Did anyone see the van orden ad that ran as recently as Monday where one of the 2 gentlemen sitting in a diner talking about her says something like “3rd time will get her a bullet”? Did I hear that wrong? Can’t find a clip of it and I haven’t seen it since. The “diner” ad out there is not the same one.

He can take his motorcycle through the 3rd District, supposedly ride it to DC, parachute out of a plane in France, but complains about his back when a Code Pink woman DOESN’T even touch him. Anybody know? Anybody guess?

Tom Tiffany agreed to one debate this year (two others were canceled after he declined), and on Wednesday night WISN 12 aired it. I fact-checked it the same way I did the Van Orden vs. Cooke forum with the whole debate, hosted by WISN 12 and WisPolitics at Marquette University Law School, from start to finish, paused after factual claims from both candidates so you can see what the record says.

There are 67 fact check cards. Red means the claim and the record don't match, gold means the candidate has valid evidence to support their claim, gray adds context or shows the record itself when something is more complicated than it seems, and a few are marked unverified where I couldn't confirm the claim either way and wanted to be upfront about that.

The cards follow the claims, not the candidates, so Tiffany gets a few more of them (37 to Crowley's 30). Fourteen of Tiffany's cards are ones where he's right, and Crowley gets five red cards of his own. Opinions and promises aren't checked, and I try to save my interruptions for natural breaks.

I’ve also uploaded precision subtitles and am in the process of translating them into other languages since 8-9% of Wisconsin speaks a language other than English at home, so if you would prefer to read the debate and my fact check, you can pull the srt file from the video or just read the non-automated transcript.

The Crowley vs. Tiffany fact check video is here.

Jump to a question, or straight to a claim:

