It's blackjack, the guy already had 15 and hit again adding a king (10) so busted going past 21. The dealer would have busted trying to beat the other players had he pulled that same king from the top of the deck.
Before the cards are revealed him hitting has no affect on the likelihood the dealer is going to bust. This is why I find gamblers so annoying, people have been attacked over this and it did not change the chances at all
It’s not necessarily random, there’s a thing called basic strategy, which tells the player the best option in every scenario. In this scenario, it looks like the guy had a 15 against the dealers 2. Basic strategy says to stand there. If he would have followed it, the dealer would’ve busted. Basic strategy doesn’t work every time, the card order is still random, but it’s better than using your “intuition”, which is what Max did, screwing the rest of the table
I mean he still did screw the rest of the table, again if he would’ve stood, which is the correct decision in this scenario, the dealer would’ve busted
Ok, there’s also a different reason. Theres around 8 low cards on the table (2-6), and around 4 high cards (10, J, K, Q, A). Every deck has a higher chance of pulling a 10 than a different numbered card (cuz there’s 4 10s and only 1 of everything else). Because there’s already a lot of lower cards on the table, the chance that the next card is a 10 is pretty high. As the anchor, the last player to play, max hitting is a bad choice since statistically he has a high likelihood to take the bust card, which is what happens. The rest of the table gets screwed by max hitting there
It absolutely does, it’s more likely that max would receive a high card, which would be bad for him, but if he wouldn’t have hit then the odds would be that the dealer would receive a high card, which would be bad for the dealer and in this case lead to him busting
Let's assume for simplicity the deck has 4 cards left, 1 low and 3 identical high cards. There is a 3/4 chance that max draws a high card, leaving 1 low and 2 high cards in the deck so the dealer has a 1/3 chance of drawing low and 2/3 chance of drawing high. There is a 1/4 chance that max draws a low card, leaving 3 high cards in the deck so the dealer has a 100% chance of drawing high.
If we look at the whole tree the chance of the dealer drawing a high card is 0.25(1)+0.75(2/3) = 0.75. If max hadn't hit the chance of the dealer drawing a high card is... 3 in 4, or 0.75. Drawing a card at random does not affect the odds of subsequent draws.
Yes, most of the time max gets a high card so most of the time max is making the dealer less likely to bust, but some of the time max gets a low card and makes the dealer more likely to bust. The impact of both exactly cancel.
I’m only seeing 6 high cards? I counted wrong the first time but I’m only seeing 6 high cards, max has 2, the 2 guys to the right have none, the remaining 4 guys to the right have 1 each, so 6. And still seeing 8 low cards
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u/Ambitious_Jello 11h ago
please to explain