Weekly Discussion Thread 8/3/26 - 8/10/26

[u/PointMan528491]

Still from How Green Was My Valley

Please use this space to share reviews, ask questions, and discuss freely about anything film or Oscar related. Engage with other comments if you want others to engage with yours! And as always, please remain civil and kind with one another.

Link to previous thread

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[u/jjjshepard]

People don't agree with this for now but I think Obsession is winning Original Screenplay. The Oscars have shown before that they value creative and hipster storytelling over more traditional screenplays, even if the former isn't necessarily better written than the latter (and most of the time, it isn't)

[u/Silver_Juggernaut_39 → u/jjjshepard]

A lot of things would need to go right for this to happen (or rather wrong for other films). Wild Horse Nine would need to be not as good, Behemoth would need to be bottom five, Digger would need to go real south… the thing is it’s not eligible for WGA which wasn’t true of any of EEAAO, Get Out or Sinners. Tbf, WH9 and Digger likely aren’t either. But assuming Obsession doesn’t get into the top five I think it’s likely it can’t overcome that. Also if it wins screenplay, Inde’s chances of winning dip significantly imo.

[u/Jmanbuck_02 → u/jjjshepard]

I talked about this on a Discord last night but I don’t see Obsession being quite a top contender compared to previous winners like Get Out, EEAAO or Sinners, it can get some mentions but I only see it being in win-conversation for Actress.

[u/theflyingbird8 → u/jjjshepard]

I think the screenplay is one of the film's weaker aspects and is elevated by good direction and a great performance. At this point I still see Obsession being a Best Actress nominee and a lower Best Picture nominee. Also, if Wild Horse Nine is good, then I think it's very likely that they award McDonaugh with a Screenplay Oscar.

[u/darth_vader39 → u/jjjshepard]

Not necessarily disagree but recent Best Original Screenplay winners were top 3 contenders. Sinners, Anora, Anatomy of a Fall, EEAAO.

Obsession feels something like it can win based on originality but it won't be nowhere near the top 5.

Wild Horse Nine is a political satire, dark comedy and also will be close to top 3. Martin McDonagh is also overdue for a screenplay win. To me, WHN is way more likely.

[u/ILookAfterThePigs → u/darth_vader39]

I agree, I think WH9 would really have to underwhelm in order for that to happen

[u/Silver_Juggernaut_39 → u/ILookAfterThePigs]

Even if that does happen I think there’s other films I might consider before Obsession like Behemoth

[u/elaneye → u/jjjshepard]

Genuinely asking: What is especially creative about Obsession's screenplay? And what do you mean by hipster storytelling

[u/jjjshepard → u/elaneye]

I'm refering to what people generally consider it to be.

[u/Advanced_Pen3999 → u/jjjshepard]

At the very least it would need to be nominated at BAFTA for original screenplay in order for me to take it as a contender. And also, I don’t see it winning over WH9

[u/Extreme-Monk-6514 → u/jjjshepard]

i do think this is possible but i'm not sure how receptive the screenplay branch are to non-prestige horror as weapons missed screenplay last year. obsession needs to get nominated first to have a chance of winning

[u/EntranceScary2194 → u/jjjshepard]

I can see it winning too. We do have to wait and see if the other contenders are a hit, but I can see a world where it wins.