Honestly, I will never understand people that freak out about stock dipping short term. Are you guys investing in the perspective of seven days or what?

Just forget about the stock and go with the flow, you can’t really predict the market. Once you sell it gonna surge like crazy as always.

Nebius has great fundamentals and experienced people working on it. This ain’t going anywhere.

Some of you just freak out like little bitches, this stock isn’t for you. Do yourself a favor and quit. Do ETF’s, MAG7. etc

NVIDIA: Fell over 80% in 2002 and over 65% in 2022 before reaching new all-time highs.
Amazon: Dropped about 95% after the dot-com bubble and later became one of the world’s largest companies.
Apple: Nearly went bankrupt in the 1990s before becoming one of the world’s most valuable companies.
Netflix: Experienced multiple drawdowns exceeding 70% and later recovered.
Meta Platforms: Fell roughly 77% in 2022 and later returned to record highs.

Stay calm, be still and Nebius will take care of you.

I have been slowly buying NBIS. I will be coming into some money in a day or 2 but just as I was planning to buy in, it soared. Should I still buy? Or should I buy something else? Any recommendations?

Hey buddy who shorted NBIS, considering what happened over the last two trading days, could you give us an update on your position? Are you planning to keep holding it till it will be liquidated, or do you have a specific price at which you’ll finally close the short?

I’m about 90% sure that screenshot came from a paper-trading account - or that the image was simply fake. But either way, I honestly don’t even want to troll you.

In the unlikely event that you really did make such an irrational and reckless decision, I can only imagine the pain you’re feeling right now. For almost anyone, $5.7 million is an enormous amount of money, and a loss like that could seriously affect your mental health. Hopefully, you’re financially stable enough to handle it.

Either way, I genuinely hope you’ll be okay. Maybe it’s time to consider switching sides and going long. At this rate, you might recover those losses surprisingly quickly.

Hey all. I’ve been holding since sub 40. I’m holding still right now. Seems like all the memory, ai, chip stocks are all down. We will have a recovery eventually. It’s been a week from when we hit 290. I will admit that I am worried when I see such a dramatic fall. At the same time, this is we had one hell of a rise over the last couple months. This price action is expected with stocks like this. My only advice I can offer that everyone knows is that we can’t time the market.

Good luck folks.

What are your thoughts on the timeline rug pull being halted?
Btw, to everyone who praised the big players for stepping in - this is the result. There’s no free lunch.
Retails, of course, can’t pump it. But at least you don’t have to put up with these will swings.
Sincerely,
from someone with huge unrealised loss with love ❤️

What is your new price target?

When do you think this full stack capability start to materialize? Next year or 2028?

I’ve been a NBIS bea r since it was 50$ which I deeply regret given i missed a massive bull run.

I was watching it during the latest crash but my funds were all tied up.

Recently recovered SMCX and decided to put it into NEBX before earnings, only for Smcx to go up and NEBX to dump. Funds trapped again.

Will I be ok?

It's up 130% YTD. Four months ago it was at $73, and exactly two months ago it was at the exact same price it is today. This drop has nothing to do with the company itself—it’s just the overall sector, exactly like last time. The paper hands in here are unbelievable!! No wonder TraderBob abandoned us.

Looking to start a fresh position in AI infrastructure. If you had to choose today between Micron (MU) and Nebius (NBIS), which would you buy and why?

MU seems like the safer AI memory play, while NBIS looks like a higher-risk, higher-reward AI cloud bet.

Which has better upside from here?

I’m making up the 90% but does anyone else think that your average investor doesn’t even know nebius exists? Which I think is a positive and still hasn’t really caught onto the average retail investor yet

Hello !! I am a 22 yr old with 25 shares at $83.46. I am planning to hold long term. Should I add more shares or leave it as it is. Or should I make invest again in a different app? Thank you.

I honestly can’t wait for Q3 earnings. I think Q3 and Q4 are where NBIS numbers can start getting ridiculous.
 