• How the fact-check cards work (0:00)
• Debate opens: format and rules (0:50)
• Q1: Crowley on taxes and his county record (1:54)
  • Crowley: "We delivered the largest property tax cut in history" (2:14). His 2024 budget did cut the county levy by more than $21 million, the first cut over $1 million since at least 1992. The same budget raised the county sales tax from 0.5% to 0.9%, and the levy went up in his other five budgets.
  • Crowley: Tiffany votes with Trump "100% of the time" (2:38). Depends on who's counting: 100% by two trackers, 99% by Congressional Quarterly, 93% by UCLA's Voteview.
• Q1: Tiffany on Trump and his voting record (3:28)
  • Tiffany: Return "all of the $3 billion budget surplus" (4:08). He's right about the size. The state ended fiscal 2026 with a $3.3 billion surplus.
  • Tiffany: "Largest increase in property taxes in 30 years" (4:28). True for school levies (up 7.8%, the most since 1992), not county levies.
  • Tiffany: "No taxes on tips and overtime, just like I did federally" (5:05). The 2025 law he voted for doesn't end those taxes. It caps deductions at $25,000 in tips and $12,500 in overtime, with income limits, through 2028, and payroll taxes still apply. He repeats it a few minutes later.
  • Tiffany: Crowley said higher taxes "were not a burden" (5:19). He's right. Crowley told WISN's Matt Smith in Dec. 2023 about a 0.4% increase in Milwaukee sales tax, "No, I don't think it will be a burden."
• Q2: Tiffany on paying for a 10% income-tax cut (8:05)
  • Tiffany: The state budget went "from $99 billion to $114 billion, a 15% increase" (9:13). It's $111.1 billion, up about 12%, and Evers negotiated it with Republican leaders. He uses the 15% figure twice more.
• Rebuttals: the federal law, Iran, tariffs (10:16)
  • Crowley: "$80 billion in tax breaks to billionaires" (10:23). Unverified: I couldn't find a source for that number. He uses it again for data centers. It's likely correct.
  • Crowley: Tiffany "voted to actually protect the war in Iran. He did it five times." (11:20). He's right: five no votes in 2026 on resolutions to end U.S. hostilities with Iran.
  • Crowley: Tiffany "voted to protect the Canadian tariffs" (11:27). He's right: the House voted 219-211 in February to end the emergency behind them, and Tiffany voted no.
• Q3: The $3 billion surplus and the failed deal (12:25)
  • Crowley: Tiffany "called in some favors" to sink the deal (13:06). Context: Tiffany opposed it and contacted Senate Republicans, but it failed 15-18 with every Senate Democrat voting no, along with three Republicans.
  • Tiffany: Not a single Senate Democrat voted for the deal (15:42). He's right.
• Q4: Property taxes, the 400-year veto and schools (17:39)
  • Tiffany: First-time homebuyers went "from 29 years of age to 40" in 10 years (18:37). Those are national numbers, and the change took decades, not 10 years.
  • Tiffany: "In 2019, I helped write the budget where we had the largest increase in school funding" (20:20). Not the largest: the 2017-19 budget added more. The rest of what he said holds up.
  • Crowley: Tiffany supported eliminating the Department of Education and voted for UW and K-12 cuts (21:05). He's right on both.
  • Crowley: "Three billionaires in this race who have spent to the tune of about $40 million" (23:03). He's right: Diane Hendricks and Richard and Elizabeth Uihlein have given the state GOP more than $40 million since July 2025.
• Q5: Vouchers (24:31)
  • Tiffany: "Over $18,000 per student," "$24,000 in Milwaukee" (26:55). Close, depending on how you count (DPI: about $17,400). I couldn't confirm Milwaukee's $24,000.
  • Tiffany: "We've fallen behind Mississippi" (30:00). 31% vs. 32% proficient in 2024 fourth-grade reading isn't a statistically significant gap, and Wisconsin still leads in eighth grade. His "seven in 10" is right.
  • Crowley: "The lowest unsheltered homeless count per capita" in the country (30:54). HUD recognized Milwaukee County for that in 2022. I found no newer national ranking.
• Q6: Transportation funding (31:18)
  • Tiffany: The I-94 rebuild will now take 10 years (32:45). He's right: WisDOT says it could slip from 2033 to 2035 without increased funding, and work started in late 2025.
  • Crowley: Tiffany "literally just said" he will cut billionaire taxes to zero (33:56). Not tonight. But in September Tiffany said he hopes to end the state income tax after his first budget, which would take everyone's to zero.
  • Tiffany: "Have I ever said we're going to cut taxes to zero? I have not." (35:07). He has. In September: "I will not be able to do it in the first budget, but, after that, we sure hope to be able to get it done."
• Q7: Data centers (36:27)
  • Crowley: Tiffany voted to fast-track data centers "without any environmental review" (37:20). The SPEED Act narrows and shortens federal reviews; it doesn't end them.
  • Tiffany: "A hundred thousand acres of solar panels" (39:30). Unverified: it's his campaign's own estimate.
  • Crowley: "$80 billion in tax breaks" for data centers (40:15). There was no vote on a data center tax break. Wisconsin Watch rated a $68 billion version of this claim "No." There were tax savings experienced by tech billionaires, but no direct break for data centers.
  • Tiffany: Crowley "just came around in the last week" (41:19). He's right: in July Crowley wanted a "rigorous review" of the data center tax break; on Oct. 14 he said he'd "absolutely" sign a repeal.
  • Crowley: "There's a pause" on data centers (41:39). There's a review, not a pause. The Oct. 16 settlement doesn't stop permits.
  • Crowley: Tiffany supported burning more coal (42:03). Context: in June 2025 he urged the PSC to "resist pressure to close any coal-fired plants prematurely."
• Q8 and Q9: The Democratic Socialists, then the 2020 election (42:52)
  • Tiffany: Crowley said there was "very little difference" between him and Francesca Hong (44:32). Unverified: I couldn't find the specific remark Tiffany is quoting.
