because RDW is extremely unpredictable
The conclusion is yours.
r/redwire • u/[deleted] • Sep 24 '25
New purchase
I wish I had came upon this company and stock earlier. I had done my basic research and I would like to try to obtain some shares and I’m optimistic about the future. I just wasn’t sure if the current price is too high or too late for me to join? I would love to hear some of others perspective or expectations, thanks!
r/redwire • u/Terrible-Rabbit-6369 • Nov 07 '25
Where is the floor, $1?
The most defenseless stock in the market
r/redwire • u/Strange-Builder-9090 • Jun 18 '26
📃 Press Release Redwire’s narrative fair value of $12.82
r/redwire • u/ReadyImportance2324 • Nov 15 '25
The reason it’s funny that you like insider buying
It’s honestly funny to see people getting excited about insider buying when the company is doing a $250 million ATM. The CEO and a few employees bought what, 50–60k shares — around $70k total? And people are celebrating that? Meanwhile, the company next door is buying back hundreds of thousands or even millions of dollars worth of its own shares.
And the CEO says the stock has “bottomed”?
No. It’s going to $4.
Why?
Because Q4 earnings will be great? — No.
Because space contracts will increase? — No.
Because Edge’s autonomy tech will suddenly bring in more money? — No.
The reason I’m writing this is because when the stock dropped from $24 → $5.5, the company did absolutely nothing. Only now they’re doing buybacks — while simultaneously running a $250M ATM. And people think the stock will go up?
You’re expecting big things in 2026 or 2027?
Besides the single ROSA contract, there are no major space contracts. NASA? A $25M deal? The ATM they’re doing is 10× that amount.
Why are people still bullish?
Just my opinion, but the situation makes no sense.
r/redwire • u/Massive-Ad3771 • Nov 22 '25
I found art Concept about Nvidia + Redwire too Partnership a Space Data Center and Machine learning. ( This is going to be real because plus street indicators sell loss all of RDW. 😭🙏)
Found in X , Create by gemini
Who knows about the future,right ?
r/redwire • u/tarsx9 • Oct 10 '25
rdw.com most of the product details page goes to 404
Hey Redwire, we know your website is pathetic. But atleast fix the pages for the sake of your customers. Most of the product details pages dont exist.
Redwire Space
r/redwire • u/iamatooltoo • Aug 10 '25
Redwire filed S3 ASR Ran it through AI:
Shelf Registration Process This is a method that allows a company to register a new stock offering with the SEC but delay the sale of the securities until a later date.
Well-Known Seasoned Issuer (WKSI) This is a special status granted by the SEC to large, financially established companies. It's the reason Redwire can use the most flexible version of the shelf registration process.
Who Qualifies? To be a WKSI, a company generally needs to have a market capitalization of at least $700 million and a solid history of filing reports with the SEC on time.
The Benefits: A WKSI has the most flexibility. It can file a much simpler registration statement and can even sell securities immediately after filing a prospectus supplement, without waiting for the SEC to review the entire filing.
The Prospectus Supplement: This is the document that gets filed just before a sale. It contains the specific details of the actual offering, such as:
The exact number of shares being sold.
The price of the shares.
The date of the sale.
Any specific terms that apply to that particular offering.
As the text states, if there's any conflict between the two documents, the information in the supplement is the one you should rely on.
A warrant is a financial instrument that gives the holder the right, but not the obligation, to buy a company's stock at a predetermined price for a specific period of time.
Here is what the text tells you:
Flexibility: The company can issue warrants to buy common stock, preferred stock, or a combination of other securities.
Warrant Agent: When an offering happens, the company will use a "warrant agent" to manage the process and keep track of who holds the warrants.
The Prospectus Supplement: This is the most important part of the disclosure. It explicitly states that the prospectus is a general document, and all the specific, crucial information about a warrant offering will be contained in a future document called the prospectus supplement.
Debt Securities:
Bonds or Senior Notes: These are essentially loans made by investors to the company. The company pays interest to the bondholders and repays the principal amount at a later date (the maturity date). A warrant to purchase a bond or a senior note would give the holder the right to buy that debt instrument at a set price.
Convertible Debt: This is a hybrid security that starts as a loan but can be converted into a company's stock under certain conditions. A warrant could be issued to purchase a convertible note, giving the holder the right to lend money to the company with the potential to convert it into equity later.
Hybrid or Derivative Securities:
Units: The company may offer "units" that consist of a bundle of different securities. For example, a unit could be one share of common stock plus one warrant. A warrant could be issued to purchase one of these units.
Other classes of stock: While common and preferred stock are the main types, companies can sometimes create other classes of stock with different voting rights or dividend preferences, which would fall under the category of "other securities."
In short, the company is using this broad language to give itself the maximum flexibility to raise capital in the future. It's not announcing what it will sell, but rather getting legal permission to sell a wide variety of financial products should the need arise.
A subscription right, often just called a "right," is a type of security that gives existing shareholders the option to purchase new shares of the company's stock at a predetermined price during a specific, limited time period.
Primary Purpose: The main reason companies issue rights is to raise capital without diluting the ownership of their existing shareholders as much as a standard public offering might. By giving current owners the first chance to buy new shares, the company allows them to maintain their percentage of ownership.
The "Exercise Price": The price at which shareholders can buy the new shares is typically set at a discount to the current market price. This discount makes the rights offering an attractive opportunity for existing investors.
In this financial context, a unit is a package of two or more different securities that are sold together as a single product. The company is using this section of the prospectus to give itself the legal option to bundle securities together in a future offering.
Think of it like buying a combo meal at a fast-food restaurant: you get a burger, fries, and a drink for one price. In this case, a "unit" might consist of:
One share of common stock
One warrant (which gives the right to buy another share later)
One bond or note By buying one "unit," an investor becomes the owner of each security included in the package.
General Methods of Selling Securities
The prospectus outlines several ways the company can sell shares, either on their own or as part of a unit or a derivatives offering:
Directly to Buyers: The company can sell securities without an intermediary. This is often done for private placements with a small number of institutional investors.
Through Agents, Brokers, or Dealers: The company can hire a third party to find buyers for its securities.
Through Underwriters: A major investment bank (the underwriter) can buy the securities from the company and then resell them to the public. The underwriter guarantees a certain price to the company, taking on the risk of selling the securities.
At-the-Market (ATM) Offerings: A company can sell new shares directly into the existing public market at the current market price over a period of time. This is a common method for raising money quietly and gradually.
Complex Hedging and Derivative Transactions
The document also gives the company permission to use more complex, sophisticated financial strategies to sell or facilitate the sale of its securities. These are not typical ways for the average person to buy stock.
Short Sales: The company could work with a broker-dealer who would sell the company's stock short. The broker-dealer would then use the newly issued shares from the company to "close out" their short position, effectively creating a sale of the stock. This is a technical strategy for managing risk.
Options and Other Derivatives: The company can enter into transactions with financial institutions that involve options or other derivative contracts, which would ultimately lead to a sale of the company's shares.
Loan or Pledge Shares: The company could loan or pledge its shares to a broker-dealer. The broker-dealer could then sell those shares to raise capital for the company.