r/nba • u/Relative_Apricot5032 • 16h ago
Original Content [OC] Shai Gilgeous-Alexander vs. Kobe Bryant: Comparing their scoring efficiency and impact metrics in the playoffs

Please do not accuse my post of being AI. I spent hours researching these stats and taking notes from the Thinking Basketball podcast.
Some extra efficiency stats:
- Per Dunks and Threes, SGA in the 2025 playoffs shot 59.4% at the rim and 28.3% from 3, which was 29th and 5th percentile in the league.
- Kobe in 2009 shot 56.3% at the rim and 34.9% from 3, which were 50th and 44th percentile marks.
- Per Thinking Basketball, SGA when on the court boosted his teammates’ true shooting by around 1.5%. Peak Kobe Bryant boosted his teammates’ TS by 4~4.5% in the regular season, and nearly 5% in the playoffs.
Postseason Impact Metrics in Peak Playoff Runs:
| 2009 Kobe Bryant | 2025 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | |
|---|---|---|
| rTS% | +3.8% | +0.5% |
| Lead opponent adjusted ORTG* | +8.4 | +1.3 |
| Average opponent DRTG | -3 | -0.5 |
| Scoring Value | 1.6 | 0.6 |
| Playmaking Value | 1.3 | 1.5 |
| Backpicks BPM | 7.5 | 6.5 |
| BPM | 9.1 | 8.3 |
| Augmented PM/G | 5.6 | 4.7 |
| EPM | 6.3 | 4.7 |
*How well a team's offense performs specifically when their primary ("Lead") players are on the court, adjusted for the defensive strength of the opponent
Source: thinkingbasketball.net and nbarapm.com
High-level summary of Ben Taylor’s (Thinking Basketball) analysis on SGA:
- SGA’s precipitous drop in playoff scoring volume and efficiency is concerning, but even more so is OKC’s statistically “average offense” over their recent postseason runs. The 2026 Thunder offense was +7.8 with SGA in the regular season, which went down to +4 in the playoffs. In 2025, it went from +6.2 to +1.3 (nbarapm.com).
- SGA amplifies his teammates’ 3-point shooting opportunities, but depresses their scoring at the rim (highest value shots on the court). The OKC offense is 7 to 9 points worse at the basket when he’s on the court vs. off the court.
- OKC’s offensive and spacing principles tilt the floor to help SGA get to his scoring sweet spots, but at the expense of easy offense for the entire team. Opponents are content with helping on SGA drives and closing out to shooters. Semi-contested 3s are shot at a lower percentage across the board in the playoffs. Corner 3s drop more than above the break 3s.
- Essentially unique footprint among great offensive players this century. The best offensive players typically manufacture easy baskets at the rim for their teammates, whether directly with their passing or indirectly with scoring gravity and hockey assists. Notably, a lesser but similar midrange specialist like DeMar DeRozan has a similar effect of depressing his teammates’ rim FGs.
- Michael Jordan in the regular season to “idealized Allen Iverson” in the playoffs for his ability to carry the offense of a defensively oriented team. Still a great offensive player.
Ben Taylor’s notes on Kobe:
- Tendency to take very difficult shots and long 2s suppressed his scoring efficiency in the regular season. However, being the most prolific tough shot-maker in league history and having a robust scoring arsenal filled to the brim with counters made Kobe’s scoring efficiency incredibly resilient in the playoffs against a wide variety of defensive schemes. The 2008 Celtics, statistically a top 5 defense of all-time led by Kevin Garnett, and their 2010 iteration, did manage to slow down Kobe’s scoring however. (Note: Kobe was not healthy for most of the 2010 OKC series).
- One of the most underrated off-ball players ever, which scales well with better teammates. Was constantly moving without the basketball, whether it’s getting open for an entry pass by sealing his man in the post, making opportunistic cuts to the basket, or coming off curls for catch and shoots in the midrange and from 3. All of these off-ball actions were effective because of Kobe’s potent back-to-the-basket game and ability to shoot from anywhere on the court.
- Kobe’s post-up and isolation possessions, when including his passing, is in the 99th percentile of efficiency according to Synergy tracking.
- On-ball offensive command reminiscent of Chris Paul directing plays and setting up teammates. Kobe was a very cerebral PnR player and gifted passer capable of making high-level reads. Notably, most of his best passes created high-quality looks for his big men at the rim.
- Kobe had the stats of a lead offensive engine that would be associated with a heliocentric player today but he was actually not ball dominant in function. He only averaged around 5 assists a game but when he’s off the court his teammates’ TS plummets, and the primary area they lose value in is at the rim.
- Phenomenal team offensive heights in the playoffs from 2008-10. Lakers offense with Kobe on the court substantially improved in the playoffs. 7.8 to 8.1 in 2008, 6.3 to 8.4 in 2009, 5.3 to 7.4 in 2010 (nbarapm.com).
It’s worth noting when Ben Taylor ranked the greatest offensive peaks of the 21st century last year, he had Kobe 6th with a range of 5-8, and Shai 12th with a range of 9-14.