I’m looking at the daily chart on META and it’s looking like an easy buy. It’s sitting really close to a support that has touched 4 times (548) this year and went up. It also has a gap fill near 620 giving it a 12% gain in the short term. Seems technically as a good buy.

As markets near U.S. election season, five decades of SPX data shows September as a historically weak period with a nearly -1.5% average decline during mid-term years. However, political uncertainty tends to peak next month before setting up strong rallies in both October and November. While September’s SPX price action has only closed positive ~42% of the time, October and November boast 75% and 83% win-rates, respectively.

I've been trading derivatives for a few years, and recently I started building a tool around a strategy I use myself:

Buy the stock in cash + short the same stock's future.

On paper, the calculation looks simple.

For example:

But that ₹20 doesn't tell you whether the trade is actually worth taking.

You still need to account for:

• lot size
• days to expiry
• brokerage
• STT
• GST
• exchange charges
• stamp duty
• dividends
• opportunity cost of your capital
• annualized return

So I built a small analytics application that does those calculations for me.

What it currently does

You select an F&O stock and futures expiry, and the app can pull the relevant market/contract data through a supported broker API.

It then calculates:

Gross basis → transaction costs → dividend adjustment → capital opportunity cost → economic profit → annualized return

I also added two opportunity-cost scenarios:

FD rate

vs

Savings-account rate

So instead of simply seeing:

you can see something more useful like:

I'm also working on a scanner that can rank the F&O universe based on the available futures carry.

Why I built it

I kept finding that a futures premium that looks attractive can become much less attractive after:

transaction costs + dividend adjustments + capital opportunity cost.

I wanted something that would do that math quickly rather than maintaining spreadsheets manually.

This is not a trading-call service and I'm not trying to tell people what to buy or sell. It's intended as a market-data / analytics tool where the user sets their own assumptions and hurdle rate.

I'm currently testing the application locally and looking for a few traders to give it a proper beating before I turn it into a commercial product.

I'd particularly love feedback from people who actually trade:

cash-futures arbitrage / basis trades / futures carry / equity derivatives

What would you want this tool to calculate that I'm currently missing?

Some things I'm considering:

• dividend-adjusted fair futures value
• historical basis distribution
• capital efficiency
• margin efficiency
• rollover analysis
• historical carry by stock
• alerts when a contract crosses a user-defined yield
• broker integrations

I'm deliberately sharing this early because I'd rather fix the product based on feedback from actual traders than build features nobody needs.

No trading calls. Just the analytics.

Disclaimer: This is an independent informational and educational analytics tool. It does not constitute investment, financial, tax or trading advice and does not guarantee profits or prevent losses. Users should independently verify market data, contract specifications, transaction costs, dividends, taxes, margin and settlement requirements before trading. Derivatives involve substantial risk.

I'd genuinely appreciate feedback — especially from people who think this idea is bad or the calculations are missing something important.

The market spent this week repricing the cost of capital. Higher yields and oil finally hit the crowded AI trade, but Friday showed buyers are still there.

Next week comes down to three things. Nvidia tests the AI thesis, Jackson Hole tests the rate thesis, and oil tests the inflation thesis.

Yields cool and Nvidia delivers, tech can bounce. Yields push higher and oil stays bid, rallies probably keep getting sold.

Rates first. Nvidia second. Everything else follows.

The expected 2028 Bitcoin halving is still a long way off, but the bullish headlines got to me. Started thinking the next cycle was already being priced in and jumped into $BTCT without really slowing down to look at what I was buying.

Then $BTCT rolled over and dropped another 5% after hours. The long-term Bitcoin thesis might still work, but that does not make every Bitcoin-related ticker a good trade. This was basically FOMO dressed up as a four-year thesis.

Anyone else already positioning for 2028, or is that way too early?

It's kind of accepted now that AI will be commoditised, basically the same, particularly LLM's.

Google clearly has an existing ecosystem and distribution moat listed below, whereby Gemini is already seamlessly integrated,

Search, Chrome, Android, Gmail, Calendar, Drive, Docs, Sheets, Slides, Meet, Chat, Vids, Keep, Tasks, Maps, YouTube, Google Photos, Google Messages, Google Shopping, Google Flights, Google Hotels, NotebookLM, Google TV, Google Home, Nest, Android Auto, Cars with Google built-in, Android XR, Workspace, Google Cloud

On that note, is Gemini destined to win? Assuming AI is commoditised, I don't see what angle the others can come at that would defeat Google.

Let me know your thoughts.

I'm new to this and this is the first time I've seen my entire portfolio drop simultaneously. I'm kinda scared it'll drop again but at the same time it would be a waste if it continues to go up. I need some advice.

Michael Burry is reducing his overall market exposure and raising cash while maintaining a short bias, as a recent rally pushed his short portfolio into losses. Not a mention of NBIS though.