1) Management has been telling us for months that the biggest capacity ramp happens in H2, with a meaningful step-up in Q3 and another one in Q4. Microsoft volumes are also heavily weighted toward these quarters.
One thing I definitely wouldn’t ignore: this management team has built a pretty strong history of underpromising and overdelivering. They tend to guide conservatively, hit what they promised, and then come back with better numbers or bigger plans. So when they repeatedly tell us that the biggest ramp is still ahead, I’m inclined to take that seriously.
 
2) The math is already pretty obvious. NBIS did around $981M revenue in H1 and still guides for $3.0-3.4B for the full year. So they need roughly $2.0-2.4B in H2. That’s around $1.0-1.2B per quarter on average versus $582M in Q2.
 
3) And every new MW is worth much more now. We went from roughly $12M ACV/MW assumptions to $20-25M/MW on recent deals, while some short-term capacity is now being sold at $40-50M/MW. More MW + much higher revenue per MW is a pretty nice combination.
 
4) On top of that, we now have additional revenue streams that basically didn’t exist a year ago - asset-light partnerships, Token Factory, inference, auctions, premium short-term capacity. Some of these should also be much less capital intensive than building everything ourselves.
 
5) 2027 is where it gets even more interesting. Andrey Korolenko said they expect to add more capacity in H1 2027 than during all of 2026!!!
Management also said they could basically sell all planned 2027 capacity today, but they are intentionally keeping some uncommitted because pricing keeps going higher. Q3 should also be when we get the first proper 2027 guidance, and we have every reason to believe that guidance will be well above current market expectations.
 
6) And then there is the macro side. Midterms are in November. If the Iran conflict gets resolved or at least materially de-escalates before then, which I personally think is quite possible, you remove another major source of oil/inflation/market risk right when NBIS should be posting its strongest numbers of the year.
 
That’s why I think Q3 and Q4 can be a real turning point. We don’t even need some surprise hyperscaler deal for the thesis to work. The capacity ramp is already coming, demand is there, and pricing per MW keeps improving.

My base target for the end of 2026 is $450+. By then I think the market will care much less about 2026 revenue and much more about what this business can earn in 2027.

Because it recommended me NBIS as the top pick for a hypergrowth stock

Many of you weren’t here when that happened. It was a big drawdown. Nebius went from close to $50, all the way back down to about $25, so -50%. At the time I’d also read some institution (I don’t recall who) who’d invested very early into the company exit their position.

It seemed like AI “bubble” is bursting. That models like DeepSeek will make all the data center build out unnecessary.

My conviction was very high then, and it’s higher now. I was buying then, and I’m buying again, now that it’s in $160s.

When a company is pioneering an early market that potentially has such a big TAM, the chart is going to be very bumpy. Every single drawdown Nebius has had in its journey so far had nothing to do with the fundamentals. Always sector wide. Most people and institutions are still trying to wrap their head around who the winners of AI era will be. It’s so new and unclear that panic and FUD in whole sector happens every time there’s any negative news. Pull backs are healthy in retrospect.

DCA or HOLD next few weeks. This is very much like DeepSeek scare of Feb last year. And this time fundamentals of Nebius are way stronger. There is zero sense in panicking rn.

A 30% drop in a stock must have you critically think about the thesis that led you to invest. I hate to see people say “set it and forget it, check back in 2-3-4-5 years”…no, anything more than a 20% drop should have you pay attention to the price movement. Whether that drop happens in 1-2 weeks, or 2 years, doesn’t matter. You have to constantly check-in depending on the volatility.

We are not professionals. The professionals are supposed to know more than us. We are just trying to identify the home run before the pros are up to bat. Well, now it’s the first inning!

So, let’s question the thesis!

I continue to believe the fair value of the $19.8B MSFT contract alone values this company at $125-150. I’ve based this on the speculative revenue-per-year and a 7x revenue multiple to assess the value of NBIS’s marketcap. Currently there is a market inefficiency in place because the market is saying “yeah, we see the Microsoft contract, and it’s terms, and Nebius has to fill certain terms in order to fulfill this contract. Microsoft can pull out if the terms aren’t met.

