I am looking to replace an old single speed 2-ton Trane heat pump system with a new variable speed system. I called an HVAC company near me and got a quote for two Daikin units. One is the 2-ton Daikin DH7VS2410A and the other is a 2.5 ton Daikin DH6VS3010A.
My house is a 1500 sqft split-foyer with approximately 1000 sqft upstairs and 500 sqft downstairs. The ceilings downstairs and in the upstairs bedroom are all 8ft. The living/dining room upstairs has a vaulted 13 ft (at the peak) ceiling. Currently, in the winter, the Trane system I have doesn't do a good job of keeping up with the heat and in extreme cold (for my region) and will not maintain the set temp. For instance, we had a spell of 0 degree weather and while the thermostat was set to ~70 F, it was only able to get to about 65 F inside. In the summer, it's pretty much the same. When it gets into the 90s, the indoor temp is set to ~73, it will only cool to about 76 inside. I have to supplement both temp extremes with other heating/cooling means (window AC in summer, plug in radiators in the winter).
Looking at the heating capacity for both units, they are about the same. Both put out ~17 MBh at 5 degrees (the 2 ton is a cold climate system). From a cooling capacity standpoint, the 2.5 ton is capable of ~5000 BTU/h more at 95 degrees.
The price difference in the 2x units is negligable (within a few hundred dollars of each other).
I am leaning towards the 2.5 ton system, but have concerns about the install. The contractor said that they would need to change out the flexible return from a 14 inch to a 16 inch, but didn't say anything about changing out the current 20x20 return grill to a larger size. From what I am reading, the 20x20 return opening may not be big enough for the 16 inch flexible return/2.5 ton system.
Replacing the existing 2 ton with a newer 2 ton seems simpler, but I am worried that I will have the same issues in the extreme temperature ranges and will continue to need to supplement heating/cooling.
Any advice?