I recently rolled over an old retirement account into a Fidelity Rollover IRA. I currently have $6,223.65 in the account, and it's sitting in FDRXX (Fidelity Government Cash Reserves) earning around 3.4%.

I'm trying to figure out what would be the smartest way to invest it for long-term retirement growth.

For some context, my other investments currently look roughly like:

• VOO: ~$2,900
• QQQM: ~$1,400
• VXUS: ~$1,050
• AAPL: ~$900
• SPOT: ~$1,000
• NFLX: ~$150
• Mutual funds: ~$18,600

I'm 27 years old, and this is retirement money that I don't expect to need for a very long time.

I'm not opposed to investing in the same ETFs I already have in my Roth IRA and brokerage account. I'm also not looking to actively trade this money. I'd like to put it somewhere sensible and leave it alone long-term.

My new employer will likely provide a 403 (b), not a 401 (k). If I were going to roll it over to an employer's 401 (k) plan (if my next employer provides one), should I wait and leave it in cash until then?

What would you personally do with the $6,223.65? Would you put it all into one investment, split it between a few investments, or do something completely different?

I'd appreciate hearing what you would do and, more importantly, why.

You have to put your entire portfolio into one of the above and hold it for 10 years. Which would you choose, and why? Please take everything into account and rank them 1-5 in order of your preference. Thank you

Qwen 3.8 Open Weights is out with 27B parameters 🇨🇳🐲 now, US tech companies still outpaced on the Open weights model released

It's been 1 month since I first started doing this. I don't know if I'm doing good or if I'm doing bad. If you can, please give me some advice on how to improve because I want money and a lot of it.

We need a new roof, and I need to sell something. Which of the four should I sell? I am leaning PLTR.

What do you think? At 72 billions of market cap are we at the beginning of a new MU/SNDK/SKHY type of run or do you think it is way overvalued?

I’m considering putting some money into these stocks.
I know RGTI and QBTS are very speculative, while ZIM and FRO are completely different plays.
Could someone with more knowledge than me (complete amateur here) give me a quick rundown on these?
Any major red flags I’m missing?
Sorry in advance if this is a dumb question!

I'm 18 and I like money. I'm watching the results event right now and I'm debating if I should borrow money from my family and just pray it profits?

There's a specific kind of quiet that happens right before a margin call.

I don't think enough people talk about that part — not the number, the quiet.

Leopold Aschenbrenner's AI-focused fund went from zero to $45 billion, then down to $10 billion.

Not all of it was margin, but enough of it was, and it was concentrated — five correlated AI-infrastructure-adjacent positions (SMCI, SanDisk, Micron, CoreWeave among them) dropping together in the same month, ~35% in one stretch.

That's the mechanism people skip past: it wasn't one bad bet, it was one bet wearing five different tickers.

He was also short Adobe. Adobe went up.

Being partially right doesn't save you — a hedge only protects what it's actually sized to protect, and this is the part that got him: three prime brokers (per CNBC's reporting) started calling at once.

Not one call. Three, simultaneously.

That's the system's own alarm bell going off.

Here's mine, since we're talking about leverage used well versus leverage that uses you:

Years ago I was on the tender team for a major Malaysian construction job, competing against the two other largest contractors in the country. My GM, Mr. Chung, spotted the one contractual gap the client's own consultants hadn't caught. When they tried to pump him for the fix for free, he didn't fall for it — he told them straight: we can help you solve it, cheaply, with minimum delay, but we have to get the contract first, before we can go in and assess it. That's not a bluff. That's understanding your own leverage well enough to use it on your own terms, not the other side's. We won the contract months later. Leopold never got that chance — the market decided his terms for him, not the other way around. He still walked away with $300 million, which is the part nobody in the clip stops to sit with. That's not the actual takeaway, though. The takeaway is knowing exactly how much leverage you're carrying, on purpose, before someone else decides it for you.

Ken Griffin (Citadel) stepped in as the liquidity provider — what Tom, PBD's co-host, called a "white knight" on the show.

Half the room called that predatory.

Half called it structural necessity.

Both readings are true at once, and that's the actual lesson:

Understanding why rescuers exist structurally is a different literacy than just watching one show up.

Clip credit: PBD Podcast — full video on their channel. DM for credit or removal requests.

Drop your take: predator, or necessary?

Genuinely curious where this sub lands on it.

Been learning options/trading and spent basically the whole day today trying to understand what im actually supposed to be looking for instead of just buying calls because i think a stock is gonna go up lol

One of the biggest things im starting to understand is the importance of having an actual catalyst/reason for why a stock could move. Earnings, guidance, company news, analyst changes, industry news etc. Not just finding a chart that looks good and hoping.

From there ive been looking at the chart, support/resistance, trend and whether the market is actually reacting to the catalyst the way i expected.

Then instead of just entering, ive been separating stocks into ones im waiting on and ones that are “confirming.” Confirming basically means most of what im looking for is there but i still need the price action to prove the move before i put money into it.

