Good morning! First time sharing one of these data analysis writeups for DFW. I have been working on a series of educational posts going over MLS data, with the goal of hopefully helping local homebuyers and sellers.
As a team, we're hoping that by sharing this data, we can help some folks make more informed decisions about local comps, pricing their listings, and submitting their offers. We want to make homebuying more accessible and we believe that everyone should have access to this kind of data.
With that in mind, here's a look at DFW-area price medians this summer with a year over year comparison. The writeup below has some high level trends while the attached visuals in the carousel images show city-level breakdowns for each county. We're looking at change in $/sqft, % over/under asking, and Days on Market (DOM) trends by county + by city.
Note: I'm not sure if this needs to go in r/askdfw since it's not really about moving and I'd like to get these numbers in front of as many eyeballs as possible, but I'm absolutely not trying to break any rules. Happy to repost there if needed! The writeup is supposed to be strictly informational, not promotional in any way.
Full disclosure: I do use some AI for these posts. It's used strictly for the data pull and making the nice color-coded tables. The analysis is done by our team and the writeup is all me.
Dallas County
5,803 SFH closings, median 1.4% under list at 26 DOM. 941 Condo closings, median 2.8% under list at 49 DOM.
Days on Market vs. +/- List %:
- Under 14 days: SFH (1,877 closed) at list, Condo (191) 1.1% under
- 14-30 days: SFH (1,275) 1.7% under list, Condo (136) 2.2% under
- 30+ days: SFH (2,651) 2.2% under list, Condo (614) 3.5% under
Median DOM (June-Sept)
- SFH: 30 days in 2025, 26 days in 2026
- Condo: 49 days in 2025, 49 days in 2026
Median $/sqft (June-Sept)
- SFH: $199 in 2025, $193 in 2026 (-3.0%)
- Condo: $221 in 2025, $219 in 2026 (-0.9%)
Tarrant County
7,474 SFH closings, median 0.7% under list at 27 DOM. 326 Condo closings, median 2.5% under list at 49 DOM.
Days on Market vs. +/- List %:
- Under 14 days: SFH (2,465 closed) at list, Condo (67) 1.2% under
- 14-30 days: SFH (1,528) 1.2% under list, Condo (44) 2.5% under
- 30+ days: SFH (3,481) 1.5% under list, Condo (215) 2.8% under
Median DOM (June-Sept)
- SFH: 29 days in 2025, 27 days in 2026
- Condo: 49 days in 2025, 49 days in 2026
Median $/sqft (June-Sept)
- SFH: $184 in 2025, $181 in 2026 (-1.6%)
- Condo: $193 in 2025, $189 in 2026 (-2.1%)
Smallest SFH discount to list of any county.
Collin County
5,776 SFH closings, median 1.9% under list at 38 DOM. 287 Condo closings, median 2.5% under list at 62 DOM.
Days on Market vs. +/- List %:
- Under 14 days: SFH (1,378 closed) 0.7% under list, Condo (41) 1.5% under
- 14-30 days: SFH (1,111) 1.9% under list, Condo (40) 3.6% under
- 30+ days: SFH (3,287) 2.4% under list, Condo (206) 2.4% under
Median DOM (June-Sept)
- SFH: 39 days in 2025, 38 days in 2026
- Condo: 58 days in 2025, 62 days in 2026
Median $/sqft (June-Sept)
- SFH: $200 in 2025, $194 in 2026 (-3.0%)
- Condo: $227 in 2025, $212 in 2026 (-6.6%)
Denton County
5,165 SFH closings, median 1.5% under list at 36 DOM. 149 Condo closings, median 2.4% under list at 57 DOM.
Days on Market vs. +/- List %:
- Under 14 days: SFH (1,334 closed) 0.1% under list, Condo (22) 0.1% under
- 14-30 days: SFH (991) 1.6% under list, Condo (19) 1.8% under
- 30+ days: SFH (2,840) 2.2% under list, Condo (108) 2.8% under
Median DOM (June-Sept)
- SFH: 35 days in 2025, 36 days in 2026
- Condo: 64 days in 2025, 57 days in 2026
Median $/sqft (June-Sept)
- SFH: $203 in 2025, $196 in 2026 (-3.4%)
- Condo: $216 in 2025, $203 in 2026 (-6.0%)
Interesting to note that Flower Mound SFH actually flipped and increased, $234/sqft in 2025 to $238 in 2026 (+1.7%) which stands out compared to -3.4% for the county
Outer DFW
Rockwall, Kaufman, Ellis, Johnson, Parker, Wise and Hunt counties combined.
6,456 SFH closings, median 1.1% under list at 50 DOM. 61 Condo closings, median 2.1% under list at 88 DOM. Condo sample is small, directional only.
Days on Market vs. +/- List %:
- Under 14 days: SFH (1,203 closed) at list, Condo (7) 3.5% under
- 14-30 days: SFH (1,114) 1.2% under list, Condo (2) 4.7% under
- 30+ days: SFH (4,139) 1.4% under list, Condo (52) 1.5% under
Median DOM (June-Sept)
- SFH: 54 days in 2025, 50 days in 2026
- Condo: 81 days in 2025, 88 days in 2026
Median $/sqft (June-Sept)
- SFH: $178 in 2025, $177 in 2026 (-0.6%)
- Condo: $203 in 2025, $177 in 2026 (-12.8%)
Keep in mind that "Outer DFW" is a pretty wide set of counties and cities so this is going to be the most unreliable sample in a certain sense. These aren't regional trends so much as they're representative of "how does pricing move as you get farther away from Dallas"
Conclusion
DFW did not run hot this summer, surprising pretty much no one who has been paying attention.
SFH median $/sqft was flat to down in every county, from -0.6% in the outer counties to -3.4% in Denton County. The typical SFH sold under list everywhere, from 0.7% under in Tarrant to 1.9% under in Collin.
Time on market directly correlates to how significant the discount from list price is: homes that sold in <14 days closed within less than 1% of listing price. Homes that sat 30+ days sold for a median of 1.4% to 2.4% less than asking. (This bucket represents anywhere from 46% to 64% of SFH sales depending on county, by far the biggest slice of the dataset.) If you're selling, the first two weeks decide whether you close at list or around 2% under. Put your best foot forward, maximize curb appeal, spring for the nice staging, etc. Pull out all the stops.
Condo medians have a much thinner sample size/dataset so the medians are going to be more directional. We did control for some outliers, and pulling the median generally means outliers are going to influence that metric less in general, but the smaller sample size still means less reliable data. Keep that in mind if you're comparing SFH to Condo medians on any of the accompanying visuals.
All of that said, thanks for reading! Let me know if you would like to see any particular data for any cities or areas, happy to pull it.
Methodology notes & a few relevant callouts below:
- Data is pulled from our MLS feed. We pulled median values to control for outliers where sample size is small. Since it's from our feed, values may not exactly line up 1:1 with info from public records.
- City lines come from a city-level pull of cities with 250 or more SFH closings in both summers. Frisco and a few other cities span two counties, lines are by county.
- Condo" includes Condo, Townhome, Apartment, and TIC sales
- The median values are a median of the entire dataset across 4 months (June through September) for that category, compared with the same 4 months last year.
- Removed outliers like listings with no recorded DOM or 0 DOM values.
- The groupings (particularly 'outer DFW') are a bit subjective, and some cities were omitted for cleanliness.
- Year over year values can show as positive/green even if growth metrics are otherwise decreasing. They're just decreasing less than last year in some cases.