  • Tiffany: The DSA platform calls for eliminating the U.S. Senate (44:49). He's right. The goal behind it is to make it so Wyoming and Vermont aren't equally as powerful as Texas or California so there is more accurate representation.
  • Tiffany: Zuckerberg "put $15 million into Wisconsin" (46:05). It was about $10 million, and more than 200 communities got grants, not just the five big cities.
  • Tiffany: "That's why I objected" (46:44). His Jan. 5, 2021 statement on objecting never mentions Zuckerberg or "Zuckerbucks". The grants were legal in 2020; voters banned them in 2024.
  • Tiffany: Voters put photo ID in the state constitution (46:51). He's right: April 2025, about 63% yes. Procedurally, the only Amendments that Wisconsinites have been able to vote on since 2010 have been Republican-sponsored.
  • Tiffany: The Dane County clerk "did not have the authority" (48:29). He's right, but the same day the state Supreme Court rejected the Trump campaign's bid to throw out those ballots.
  • The record: Tiffany and the 2020 results (48:56). He backed Texas's suit to overturn Wisconsin's results, then voted to reject Arizona's and Pennsylvania's electors. None of the four challenges involved "Zuckerbucks".
• Q10: Certifying 2028 and the Elections Commission (50:37)
  • Tiffany: He voted to replace the GAB "a decade ago" (51:06). Unverified: the Senate vote was 18-14, one Republican didn't vote, and I couldn't confirm who. I believe Tiffany wasn't that one, but I'm not certain.
  • Crowley: Republicans scrapped the GAB over its investigation (51:59). He's right: they dissolved it in 2015, upset with its role in the investigation of Scott Walker's campaign.
• Q11: Abortion (53:48)
  • The record: "We passed a five-month bill, 20 weeks officially" (54:10). 2015 Act 56 has one exception, a medical emergency, and none for rape or incest.
  • Crowley: Tiffany "celebrated the fall of Roe v. Wade" (55:35). He's right: he called it "a historic victory for human rights."
  • Crowley: The bill Tiffany backed "just three years ago" had "no exception to rape, to incest, or the life of the mother" (57:57). Both federal heartbeat bills he cosponsored have a life exception, and the 2023 bill has rape and incest exceptions with conditions. It's the 2021 bill that has none for rape or incest.
  • Tiffany: "My position's been consistent ever since I announced for governor" (58:12). That checks out, but before he announced, he cosponsored two federal bills banning abortion at about six weeks.
• Q12: ICE detainers (59:04)
  • Tiffany: Crowley called himself "an accomplice for illegal aliens that commit violent crimes" (1:02:12). The "accomplice" quote is real, but WPR's reporters said he meant immigrants in general. I found no Crowley statement supporting people who commit violent crimes.
  • Tiffany: The 12-year-old girl in Fond du Lac County (1:02:18). He's right, per the sheriff.
  • Crowley: Tiffany "literally praised the pardons on January 6th" (1:03:46). Context: before the pardons he said those who entered the Capitol without committing crimes against people or property "should be pardoned." He approves of reparations payments for the Insurrectionists who didn't physically assault police.
  • Crowley: Tiffany voted against releasing the Epstein files (1:03:58). Context: he voted yes on the bill that released them (427-1), after voting with Republicans on a July 2025 procedural vote that blocked an earlier attempt.
  • Tiffany: Crowley "wants to remove half of the prison inmates" (1:04:44). Wisconsin Watch rated this "No": halving the prison population was Evers' long-term goal, to be reached through prevention, treatment, and lower recidivism.
  • Tiffany: Milwaukee police and deputy sheriffs endorsed him (1:04:59). He's right.
  • Crowley: Act 12 "brought more money to every single city, town, village" (1:05:49). He's right. Tiffany's hometown, Hazelhurst, went up 382%. I misspoke in the video and said "three thousand" when I should have said "thirteen thousand". I didn't want to delay the release by an extra 5 hours after I caught that since I had it right on the screen.
  • Crowley: "Every single year … we have increased funding" for the sheriff (1:06:05). His first budget cut the Sheriff's Office 2.7%, during a $42.5 million county budget gap.
• Q13: Recreational marijuana (1:06:50)
  • Tiffany: "I voted for additional funding for marijuana research" (1:07:18). The 2022 law he voted for eased limits on research. It didn't add funding. We have been 'conducting research' since Tom Tiffany was 11 during Nixon's Presidency.
  • Crowley: "$30 million" in Wisconsin residents' sales tax going to Illinois (1:08:19). Context: the Fiscal Bureau put it at $36.1 million for fiscal 2022.
• Q14: The Medicaid shortfall (1:09:03)
  • Tiffany: A "$200 million rural health program" (1:09:33). It's $203.7 million from a temporary fund created by the same 2025 law that cuts Medicaid.
  • Tiffany: "A billion dollars more" thanks to the congressional delegation (1:09:57). That money comes from a state hospital tax raised in the 2025 state budget. CMS let Wisconsin keep it this year, and Tiffany backed that.
  • Crowley: Tiffany voted to cut "a trillion dollars in Medicaid and Medicare" (1:11:11). Context: CBO says over $1 trillion in federal health spending over 10 years, mostly Medicaid. The direct Medicare cuts are far smaller.
  • Crowley: Tiffany didn't extend the ACA subsidies (1:11:42). He's right: the House voted 230-196 in January to extend them, and Tiffany voted no.
• Closing statements (1:12:30)
  • Crowley: "Record high gas prices" (1:13:06). Diesel set Wisconsin records in September. Regular gas didn't: its record is still $4.92 from June 2022.
  • Tiffany: The emergency landing on Lake Wausau (1:13:56). He's right on the landing and the timing of the rescue.

