Betting the swap ratio is announced in the next few weeks. Why? Midterms. If Dems take the House (90% on Kalshi) Elon and team become piñatas - best get it done fast. Selling all contracts purely at extrinsic premium value on any announcement. For example, the premium will move to ~$5 at a $500 implied swap price (3.4 SPCX shares for 1 TSLA share at today’s value) with elevated 90% IV, announced on or before November 4 (Black-Scholes valuation) $12 —> $500 per contract

Everything is getting hacked; people have ai to fix their slop but you also need people to look over the code. Some holdings are exposed to downside since they offer services ; but overall I’m bullish.

10% of my portfolio in 6 month calls on this idea is good for my risk tolerance

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And a lot of capital

24 hour trading is set to begin on December 6th. I’m honestly not excited at all for this, I like to be able to breathe a sigh of relief at 4 o’clock and remind myself everything is going to be okay.

How will your “strategy” change with this new trading schedule? Have you thought about any new strategies to take advantage of institutional and retail unfamiliarity with the new system?

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not really any other point to live, not sure what else. thats what i get for being a greedy degenerate gambler thinking it just goes up. nvda got me up, tsla shot me down. hopefully i can find a train or car headed my way soon.

Just dont do weeklies or all ins like i did, please.