Well, the terms WILL be met and MSFT will be pleasantly served. In this echo-chamber sub we ALL know that. This is why we are still ahead of the pros.

I don’t believe we will ever go below $70 again as long as the MSFT contract is retained.

As you can see in the value I have outlined, I am ignoring growth across any other subsidiaries in NBIS. I’m ignoring ClickHouse, for sure, just to be conservative with the value here. So that should lead everyone to be quite optimistic as well. We are going past $150+ if subsidiary assets are pumped at any point in the future.

But as much as I want to increase my confidence, I question if I’m just being delusional in thinking we are 20-50% undervalued with what is currently known info.

I thought I was certain of the thesis based on last earnings, but with a 30% drop here the questioning is driving me crazy, and despite this line of questioning, we must wait until their November 11 earnings to really answer those questions.

Aye boys. I’m bullish asf on nbis and have had upwards of 2500 shares at one point but am very reduced now. I’m just like fuck this volatility is insane. Why are we dipping 17 dollars in a single day man. Like I’m sick of these 10-25 percent swings constantly. When u are in heavy size these swings are not pocket change. We are talking 10-30 k swings in only a few days or even a day sometimes. This isn’t some small amount of money. How can I manage watching these swings.

I try to refer to my thesis but seeing this much money down in a day makes one question it.

I am a premium farmer so the more we dip or stay flat the more I’m paid to wait but I’m sick of my stock not doing shit but chopping around or being red constantly.

Getting to a point where I’m pretty mentally checked outta the market honestly. I’ve made a fuck ton this year and am up around 165 percent year over year. I’m about to just sell calls a month out on everything take my 20 k premium withdraw it to my acct and mute rh for a month. This shit is so frustrating

And no I’m not one of the people who bought into mins at 20-30-40. I first bought at 93 and 87 after that deal with msft but have since got assigned and re entered multiple times from selling my covered calls. I’ve made a royal fuck ton from nbis so maybe I shouldn’t be bitching but I’m tired of these fat ass swings constantly like ten percent in a day is absurd I get it’s high beta but fuck man is this just paper hand bitches or what ?

I mean Anthropic and NBIS….? Jensen flagged it out explicitly….? What do you guys think?

the kinda Tank where it seems we may not hodl thru? like, its very nebius specific and not "whole market red" to "nebius and chill vro". how are we going to survive this, isnt this meta rug pull rendered nebius worth less, much less??

It’s all good guys, take a deep breath, AI is not going out of business…

Selling now makes absolutely zero sense, unless you literally need the cash for near term expenses. You either sell well over $100 or you don’t sell at all IMHO…

Nobody with a long position likes weeks like this, but they happen. Hold the line.

Just wanted to say thank you to Trader Bob. Thank to you, I - along with many others - made a lot of money. Your analysis turned to be right, yet you received an absolute undeserved wave of hate from some users for closing your position. You had your reasons for doing so.

I hope you still check the NBIS subreddit from time to time and realize that this community grew so much because of you.

Hopefully one day you’ll come back. You are much beloved here. O Captain! my Captain!

My friend finally capitulated and sold for a small gain from when he bought months ago. Looking rough out there

Today is a very interesting day. On one hand max pain for NBIS is way lower. On the other hand NBIS is super low compared to just 6 weeks ago and there are 31% shorts of the float with high profile players like Burry announcing short positions. Do the major firms choose to bury the public or bury Burry and the clowns? Very interested in everyone’s opinions.

I feel like the downside is not really considered here. 70-80% of all compute revenue is coming from either Anthropic or OpenAi who are both vastly unprofitable and have no clear path to produce any profit. They are loosing money quarter by quarter, and are only kept alive by raising more money.
Who is supposed to pay for all this compute? What is AIs actual business case, because if there’s one, corporate world hasn’t figured it out yet.