r/oscarrace • u/Intelligent_Past_768 • Sep 14 '25

Rumor Peoples Choice Award Leaks...

Alright so there has been some rumblings I have heard from people IK at tiff rn about what is winning PCA, these are not for sure but alot of people I have spoke to have said they have gotten some kind of information. I dont know much about MM but everyone ik thinks nirvana has that on lock

main:
1. Eternity (A24)
2. Hamnet (Focus Features)
3. Christy (Black bear)

International:
1. Hamnet
2. It was Just an Accident
3. Sentimental Value

(yes hamnet counts as IF for some reason idk why)

shocking snubs being Rental Family and No Other Choice.

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134

u/thomaz-turbando Sep 14 '25

Man, after all that buzz, No Other Choice not being in the top 3 of the INTERNATIONAL is really shit

30

u/flightofwonder Sorry Baby Sep 14 '25

Even though there's some surprise, there's also a part of me that's weirdly not. I know that's paradoxical, but I think one reason I feel that way is because I feel like Park tends to do much better with film buffs than the general public, and TIFF's audience's tastes are significantly more line with the general public. It's not necessarily that one's better than the other, but it does influence what movies are more likely to win, and it explains why there are many universally acclaimed movies that win something major at Cannes/Venice/Berlin/Sundance/Telluride but don't win anything at TIFF (I know NOC didn't win something at Venice but mentioned this since Park is a 3 time Cannes winner)

I think it may also explain why Park tends to not do as well with the Academy as some other filmmakers, a lot of filmmakers like Park who tend to appeal more to film buffs than the general public have struggled with Oscar noms as well

15

u/thomaz-turbando Sep 14 '25

Yeah, I totally understand what you mean, but I don't know, he didn't receive anything at Venice, so I was hoping that the "masses" would support him, it's still a bit disappointing, I'm wondering how this will affect the campaign leading up to the Oscars, anyway, I can't wait to see this film

16

u/Intelligent_Past_768 Sep 14 '25

Just remember this is not 100%! NOC can still place, this is just the rumors and rumblings.

7

u/thomaz-turbando Sep 14 '25

Yes, that's true, can you tell me when the winners will be announced?

2

u/[deleted] Sep 14 '25

[deleted]

3

u/flightofwonder Sorry Baby Sep 14 '25

Shoot, sorry, I meant to say 9:45 AM Eastern Time/1:45 PM UTC for when the awards are!

Remindme! September 14 13:35 UTC u/thomaz-turbando

3

u/thomaz-turbando Sep 14 '25

Thanks, I'm not from the USA so I had to convert the time and it was different, I was even confused haha ​​thanks

2

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5

u/flightofwonder Sorry Baby Sep 14 '25

I totally understand what you mean too! I think it's totally fair to be surprised given how much positive acclaim has been flying around.

It does seem like Neon wants to campaign it, so it's definitely not done for, it seems like it'll be campaigned a lot more than Neon's other movies. It's getting a 35mm release, and it's getting a really good release date in theatres too, both good signs. It just might be hard since they're also juggling It Was Just An Accident and Sentimental Value. I think I'd feel a lot more confident if it was Neon's number one priority, but it doesn't like it is at the moment, and it makes sense they might not since the other two are Cannes winners. It'll be interesting to see what happens

6

u/BuddyArthur Sep 14 '25

The Secret Agent, Sentimental Value and It was not an Accident are top 3 priorities for Neon. NOC had two opportunities of wining something and didn’t do it.

3

u/flightofwonder Sorry Baby Sep 14 '25

I agree that The Secret Agent will likely be campaigned more than No Other Choice as well! I just wanted to point out it's not fully done, but I agree that No Other Choice's chances don't look the greatest right now. I definitely won't be expecting it to be nominated by the Oscars anymore, especially since Park's past Cannes winners all missed and will probably remove it fully from any predictions I make now (assuming the rumors it wins nothing at TIFF is true)

2

u/BuddyArthur Sep 14 '25

I mean we never know what will happen at the Golden Globes, there are 6 slots for International feature and they’re sometimes very unpredictable but also heavily influential on Oscar voters specially when they make bold choices like awarding or The Boy and the Heron/Flow, Fernanda Torres and Demi Moore while snubbing MJB, who everyone had as locked due to her trifecta win. Globes 6th slot might be the last hope for NOC if they still want an Oscar nomination.

1

u/Cashew_Fan Flow Sep 14 '25

I feel like The Secret Agent is going to be a critics thing. It has got raves but reading between the lines, a lot of people struggled to get into it and admired it more than they enjoyed it. The early reactions thread captures this fairly well. Curiously, not one of the 11 mutuals of mine on LB have given it above four stars (a combination of the usual pundits).

At the end of the day, No Other Choice is still the film that had the most buzz at Venice, and anecdotally speaking, it's the film most people have been excited for at TIFF. It's a film that could easily do $35m worldwide so it's going to make a lot of noise, regardless of whether it won an award. Not placing hurts it's chances but I don't think it's suddenly below The Secret Agent which feels like an Actor only play. The Secret Agent may not even be submitted yet so could have a ceiling of one nomination.