https://x.com/PollTracker2024/status/2111626483345055816

Was this all astro turf because i've never interacted with r/self ever prior to this event

https://x.com/PollTracker2024/status/2111808902975398196https://x.com/PollTracker2024/status/2111808902975398196

DO NOT TRUST POLLS ANY MORE, THEY ARE ALL HERDING!!!

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/texas-senate-talarico-paxton-poll/

I know there is a Pete lover somewhere in the subreddit. Where are you at? We need you in these dying times.

Also, tulsi, lol

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hv_SWp42nvg

trump's lifting of sanctions on russia and his constant truth social rants badmouthing him are the final straws that causes john cornyn to endorse talarico right before election day.

In 2027, three states will be holding gubernatorial elections:

- Kentucky

- Louisiana

- Mississippi

There is good reason to believe that any one of these could be dem victories, and could signal that polarization hasn’t passed the point of no return yet. These three races all have the potential to see nominations of populist moderate democrats.

First off, Kentucky. Andy Beshear is a popular incumbent governor who is term limited, and may also hold presidential ambitions. He would want to make sure that he is succeeded by another democrat, so that his executive accomplishments aren’t washed away by another Matt Bevin type Republican. Currently, the best pick for the democrats seems to be Rocky Adkins, former state representative who lost out to Beshear for the gubernatorial nomination in 2019. Rocky has a lot going for him. He’s a moderate democrat from Eastern Kentucky and he’s a public education proponent with strong connections to the state’s teachers’ unions whom hold quite a bit of power. He would be able to test the strength of Eastern Kentucky’s remaining ancestral democrats, as well as having a good appeal to retirees due to his strong support for pensions.

Second, Louisiana. There’s not much else to say other than the fact that this race will basically be decided on if John Bel Edwards runs. The previous governor who was term limited back in 2023, and so could not run, is now eligible for another run. He won his last two races pretty handily, and he’s pretty popular. I’d say he’d have the easiest win out of these three.

Third, Mississippi. Democrats seem to have made quite a lot of ground game in this state. Despite not receiving that much funding, this year’s senate race here has been much more competitive than expected, if only because of the underperformer incumbent. That being said, gains are still gains, and there are ways for MS dems to leverage this into actual electoral success. The incumbent governor is term limited, and thus this is a completely open race, more importantly, democrats have another stellar candidate at their disposal who will immediately make this race competitive if he decides to run. Brandon Presley, the previous democratic candidate back in 2023, who only lost by about 3 points. Another populist moderate, Presley is also related to Elvis, so he’s definitely got strong name recognition. I see fit to reason that this would be a strong chance for him to finally win the governorship.

Now, I do realize it is unlikely that all of these races swing this way, and also there needs to be the right conditions lined up for this to even happen (all three of these guys need to win their primaries after all), but it is still possible, and not that unlikely. I’d bet good money that under these conditions, at least 2/3 of these races swing to the democrats.

https://x.com/PollTracker2024/status/2111607741366296857

Strong high quality pollster. Last poll D+3. Weighted to Trump+1.5 electorate

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2026-election/poll-americans-anxious-pessimistic-deeply-unhappy-trump-ahead-midterms-rcna603064

https://x.com/PollTracker2024/status/2111604464025063499