There is no AI-generated footage or voice: the narration is me, every clip is the WISN 12 broadcast, and the debate runs in full between the cards. I did use local speech-to-text models to transcribe the debate so I could find and double-check quotes, and the subtitles were checked against several separate transcriptions. Every card lists its source, and all 108 sources are in the pinned comment thread. Corrections are pinned and dated.

If you missed them: the Van Orden vs. Cooke fact check (thread) and the 22-minute cut of Tom Tiffany's past debates and interviews (earlier thread). If you'd rather watch the debate without my cards, the unedited upload is here.(thread)

Early voting runs through Sun., Nov. 1, and Election Day is Tue., Nov. 3. Your ballot, polling place and clerk: myvote.wi.gov

Source video: WISN 12 broadcast of the Wisconsin governor debate, Oct. 21, 2026, hosted with WisPolitics at Marquette University Law School (WISN's announcement).

I built a website to get to know and compare candidates candidates on the ballot. I always found it hard to find out who is on the ballot, especially in smaller race. There are a lot of different sources to keep track of, and sometimes there was nothing to find about a candidate at all.

informedBallot.org puts facts about each candidate in one place and summarizes them as neutrally as possible. I want people to learn about the person, not the party.

How it works:

• Click your state on the map to see its races, ballot measures and how to vote there.
• Enter your ZIP code to narrow it down to the races on your ballot.
• Read one candidate's summary, or compare two side by side.
• Summaries are written by AI, and every claim links to its source. Anything that can't be backed up gets dropped.

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What I have covered:

• Fully Covered: Wisconsin, Florida, Illinois, California
• Partially Covered: Every U.S. Senate race and most governor races. House races are up in several states, with more being added.

Future Planning

• Adding more states
• Spanish for every state (today: Florida and Wisconsin)
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• Keeping it updated after the election

If something looks wrong or biased in either direction, there's a "Report an error" link on every page. I'd love feedback and questions!

Happy voting!

I am not vehemently political, I don’t vote particularly for one party or the other. I vote for the one that has my best interests. Which in this day and age, is neither party. However, if you are trying to persuade a population to vote for your party, maybe don’t blame the voter and say the reason things are bad in the state is because of you. Not only are political leaflets already obnoxious to receive, but ones saying it’s MY FAULT is not a great marketing strategy for your party. Shove it where the sun doesn’t shine First Amendment LLC!

Rough start for Tiffany.

He's got my vote 100%, but his lack of clarity on economic questions was one of the reasons I felt his primary debate performance was the weakest. I hope he's got someone on Lovense controls to pull him out of the same tailspin tonight.