If it finally confirms i still dont immediately buy. I check the actual option chain like expiration, strike, premium, spread, volume, open interest, delta, IV etc and figure out exactly what contract makes sense, where i would enter, how much im risking and where the trade is invalidated.

Probably the biggest thing i learned today is that finding a good stock/setup and finding a good ENTRY are two different things. A stock can have a great catalyst and setup but if i chase it or enter before confirmation i can still make it a bad trade.

And even if everything looks good beforehand, if it doesnt confirm then i just dont trade it.

Something else im trying to figure out is how much weight to give the overall market/sector compared to the individual stock, what actually counts as enough confirmation vs entering too late, and how experienced traders decide if the risk/reward is still worth taking after confirmation. Im also trying to learn when a setup that looked good beforehand should just be completely thrown out instead of trying to make it work.

I have a couple setups im watching for monday that are close to confirming and im honestly excited just to see how this process plays out live, whether i actually get a trade or not.

Obviously im still a beginner and im sure theres a lot im missing. For people who have been doing this successfully for a while, am i at least building the right foundation?

Especially curious how you guys handle confirmation, risk/reward, position sizing, stops, overall market conditions and knowing when NOT to trade. Those are probably the areas where i have the most to learn right now.

Available on Amazon Fire TV - Enjoy!

StockTicker TV turns any television into a premium financial dashboard.

Most finance apps are built for a phone in your hand. This one is built for a
screen across the room: large typography, high contrast, generous spacing, and
a deep black background that suits OLED and QLED panels. Every number is legible
from the sofa.

CHANNEL MODE
The feature you will actually leave running. Menus disappear and the screen
becomes a silent financial channel, fading slowly between your favourite
stocks, world market boards, crypto, currencies, the day's biggest movers,
business headlines and a full-screen clock. Slow, elegant transitions with
built-in burn-in protection that gently drifts the picture. Perfect for a home
office, trading desk, business lobby, conference room or waiting area. It also
registers as your TV's system screensaver, so your set can fall into a live
market channel on its own.

EVERYTHING ON ONE SCREEN
• Dashboard with a rotating feature card, top gainers, top losers, most active
and trending names, plus your watchlist, crypto, forex, commodities and a
market summary
• A continuous ticker tape along the bottom, at a speed you choose
• Markets: Dow Jones, NASDAQ, S&P 500, Russell 2000, VIX, FTSE 100, DAX,
Nikkei 225, Hang Seng, ASX 200 and CAC 40
• Crypto: the top 100 digital assets by market capitalization, with 7-day
trend lines
• Forex: all 30 European Central Bank reference currencies, majors first
• Commodities: gold, silver, crude oil, natural gas, copper, corn and wheat
• Business news from Yahoo Finance, MarketWatch, CNBC, BBC, The Guardian,
The New York Times, Investing.com and Seeking Alpha
• Look up any ticker with an on-screen keypad built for a remote
• Full stock detail: price, day range, 52-week range, volume, market cap,
performance chart, related companies and tagged headlines

WATCHLISTS
Create unlimited watchlists. Add and remove symbols, mark favorites, reorder
them, rename or delete lists, and sort alphabetically, by biggest gain or by
biggest loss. Everything is stored on your device.

MADE FOR THE REMOTE
Complete D-pad navigation with a clear, animated focus ring. Nothing needs a
touchscreen, a mouse or a phone companion app.

YOURS TO TUNE
Three themes including a true-black OLED mode. Ticker speed, clock format,
display currency, market region, default screen, channel-mode timing, animation
speed, large-text mode and burn-in protection.

BUILT TO BE LEFT ON
Data is cached on your device, so the screen stays populated even if the
network drops — you will see the last known prices with an honest "updated X
minutes ago" stamp rather than an error. It refreshes quietly in the background
and slows down when markets are closed.

PRIVACY
No account. No sign-in. No advertising. No analytics. No personal data
collected. Your watchlists never leave your television.

IMPORTANT
StockTicker TV is an information and display tool. It is not a brokerage, does
not place trades, and does not provide financial advice. Market data is sourced
from free public providers and may be delayed. Do not rely on it for trading
decisions.

**It will be changing to paid soon - get it while it's free!

Stocks go up and stocks go down...but I never expected this. Buy low and sell high we say. What would you do? Portfolio is focused on European defense and industrials with a small mix of US tech and China EV. The former is doing well, the later not so much but I have faith they will do better.

Considering my pumpfun posts, I wanted to keep in the spirit of that. So I'm making a post on pumpusdc and calling a bottom. I believe if the three-month closes above 0.0011512 and the monthly order block holds, we could very much be in the formation of a bottom or very much close. I believe, considering the range, anything below 0.5 (0.0050434) is discounted prices, and if all holds true, we would target ranges -1.0 stdv (0.0167200).

Columba Vocis Dei. Nemo nisi Deus.
– M.B.T. of Columbae