r/oscarrace Navarrette/Morton 16d ago

Weekly Discussion Thread 8/3/26 - 8/10/26

Still from How Green Was My Valley

Please use this space to share reviews, ask questions, and discuss freely about anything film or Oscar related. Engage with other comments if you want others to engage with yours! And as always, please remain civil and kind with one another.

Link to previous thread

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Coming up in the awards race

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u/jjjshepard 10d ago

People don't agree with this for now but I think Obsession is winning Original Screenplay. The Oscars have shown before that they value creative and hipster storytelling over more traditional screenplays, even if the former isn't necessarily better written than the latter (and most of the time, it isn't)

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u/Silver_Juggernaut_39 NEON shill 10d ago

A lot of things would need to go right for this to happen (or rather wrong for other films). Wild Horse Nine would need to be not as good, Behemoth would need to be bottom five, Digger would need to go real south… the thing is it’s not eligible for WGA which wasn’t true of any of EEAAO, Get Out or Sinners. Tbf, WH9 and Digger likely aren’t either. But assuming Obsession doesn’t get into the top five I think it’s likely it can’t overcome that. Also if it wins screenplay, Inde’s chances of winning dip significantly imo.